NSR: Coronavirus: A global Pandemic.

New cases is kind of a bad indicator as it has been limited by the number of tests. It’s hard to decipher whether the plateau in new cases is because of the spread has slowed/plateaued, or if it is because the number of tests has slowed/plateaued.. The only real indicators are the number of hospitalizations (only about 1/4 of states report this) and deaths, which does seem to have plateaued/peaked in the last few days.

 

We can still derive trends from new cases, unless you're willing to say that the proportionality between tests and confirmed cases is pretty much exactly and always 1:1.

 

You are right to be sceptical of what the Chinese Government is telling you but they did give enough information about the disease in January to enable us (Australia) to limit spread from people returning from China (we have a fairly large Chinese population here, both permanent and transient who tend to travel in January/February). It's a shame that the US Government had their heads in the sand about it and kept saying it wasn't a problem for them as people travelling from the USA were the largest external source of Covid 19 infections in Australia.

 

Would be correct to say that for Australia's fight against the coronavirus, China was a more honest and better neighbor than was the United States?

 

These wingnuts want to fire the one guy that actually believes in science.....[emoji36]

 

Well, that was expected. Fauci did not try to hide and cover up for him this am with Jake Tapper.

 

Fauci did say some areas of the US economy can reopen by May. Regardless the nation will be fully reopen by mid June. After that we Test, Trace and isolate.

Many posters on this thread want the economy to be shutdown for 12-18 months. No way the country can wait that long to be open. Schools, businesses, churches need to be open again. Memorial Day at the earliest. If you are sick stay home. If you are old. Stay home. Board up and guard the nursing homes. Let the rest get back to living.

 

Science is a process, not a god.

 

Fauci currently has an 85% approval rating. If Trump fires him, orders a national re-opening, and then the virus takes off, that would be one of the great all-time political blunders. Not to mention a human tragedy.

 

And in other news, my town just had its biggest jump in cases yet.

Let's all go back to work!

 

Can you site these many posters or are they voices in your head?

 

AbCellera

 

This happens in my country as well and is put down to a reduction in testing over the weekend.

 

We're talking about recorded deaths.

 

Put up or shut up. Name them.

Edit: I see @Deadtigers beat me to the punch.

 

I will stay north of Isabella on my walks.

 

Same concept. The speculation is that the deaths don’t actually slowdown over the weekend, they just aren’t being reported until Monday or Tuesday

 

Gotcha. It's funny how people still observe weekends. My company is of course now entirely virtual, and the nature of the work is for longish project times, not "this needs to be down by tomorrow." I still don't hear much from people on weekends, there is a good chance if I send a Friday PM email I won't receive an answer until Monday AM.

 

I don't remember the 60s.

 

I suspect the problem in the US case was not a deliberate attempt at dishonesty, but an unwillingness to recognise reality by your leaders. China was very secretive in Nov/Dec when it first hit them, but their attempts to supress the spread were very strong. It's only when those attempts fell short that they started to warn others and they were pretty quick to share information. As far as this pandemic goes, if we need outside help I suspect we are more likely to get it from China than the USA. As far as economic recovery goes, probably the same. China is our largest trading partner by a good distance, accounting for approx. triple the trade we have with the USA (3rd on our list).