Handicapping the 2016 Republican Presidential Candidates

You could replace Condi with Ted Nugent or Rick Perry. Either has a better chance of winning the GOP nomination at the convention itself than she does as a declared candidate.

Jindal could be replaced with pretty much any White guy with a pulse, once the ball starts rolling and the national GOP base sees Jindal as an Indian rather than as an American.

No one named Marco Rubio is going to win a national GOP nom.

If Ted Cruz' father or grandfather had only known he'd be among the people who could run, he'd have changed his surname to Crews, and the first name (Rafael) wouldn't be such a burden.

 

I am not very politically savvy but other than being an ass Christie appears, to me, to have the least amount of baggage. At least not politically....only physically.

 

I have no frickin' clue, and I mention this not b/c it's 3+ years away so we shouldn't even bother, but I think the "no f***ing idea" sentiment is important b/c the GOP leaders themselves have no idea where this fractured party will be going.

And who are the party "leaders" anyway?

The GOP is morphous blob of Stupid limping around screaming at Latino immigrants to get off their lawn (but then secretly hiring them to fulfill their Godly destiny to maintain said lawn), worrying about women's va-jay jays (ewwwww!!!111!!!), Teh Gheys (ewwwwww!!!111!!!), Teh Negroes just not getting over it (why do they ALWAYS play the race card???111!!!), the librul media and their biases and their "facts" 'bout "demographics" and how they don't realize that they ARE reaching out to Teh Gheys, the women, the Latinos, and the Negroes, it's just that those people just don't even try to understand that white men are the only minority in the US that you can get away with making fun of.

The GOP just needs to shore up the white vote and all their problems will be solved.

 

Oh dang! Forgot about that...can I change my vote?

 

Wait just one minute! Wasn't it Bush II that uttered "Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, uh..shame on you agin." What in #$%&@ could be said for # three....oops?

 

The Paul Ryan thing is a joke right? seriously this guy was a clown in 2012. He was completely useless even worse then Palin in 2008 he gave that ticket nothing!

 

Christie, Paul, Rubio, Jeb. If Jeb runs Rubio doesn't run.

 

http://blog.nj.com/njv_editorial_pa...es_shamless_2m_self.html#incart_river_default

 

This...from the article,

"It is true, as Christie’s blind defenders will say, that former Gov. Tom Kean was featured in tourism promotions. That was a mistake, too, but on a much smaller scale."

So...If the other guy did it (sounds like when I pleaded with Mama Mia)

 

I found this interesting. Well, not enthralling but interesting
Reince Priebus blasted NBC and CNN on Monday night for spending millions “promoting” Hillary Clinton in their upcoming miniseries and film.

Maybe someone should ask if Reince has seen the movie Faith of My Fathers

 

Rand Paul. There. I said it. Who wants to doubt me? Let's assume the primaries occur at roughly the same spots as last time.

Iowa: his dad received 26,000 votes in the depressed 2012 primaries, and since then the Paul wing of the party has moved to take over a lot of the state party structure. Barring an Iowan getting into the race or Christie becoming suddenly popular with social conservatives, this is Rand's state to lose.

New Hampshire: Christie wins this state, but Dad got 2nd there in 2012 so Rand will pick off enough votes (and delegates) to maintain pace.

South Carolina: this is the state where a Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio or a Bobby Jindal has to win to be viable, but I think if Rand wins Iowa and gets second in New Hampshire he wins this state, too.

Florida: Rubio's to lose, but if Rubio doesn't make it here, or if Jeb Bush tosses his hat in as well, this will be a local boy fight and Rand will skip it. Christie won't/can't, and will sink a ton of money into winning this state while Rand goes to the caucus states.

Nevada: Pauliacs own this state party as well. Make it 3 victories for the kid.

Caucus states (Colorado, Maine, Missouri, Minnesota): Rick Santorum only got those wins because people in those states hated Romney. They're gonna hate Christie, too. By this point, unless Rubio or ::insert alternative here:: gets South Carolina or Iowa or New Hampshire, it'll be down to Christie and not-Christie. Make it 7 victories for Rand.

Sure, Christie wins the Northeast and Rust Belt, and probably the Left Coast. Sure, Florida and Texas might go to local boys. But Rand's got Mitch McConnell and 19 rural states (West Va, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, South Carolina, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, the Dakotas, Montana, Wyoming, Utah, Idaho, Alaska) that he'll win in both the primary and general election. Take a look at those states: they're the states that Republicans win every year since 1992. And nobody looks stronger in those places than Rand Paul. They accounted for 55% of Mitt Romney's electoral-college votes and 66% of John McCain's. It's the heartland, baby! Who better to lead them to losing all but fifteen states than Rand?

 

Chris Matthews predicted Rand last night as well.

I think the GOP truly believes that doubling down on the white vote along with lower minority turnout (because of no Obama to vote for) will win them the election.

I don't think they realize that if Rand is the candidate then Dems will still get the black turnout out in force because of his racist ways.

 

Hence the redoubling of the effort on voter ID laws.

 

Yeah, that'll happen.

 

It's possible the libertarian streak in NH outweighs the "Oh, he's a Kentuckian" part. Rand's not known for being eloquent like his father.

 

Maybe so......but Ron's children is learnin.