Front and Center in MLS

Discussion in 'Statistics and Analysis' started by numerista, Jun 23, 2006.

  1. numerista

    numerista New Member

    Mar 21, 2004
    Thus far in the 2006 season, Chivas USA has 19 non-PK goals, of which Ante Razov has scored 10 and assisted on 6. That is to say, he's been involved in 84.2% of his team's run-of-play strikes, a fraction that dwarfs any full-season number in the history of the league. It will be interesting to see if he continues in this dominant form.

    If the 2006 season ended today, this would be the all-time leaderboard:
    Code:
    Year	Player Name	Tm	G	A	Tm G	Pct
    2006	Ante Razov	chv	10	6	19	84.2
    1999	Jason Kreis	dal	17	15	52	61.5
    1999	Joe-Max Moore	ne	14	8	36	61.1
    2002	Twellman	ne	20	6	46	56.5
    2001	J. Spencer	clr	12	7	34	55.9
    2003	Preki    	kc	7	17	43	55.8
    1999	Preki    	kc	6	11	31	54.8
    2001	Diego Serna	mia	15	15	55	54.5
    2002	Carlos Ruiz	la	21	1	41	53.7
    2000	D. Washington	clb	15	9	45	53.3
    2006	Andy Dorman	ne	4	4	15	53.3
    Note: PKs have been removed from all goal totals.

    In the 2006 standings, Andy Dorman is followed by several players tied at 50%: Jason Kreis, Carlos Ruiz, Jeff Cunningham, and Landon Donovan. The remarkable name here is LD who's had a hand in half the Galaxy goals despite being less than half of the time. (Similarly, Brian Ching has been involved in 45% of Houston's goals and has played 50% of their minutes.)

    EDIT: oops, meant to say LD's been on the field less than half of the time ... although considering his tendency to disappear mysteriously, who can be sure? :)
     
  2. numerista

    numerista New Member

    Mar 21, 2004
    Taking another slant on these numbers, what if we define a "Key Attacker" as a player who has a part in more than a third of his team's non-PK goals?

    Most Seasons as a Key Attacker, 1996-2005

    8: Preki (96-03)

    7: *Kreis* (96, 98-02, 05)

    6:

    5: Ralston (99-02, 04)

    4: Buddle (02-05), Cerritos (97-99, 01), *Cunningham* (99, 01-02, 05), *Donovan* (01, 03-05), Etcheverry (96, 98-99, 02), J.Moreno (98-00, 04)

    3: Chung (97, 02-03), Diallo (00-02), Graziani (00-02), C.Henderson (97, 00, 02), C.Jones (98, 01-02), *Razov* (99-00, 02), Savarese (97-99), Serna (98, 00-01), Twellman (02-03, 05), Valderrama (97, 00, 02), A.Williams (01-02, 04)

    -- Players marked with * are on pace again in 2006; in addition, JP.Peguero, C.Klein, and C.Ruiz are each on pace to have a third season as a Key Attacker this year.

    -- My first impression is that this list works reasonably well, not necessarily for identifying the best players but for id-ing the ones who play a focal role in an offense. Clearly, it punishes players for being injured or absent from their teams (e.g. Donovan during WC02), but I think that's fair. After all, in the games when you're not on the field, you certainly aren't playing a focal role.
     
  3. numerista

    numerista New Member

    Mar 21, 2004
    The 2006 Leaderboard

    Code:
    Year	Player Name	Tm	G	A	Tm G	LOAD
    2006	Ante Razov	chv	11	6	25	68.0
    2006	Landon Donovan	la	4	5	15	60.0
    2006	Andy Dorman	ne	5	7	22	54.5
    2006	J. Cunningham	rsl	6	2	15	53.3
    2006	Jason Kreis	rsl	4	4	15	53.3
    2006	Carlos Ruiz	dal	8	5	27	48.1
    2006	T. Twellman	ne	7	3	22	45.5
    2006	Terry Cooke	clr	0	8	18	44.4
    2006	Brian Ching	hou	9	2	25	44.0
    2006	Chr. Gomez	dc	6	6	30	40.0
    2006	JP Garcia     	chv	5	5	25	40.0
    2006	J-P. Peguero	ny	6	1	18	38.9
    2006	Ni. Hernandez	clr	4	3	18	38.9
    2006	D.DeRosario	hou	5	4	25	36.0
    2006	Jaime Moreno    dc	6	4	30	33.3
    2006	S. Stammler	ny	3	3	18	33.3
    2006	Chris Klein     rsl	1	4	15	33.3
    
    Note: PKs have been removed from all goal totals.
     
  4. numerista

    numerista New Member

    Mar 21, 2004
    Percentage of Non-US Key Attackers by Year​


    1996 - 50% (5 out of 10 Key Attackers were non-US players)
    1997 - 50% (5/10)
    1998 - 69% (11/16)
    1999 - 50% (11/22)
    2000 - 59% (10/17)
    2001 - 56% (10/18)
    2002 - 35% (7/20)
    2003 - 30% (3/10)
    2004 - 40% (6/15)
    2005 - 43% (6/14)
    *2006 - 57% (8/14)

    (A "Key Attacker" is one whose Load% is greater than one-third.)

    After dropping off precipitously between 2001 and 2003, foreign attackers have gradually regained a bigger place in MLS offenses. Nevertheless, the situation remains different from 2001. Right now, all eight foreign Key Attackers (see previous post) are under 30 years old, so they represent much more of a long term investment than previous ones did. Past veterans such as Alex Pineda Chacon, John Spencer, and Adolfo Valencia were successful when they arrived, but that didn't last for very long.
     

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