Yeah, we're aware. And that's what "usually" happens, but not what "always" happens. I suspect that the effects of the pandemmy on boomers retiring has delayed the ordinary cavalcade of job losses that occurs when rates are raised. And so, the normal routine of job losses had been delayed [so far] in this cycle. The other piece of the puzzle is/was the insanely-long period of time up to Biden where rates were insanely low, for longer than at any other part of recorded economic history. I don't think that we yet know what will occur when the yield curve uninverts. Agreed what "usually" occurs, but this time? I dunno. To my recollection, this is the longest yield curve inversion in recent history.
Today's financial panic looks like the stock crash in 1987—when the economy avoided a recession, market veteran says
Another issue that everyone knows about the inverted yield curve now, so it stops being a good indicator.
https://www.ted.com/talks/scott_galloway_how_the_us_is_destroying_young_people_s_future?subtitle=en Scott Galloway has some brilliant thoughts and a few distasteful opinions IMO but he is spot fücking on when it comes to the idea of intergenerational theft. For example, in the past cyclical economies would allow young people to buy when the market was shitty and sell when the market was good. But now the government bails out the wealthy when the market crashes and so the young can never get into the game. There are now several generations that can't get onto the escalator because it's too crowded by old people refusing to get off.
While old people do have a disproportionate share of the wealth, it's because a few are really, really rich. Poverty among the elderly is going up rather steeply.
Absolutely right, which is maybe a reason why it was a mistake to move American workers from pensions to 401s.