Discussion in 'Elections' started by Father Ted, Nov 1, 2004.
How about a drink every time we hear "Lets go to one of the swing states"...
How about shutting the television off and having a beer the first time you hear one of the major media morons say:
"With 1% of the vote cast for the state of _____, we predict ____!
<<This is actually directly proportional to predicting the winner of the Kentucky Derby with 1% of the race complete!>>
I think this post is the event horizon for "stupidity" in this thread.
Well a lot of that is based on exit polling, but it does seem a bit crazy. I think we won't see many of thsoe statments tomorrow night except in states like New York and Texas where one candidate has no chance.
Matrim55: If you think you can predict the election, on a state level, particularly as close as this vote is going to be, with 1% returns, than your "event horizon" is just above the intellect of a pet rock! However, folks like you predict horseraces with 1% complete all the time... you just neglect to admit when you are wrong!
You can predict with 1% if its the right 1%. Say there is a heavily Republican district in Ohio and it ends up being 50-50, based on that you could say Kerry will win Ohio as there tends to be a swing statewide in favor of one candidate.