First debate between VP Harris and Trump...The only one? Tues 10 Sept 2024, 9pm EDT

Discussion in 'Politics & Current Events' started by charlie15, Sep 4, 2024.

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  1. Sounders78

    Sounders78 Member+

    Apr 20, 2009
    Olympia
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    Seattle Sounders
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    France

    Late night shows (Kimmel, Colbert, Meyer, Daily Show) have been brilliant the last couple nights.
     
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  2. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    I listened to the whole segment several times and don't understand your rush to explain it away at all.

    First up, Trump is a liar. But it is hard to know in which direction he is lying. IMO this is a classic case where he rushed in to brag, then obfuscate. He may of course have been lying he met with him. That could be the lie. After all, Musk got caught out lying in the same way. We simply don't know if either man met with Putin, or indirectly or what.

    What we do know 100%, is since leaving office, Trump met with Zelensky (phone), Orban and Bibi (f2f). Orban is a Putin surrogate, and no doubt he conveyed a message. I am fairly certain he has communication with Putin, but most likely it was indirect via Orban and other surrogates.

    Then he just blurted it out ...
     
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  3. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
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    I agree it's a stupid media fixation but there is a real related campaign fixation.

    For instance in the leadup to '20, RVAT etc was heavily focussed on soft GOP voters who might switch to Biden - there were 1000s of these switchers, suburban college educated was one demo - but also there were even Obama/Trump switchers ...

    In '24 it's different because you don't so much need to persuade Trump '20 voters to switch (though this demo exists thanks to J6). There is a big focus on Biden '20 voters who have gone soft. This is one reason why Kamala has more upside potential than Trump. He's got a hard ceiling. But Kamala can try to turn out as much of the Biden '20 vote as possible, but get new voters under 29, as well as low propensity women who might now turnout.

    You are correct that these groups mostly are not undecided about Trump. The real issue is whether they can be turned out.
     
  4. roadkit

    roadkit Greetings from the Fringe of Obscurity

    Jul 2, 2003
    Fornax Cluster
    Nat'l Team:
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    Dude was a total pro -- Miller melted down when the reporter refused to accept his BS spin. Classic.
     
  5. roadkit

    roadkit Greetings from the Fringe of Obscurity

    Jul 2, 2003
    Fornax Cluster
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I'm not sure 4 minutes was long enough for him to change his diaper.
     
  6. diablodelsol

    diablodelsol Member+

    Jan 10, 2001
    New Jersey
    The “weird”stuff really hurt him (and republicans in general) because it mocked him….something he cannot stand. A line like what you proposed(or harsher) would have broken him.
     
  7. diablodelsol

    diablodelsol Member+

    Jan 10, 2001
    New Jersey
    Really good job….though to be fair to other journalists ….its much easier to control the interview when you control the mic.
     
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  8. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    It's amazing what cos-play this all is when you stand back and admire it.

    An insane man in nappies is pretending to be a presidential strongman while an actual prosecutor and vice president of the nation has to act all reasonable about it while simultaneously trolling
     
  9. Deadtigers

    Deadtigers Member+

    Jul 23, 2015
    Independent Republic of the Bronx, NY
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    Ghana
    He will be in the parking lot to pick them at 10, you mean.
     
  10. Minnman

    Minnman Member+

    Feb 11, 2000
    Columbus, OH, USA
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I’ve been reconsidering my previous comment where I doubted whether the debate would change much, primarily because Trump’s supposed implosion - to me - wasn’t any different from, and in many cases was toned down from, what he’s been doing for years at his public appearances. I still think that’s largely true. But I think, too, that the issue might be broader than I previously argued, based mostly on which groups constitute the pool of so-called persuadable voters. The focus in here, and in much of the coverage I’ve seen, has equated “undecided,” or independent voters with persuadables. And, fine, those people exist, even though many just seem like nut jobs when they’re given time in the spot light.

    But the persuadable category has to be more multi-dimensional than that. Like old school GOPers who just can’t take it anymore (for whom things like Dick Cheney’s endorsement might mean something). Or casual voters who don’t follow politics closely, might have seen the debate, and for whom seeing Trump do his thing was a new experience that got their attention. Or young, newly eligible voters who don’t tend to turn out in high percentages, who never would have watched two 80 year old white dudes yelling at each other for 90 minutes, but see Harris all over TikTok and decided to tune in (Swift’s endorsement doesn’t hurt here, either). Or those young, male voters who maybe weren’t eligible to vote in ‘20, like Rogan’s podcast, are Trump-curious, but hadn’t paid close attention to him until Tuesday night. Or some voters in the military, who were already annoyed at Trump’s Arlington NC stunt, have heard him repeatedly disparage people in uniform, and maybe only this week heard Harris’ full-throated statements of support for the military, saw the two potential commanders-in-chief side-by-side, and concluded that Harris seems up for the job while Trump doesn’t.

    It’s a long list, could be longer, and is perhaps a bit wishful. Still, I don’t see Harris-Walz losing anyone the way they’re going. For Trump, it’s possible, even if we all know the losses will never be large. But a dozen categorical pin pricks in his support, each leaking a trickle of voters can make a difference in an election this close.

    My wife’s parents passed away in 2016 and early ‘17. They lived in Atlanta, where my wife’s sister and her family also live. Her father was a former naval aviator. Both were rock-solid, old school Republicans. She and I have spoken, numerous times over the years since about what they - especially her father - would have made of Trump. Also, how they’d react to a grandson of theirs in Atlanta who’s decided to begin transitioning to a granddaughter, but that’s a different story. Anyway, maybe it’s wishful thinking, but it’s hard to believe they’d have stayed on the Trump train. I’m not sure they’d vote for a Democrat, but you never know. And we’ll never know.
     
