I have been keeping out of this discussion for a couple of reasons, not least because I am hopeless at this "prediction game". That said, I do have a couple of fairly random thoughts on this. Firstly, I agree with MassRef - most of the top guys are normally off after the World Cup, so if FIFA wanted to keep a larger number at a "traditional" WC, they could. Not sure what the significance of the larger number this time is, but I guess we will see. Secondly, to repeat something I think has been said before - probably every 4 years - I don't think you will find any top-level Referee (certainly not in UEFA) who considers an appointment on the 3rd/4th place match as being a reward. The vast majority of them would rather be on the flight home if they are not working the Final, and that is even more likely this time around as the match itself will be even less prestigious this time around. Lastly, I think Marciniak has a greater chance of a significant game than many here would seem to think.