Dow jones plunges 512 points in one day; nasdaq down 136; s&p down 60

Discussion in 'Politics & Current Events' started by American Brummie, Aug 4, 2011.

  1. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Yes, well you may spout the correlation/causation trope but until you provide another satisfactory causal variable mine wins because ALL economists and even most conservatives admit the stimulus was, at worst, a 'sugar pill' for those two years.
     
  2. Timon19

    Timon19 Member+

    Jun 2, 2007
    Akron, OH
    Holy ********.

    You're making contentions left and right (some of them awesomely absolutist) and putting the burden on the person who is questioning them?

    George W. Bush is a lizard-man. Prove me wrong!!!!!!
     
  3. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    1) Yes, people who question the overwhelmingly-accepted status quo are supposed to provide the overriding evidence. That's how life works. The Papacy didn't have to show Galileo evidence that the sun revolved around the Earth, it was on him to steal Copernicus' work and show it to them.

    2) George W. Bush is not reptilian because he is warm-blooded. You can verify this with his Presidential Health Report filed each year by his physician.
     
    1 person likes this.
  4. schrutebuck

    schrutebuck Member+

    Jul 26, 2007
    Exactly. Austerity and cuts is like bleeding a severely ill patient and hoping everything turns out all right. But all the talk how that is the solution to the creating more economic growth because it will create confidence - well I think there has been a realization that more is needed than that.

    For today's event, I would blame the euro-zone negativity. I would blame the US debt negotiations for the general negativity in the markets over the last two weeks though.
     
  5. NGV

    NGV Member+

    Sep 14, 1999
    They're both a cause and effect. Recession leads to growing deficits, policymakers respond with austerity, which deepens the recession (and thus further worsens deficits).
     
  6. Timon19

    Timon19 Member+

    Jun 2, 2007
    Akron, OH
    Yes, people who question the overwhelmingly-accepted status quo are supposed to provide the overriding evidence.

    It was faked!
     
  7. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
  8. nicephoras

    nicephoras A very stable genius

    Fucklechester Rangers
    Jul 22, 2001
    Eastern Seaboard of Yo! Semite
    I thought we were still around 80%? As much as I hate to do this............do you have a link for that?

    The austerity measures are certainly not a cause of the crisis, but they're exacerbating it.
     
  9. Timon19

    Timon19 Member+

    Jun 2, 2007
    Akron, OH
    Agence France-Presse via Yahoo News.

    But I thought it didn't matter. 80%, 100%, it's all awesome.
     
  10. NickyViola

    NickyViola Member+

    May 10, 2004
    Boston
    Club:
    ACF Fiorentina
    Our only hope is to finally get government involved in our economy. They'll fix it!

    I bet there's some crack team of government economists - the elite, the guys behind the guys behind the super committees - in a bunker somewhere planning to rescue us from ourselves.

    We need to go to Defcon Norris, 1932 mode, so that we can be pulled back from the edge of the abyss by 2025 or so.
     
  11. dogface

    dogface Let's Just Pretend

    Jun 22, 2002
    St. Peter, MN
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Not speaking for the original poster, but austerity measures are a reaction to the economic crisis, not the cause.

    Likewise, austerity measures are not helping to pull us out of the crisis. This is not so much a double dip recession as one long period of very slow growth.

    Everybody feels it as a recession, no doubt. But unlike all post-45 recessions, this recession was caused by outside factors. The 2002 and 2008 recessions were caused by a market bubble and a housing bubble, whereas all post-WWII recessions were caused by the fed slowing growth through raising interest rates.

    And since the government can increase demand artificially through spending, it makes no sense to impose austerity measures.
     
  12. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Hopefully Obama sees reason and offers up some scammed employment figures today :p
     
  13. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Two things about this:

    1) 80% versus 100% of GDP in debt is a BFD. 100% of our GDP in debt is psychologically unnerving, even if the economic fundamentals were sound (which they're not).

    2) When it comes to the point that Timon is posting links to prove a certain someone wrong on the facts, perhaps it's time for that certain someone to realize his/her fallibility.
     
  14. VFish

    VFish Member+

    Jan 7, 2001
    Atlanta, GA
    Club:
    Atlanta
    The 80% ratio is from 2009 when Obama took office.
     
  15. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Economy added 117k jobs in July.

    Interesting quote from the article:

     
  16. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
  17. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    So this morning the headline was

    Asian Panic! Crisis Deepens!

    3hrs later

    US job figures provide relief to markets

    So the value of UK equities depends on reports of US job figures

    The markets are so clever :rolleyes:
     
  18. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think that all worldwide stock markets should close for 12 hours following any major economic or international-political news, a la TARP failure or 9/11 or the Greece bailouts. Because markets are imperfect if they work on imperfect information, and it just seems like people are responding to fear or hope or other irrational emotions rather than the cold, hard, analysis with lots of information. Seriously, we got a 500-point slide off of this?:

    1) MDC debt - US, Japan, PIIGS...these debt problems, far from being "news" yesterday, have been around for a while. Why did they cause panic yesterday, of all days?

    2) Jobs reports - adding 117k jobs is not great, but if the anticipation of that news was so stunning, where was the 900-point slide last month?

    3) The deficit-reduction bill - again, in the works for months, passed three days ago. Why yesterday?

    Did all the brokers get together, take a bunch of downers, and let 'er rip after lunch break?
     
  19. MattR

    MattR Member+

    Jun 14, 2003
    Reston
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    It's the computers, silly. One big firm makes a big move based on some insider information, and that triggers a whole lot of pain.

    Then, the talking heads try to guess what happened.

    What happened is people that run companies have made a lot more money moving the jobs that make things Americans used to buy overseas, and the credit that middle class Americans used to buy those things is gone, and the manufacturing companies have not yet "decoupled" their manufacturing markets from the "consumption" markets, so when the US gets a cold...

    What this has to do with debt I'm unsure of, although we *do* owe other people a lot of money, as individuals and as a nation. Perhaps people are worried that we won't raise income through taxes, which is the basis of our debt rating. People lend the US government money because they think we can raise enough income to pay them back.
     
    1 person likes this.
  20. Timon19

    Timon19 Member+

    Jun 2, 2007
    Akron, OH
    Evidently, 117,000 jobs is about 30,000 below population growth.

    Not a perfect comparison, but it IS below replacement.
     
  21. nicephoras

    nicephoras A very stable genius

    Fucklechester Rangers
    Jul 22, 2001
    Eastern Seaboard of Yo! Semite
    Fair enough - I hadn't checked the number in a while.

    The markets just recognize that the US is paramount ;)
    Clever, clever markets!

    So you think the sell-off yesterday was due to one firm's insider trading? Oooook.
     
  22. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The logical thing is to force the lenders to take significant hair cuts. I mean, the risk is why they get to charge interest, right? So now that risk is coming home to roost.

    The only reasons that's pretty much impossible are political reasons, not economic reasons.
     
  23. argentine soccer fan

    Staff Member

    Jan 18, 2001
    San Francisco Bay Area
    Club:
    CA Boca Juniors
    Nat'l Team:
    Argentina
    What if they are bald?
     
  24. dogface

    dogface Let's Just Pretend

    Jun 22, 2002
    St. Peter, MN
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    It's a hair austerity program.
     
  25. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States

Share This Page