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  11. Q*bert Jones III

    Q*bert Jones III The People's Poet

    Feb 12, 2005
    Woodstock, NY
    Club:
    DC United
    Or children's testicle smashing enthusiast Alberto Gonzalez, who endorsed Kamala yesterday.
     
  12. Deadtigers

    Deadtigers Member+

    Jul 23, 2015
    Independent Republic of the Bronx, NY
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    A republic, if you can keep it.
     
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  13. Cascarino's Pizzeria

    Apr 29, 2001
    New Jersey, USA
    Haitians fearing backlash for that dog/cat eating malarkey. JV Vance like "oh well. Whatevs"

     
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  14. The Irish Rover

    The Irish Rover Member+

    Aug 1, 2010
    Dublin
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    Manchester United FC
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    #739 The Irish Rover, Sep 12, 2024
    Last edited: Sep 12, 2024

    Most of these will be first time voters and lean liberal/progressive, probably quite strongly. They certainly won't be "pro-life".

    All Trump and especially Vance had to do was keep their stupid mouths shut. incElon Musk offering to impregnate her was just the cherry/turd on top.

    That 300K will probably treble by this time next week. Since it's nationwide, it's not enough in itself but an extra 10-15k Harris votes in Michigan, Penn and Wisconsin could make a big difference
     
  15. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
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    United States
    “He is like one of those big balloons when you stick a pin in and it swirls around the room until it comes down to nothing.”

    — Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), talking about Donald Trump on CNN.
     
  16. SamScouse

    SamScouse Member+

    Jun 1, 2015
    Toronto
    Club:
    Liverpool FC
    seeing clips of the the Tw@t's debate performance will (surely to God!) scare the crap out of young votres. but I think the H-W campaign would be well advised to run ads showing his "greatest hits" that they may not be familiar with - to reinforce just how bad he has always been, and make it clear that Tuesday wasn't just a poor night for him.

    it wouldn't hurt to remind people of all ages, actually.

    there's so much to choose from - mocking a disabled man, "inject with bleach", "good people on both sides". "losers in the military" etc etc.

    he's on the ground - start kicking!
     
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  17. The Irish Rover

    The Irish Rover Member+

    Aug 1, 2010
    Dublin
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    Manchester United FC
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    It's hobson's choice: correct him on every lie and the whole debate would break down, plus the cultists' BS whining about bias acquires some superficial plausibility.

    A handful of corrections on not just blatant, but actually bizarre lies reminds people that he's the liar they've been told he is. The non-hardcore cultists will absorb that and be demotivated, not enough to vote Dem in large numbers, but enough to not vote at all or do a write-in.

    I wouldn't be surprised to see the GOP side with a noticeable level of undervoting (people voting for a party's down-ballot candidates but not candidate at the top of the ticket) come November.
     
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  18. ToMhIlL

    ToMhIlL Member+

    Feb 18, 1999
    Boxborough, MA
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    New England Revolution
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    United States
    Yeah, I haven't been following her, but I recall how she used to be. I was wondering if it was a different person with the same name. Like me being mistaken for a 6'5" Black point guard who played for Duke in the '90s.
     
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  19. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
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    Who hates Frum around here? He is a conservative but has been on the side of democracy making a lot of sense for the last few years. I actually prefer to listen to From than the likes of Kristol.
     
  20. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
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    This same neo nazi called Stephen Miller who said last year that: "Trump will implement ‘spectacular migration crackdown".
    What can be "spectacular about a crackdown? The number of heads being cracked by some wannabee storm troopers? How many people can they put in camps in a record time?
     
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  21. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
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    This gruff looking white dude called Bill Moynihan (sp?) who is vehemently against immigrants coming to Springfield, evidently suffers from DEEP economic anxiety.
     
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  22. The Irish Rover

    The Irish Rover Member+

    Aug 1, 2010
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    Manchester United FC
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    #747 The Irish Rover, Sep 12, 2024
    Last edited: Sep 12, 2024
    He was anti-Trump a decade before Trump set foot on that damn escalator. Even before Bush left office, it was clear that he was troubled by that administration's policy failures - as he put it in one interview "Who? Us? isn't going to cut it" - and the birther bullshit was a breaking point.

    As an admirer of his style and a good deal of his politics, I suspect he'd find a lot to admire in Pep's response to the Super League fiasco: "it's not sport [politics] if you can't lose."
     
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  23. The Irish Rover

    The Irish Rover Member+

    Aug 1, 2010
    Dublin
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    Manchester United FC
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    Speaking of David Frum
     
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  24. rslfanboy

    rslfanboy Member+

    Jul 24, 2007
    Section 26
    Yamiche is a national treasure.
     
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  25. The Irish Rover

    The Irish Rover Member+

    Aug 1, 2010
    Dublin
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
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    Back when Miller was emerging into the limelight, I read a profile which did something of a deep dive into his background and spoke to people who'd known him back in high school, where he'd always been outspokenly right wing. One friend who'd joined him some of his "edginess" towards liberals and progressives in the school corridors said "what you have to understand about Stephen is that, Jewish or not, he's SS. This is what he is."

    For that guy and his friends, it had been about shocking the pearl-clutchers: a bit of fun to make a point, a tool to pick up from time to time and then put away. It was the only tool Miller could use, or wanted to.

    By the time graduation came around, Miller was doing his "provocations" alone. His friends grew up. He hasn't
     
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