Columbus v NE Revolution 1.90 3.20 3.40 Kansas City v Los Angeles 1.70 3.20 4.25 Metrostars v Dallas Burn 1.50 3.50 5.50 Chicago v Colorado 1.55 3.25 5.50 Wow. Dallas and Colorado at 5.50. I don't recall ever seeing an MLS price above 5.00. Those prices for LA and NE are pretty high, too.
MetroStars 1.45 3.55 6.0 Dallas Columbus 1.9 3.2 3.4 NE Kansas City 1.7 3.2 4.25 LA Chicago 1.55 3.25 5.5 Colorado Those are high numbers. There were a few above 5 last year too. I was lucky enough to get Dallas home at 5.5 last year. The only one not to consider is Colorado. Until they show anything at all, you should bury them in a closet.
COL @ CHI -- Colorado hasn’t won in Chicago in three tries. The Rapids have not scored in 233 minutes. Fire have not scored, currently with a 210-minute scoreless streak. Here's a stat you will not find anywhere else: Chicago, since inception have gone a robust 18-3-1 when playing at home directly following a road loss or tie. Two of the 3 losses were to eventual Champions that season. Also, Brian Hall is the ref for this one and his history has not been kind to Colorado. Bets are never gold, but this one is pretty close and that's why the odds stink. I'm still with the Fire at home. CHI @ 1.55 LA @ KC -- LA is without suspended Ezra Hendrickson hurting LA on both sides of the ball severely. KC is withour Wolff (hammy) and Burciaga (knee). Gutierrez, Simutenkov, and Talley are carrying injuries but should play. LA is winless and on game 7 of and 8 game roadie. KC is home after 2 of 3 on the road and comes in unbeaten through 4 games. LA has the beter of the series but has had problems in Arrowhead of late. The last match was a 4-1 drubbing by KC. This isn't a lock by any stretch, but KC should win this on the strength of improving D, set piece capability sans Hendrickson, and the home field. KC @ 1.7 NE @ CLB -- Match of the week in my opinion. Even so, this game is missing alot as Buddle, Maise, and Martino are out injured for CLB and Moore will probably sit for NE. Simply, NE has been poor without a fit Moore. This makes it a good candidate for the under and a low scoring game. Busch is a better keeper and CLB has the better defenders at the back. The offset is that in the absence of midfield creators, opportunists must pounce of the few chances available. You have to like Twellman in that situation. The offset for that is NE has zero answer for Cunningham. In my mind he should be the difference. Make sure Moore isn't playing before taking CLB. This would be the best candidate for a draw this week, but I'm stubborn... CLB @ 1.9 DAL @ MET -- Dallas has had little and MET have won 4 straight. That's why the lines are skewed. So, there isn't any opportunity to exploit risk/return on MET, so let's look at DAL. They are healthy save O'Brien. Teams have historically played better going from a narrow to a full field. Kreis is well overdue. If memory serves, DAL has an OK record in Jersey. Also Pareja is back and should be fitter than last week (DAL sucks without him). Pro teams on a roll tend to get uncomfortable in the thin air and just that little bit complacent. Winless teams tend to do the opposite. That's the end of the reasons to take a flier. ON the other side: Suarez is susp. for DAL. MET signed two foreigners this week so whoever plays will be motivated. Coaching adv goes to MET obviously. Mathis has scored in 3 straight. Howard is great. The defense has held firm. There just isn't anything wrong with the team at the moment except the ugly uniforms - GO BACK TO THE BROAD STRIPES. The flier is tempting but, when Mathis is in form, nothing stops him. MET @ 1.55 My prime 3 will be the 3 non-KC games. 10-16, down $25.60 for the year.
canbet: NY/NJ Metrostars Draw Dallas Burn 1.51 3.85 6.33 Handicap -0.5 1.51 +0.5 2.58 Columbus Crew Draw New England Revolution 2.04 3.30 3.48 -0.5 2.04 +0.5 1.79 Kansas City Wizards Draw Los Angeles Galaxy 1.76 3.45 4.50 0.5 1.76 +0.5 2.08 Chicago Fire Draw Colorado Rapids 1.62 3.48 5.70 -0.5 1.62 +0.5 2.31 MLS handicaps are usually not really worth it but this week might be an exception with Dallas at +0.5 for 2.58.
Wow. Bettingadvice has a great odds comparison page now. I think it's been there a while. Definitely check it out. I've been away from that site for a bit so I didn't realize it was there. Anyway, I've very quickly learned that the highest prices offered for this weekend are: Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution 2.10 3.30 3.60 Chicago Fire vs Colorado Rapids 1.65 3.60 6.00 Kansas City Wizards vs Los Angeles Galaxy 1.90 3.45 4.50 MetroStars vs Dallas Burn 1.55 4.00 6.50 That's from 16 bookies. There are some, such as gamebookers, that aren't listed, perhaps because there prices aren't up yet. Click on the individual matches for more info. It also updates changes in odds, which I'm shocked to see have actually occurred. Be sure to click on each match for more info.
Dallas for 7.00 @ bet365. Too much to pass up. Draw pays 4.00. That might be good for cover. You make sense wizardscharter, but I'm putting medium stakes on Dallas, LA and New England.
Dallas needs a miracle, not good enough for me. A draw has possibilities. My money is still with MET.
Eric, hindsight is always 20/20, but you might want to add this rule to your book. Never take a 6-game winless team to win on the road - no matter the price. In short that means you should leave LA be in Colorado next week too - if for no other reason than the price will be poor because COL is so bad. OK, what did we learn kids? Garcia has more maturity than Ruiz, if not more skilled. Ruiz only beat Garcia after Nick tweaked his hammy. Preki is a God. A rule I'm adding is, never take a team to win the week after they allow 4. I was obviously surprised at CLB leaking another 3 to follow up the 4 given in NoCal. I believe they have 5-win-on-the-trot Metros next week. That will mean yet another skewed line. In addition NE and KC hook up at the razor. Neither team has lost in their last 4 (KC 5). MLS is quickly becoming a 2 tier league. If COL somehow beats CHI, there will be 5 points separating the top 5 from the bottom 5 on the single table.
Barely finished over for the week (NE won, Dallas and LA lost), but I'd say in MLS, if you can make a profit hitting 1 out of 3 it's almost always going to be a good idea.