Matches between top 10 teams are worth double a normal friendly, but unless Germany gets two blowout victories, the can't close a 55+ point gap with two wins. Not likely we will widen the gap much with 1-0 victories. Since it is on USA soil, Germany gets spotted 100 ranking points, which added to the 55+ point gap, the computed expected outcome is 70-75% USA victories. It would gain take 2 big wins to gain much on Germany. If we split, Germany gains a little.