As of July 13, forecasts suggest 24 states and territories are likely to report more #COVID19 deaths in the next 4 weeks than in the previous 4 weeks. Nationally, between 150,000 and 170,000 total deaths are expected by August 8. See state-level forecasts: https://t.co/Ft6cgmaMPX pic.twitter.com/sp5wlDLUni— CDC (@CDCgov) July 16, 2020 That graph is the best science can provide? The US Army Engineer Research and Development Center numbers were bypassed by reality a month ago. And what's with those massive error bars by MIT and others? If I give my number a 95% confidence area that stretches from here to the moon I can pull a number out of my ass and be right too. I'm 95% sure the weight of a 747 is between 1000 and 1,000,000,000 kilos but that hardly means you should trust my knowledge of passenger aircraft. Hey, everyone, noisy data that we smoothed down to gentle curve is going to keep being a gentle curve for a short time in the future, with error bars of everyone dying to 20,000 people coming back to life. Give me some grant money. What the heck are these people doing with their massive computers, playing Fallout 4? Well, if they are let me tell them that they should really install the Clean Warehouses and Barns mod because it's a lot more satisfying to build housing for your settlers that doesn't have holes in the wall or broken windows. I mean, if you are building something from scratch, why build it with broken windows? Come on, Bethesda that just doesn't make sense.