CONMEBOL Nations Ecosystem Ranking

Discussion in 'CONMEBOL' started by Kamtedrejt, Apr 24, 2023.

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Which nation is fifth in CONMEBOL right now?

  1. Ecuador

    4 vote(s)
    100.0%
  2. Peru

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Chile

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. Paraguay

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. Kamtedrejt

    Kamtedrejt Member+

    Internazionale Milano
    Albania
    Mar 14, 2017
    Hamburg
    Club:
    FC Internazionale Milano
    Nat'l Team:
    Albania
    Here we go. That's my ecosystem ranking for CONMEBOL using the same exact model I used for the AFC.

    Bear in mind my model takes into account

    - NT Form => 50% weighting
    - Youth results => 20% weighting
    - Pedigree = 20% weighting
    - Club Success => 10% weighting

    National team form since 2019 has been considered. Youth results since the year of 2013. Subject of my my research were the results at the U20 level and the Summer Olympics. Pedigree refers to the past results. To be precise it starts with 2006 WCQ and the 2007 Copa America. Everything before that was not taken into account. Club success refers to results obtained in the Copa America and the Copa Sudamericana since 2016. All results for each metrics were calculated based on a formular. It's not feelings related but stats related.


    Nation_____________________Score


    1. Argentina_______________9.15
    NT Form___________________10
    Youth______________________6.5
    Pedigree___________________10
    Club success_______________8.5

    2. Brazil__________________9.15
    NT Form___________________9.5
    Youth______________________7.5
    Pedigree___________________9.5
    Club success_______________10

    3. Uruguay________________6.90
    NT Form___________________6.5
    Youth______________________10
    Pedigree___________________6.5
    Club success_______________3.5

    4. Colombia_______________6.25
    NT Form___________________6.5
    Youth______________________7.0
    Pedigree___________________5.5
    Club success_______________5.0

    5. Ecuador________________5.15
    NT Form___________________5.5
    Youth______________________5.5
    Pedigree___________________3.5
    Club success_______________6.0

    6. Peru___________________5.00
    NT Form___________________7.0
    Youth______________________2.0
    Pedigree___________________5.0
    Club success_______________1.0

    7. Chile___________________4.80
    NT Form___________________5.5
    Youth______________________3.5
    Pedigree___________________5.5
    Club success_______________2.5

    8. Paraguay_______________4.75
    NT Form___________________5.0
    Youth______________________4.0
    Pedigree___________________4.5
    Club success_______________5.5

    9. Venezuela______________3.55
    NT Form___________________4.0
    Youth______________________4.5
    Pedigree___________________2.5
    Club success_______________1.5

    10. Bolivia________________2.05
    NT Form___________________2.5
    Youth______________________1.5
    Pedigree___________________1.0
    Club success_______________3.0


    I think it's safe to say that Argentina and Brazil form a top 2 while Uruguay and Colombia round off what is a strong top 4.

    There are in Ecuador, Peru, Chile and Paraguay four nations that can pretend to be the fifth best nation in CONMEBOL. The margins are very small as highlighted in my ranking. The upcoming 2026 cycle will give us a better indication on which nation is fifth.

    For more information check out the following link:

    https://kassiesa.net/uefa/forum2/viewtopic.php?t=6049
     

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