Wouldn't they drop five points, rather than four, in that scenario? Instead of six points from those two games, they'd have one. It's a pretty unlikely scenario, anyway. Not since Rocky Bleier retired. Tiebreakers are worth a half-point, not a point. Consider: if we're three points up on a team and have the tie-break against them, we're not four points up on them. If they subsequently earned three points while we earned none, we'd be up on them because of the tie-break. But if they then earned another point while we earned none, they'd be up on us, tie-break or no tie-break. But you're right that this is the optimal result. Yes. You forgot the other results we want this weekend: Cowlumbus to beat KC; Jersey and Chicago to draw; and Houston and LA to draw. 1. Of the three teams on the bubble for the playoffs -- Chicago, Cowlumbus and Colorado -- I'd much rather have Cowlumbus in. Chicago and Colorado are much more dangerous, especially in playoffs. So Cowlumbus should win, and the other two should lose. 2. However, I can't bring myself to root for Jersey to win anything. So Jersey and Chicago should draw. 3. Likewise, a loss would put more distance between us and Houston for the Shield; but I can't bring myself to root for LA to win anything. So, a draw there too.