Concacaf Qualifying For World Cup 2022 Prediction Contest: Round 1 [R]

The score predictions were very close. The maximum was 4 points per game, which was 224. I gave the top people (there was a tie) 13.2, and everybody else got their score divided by the top score multiplied by 13.2. Here are everybody's scores out of 224, amount of correct results, and amount of exact scores:

Tied 1. EvanJ: 113, 45, 5
Tied 1. Dr. Gamera: 113, 42, 9
3. IASocFan: 111, 43, 6
4. barnabyjonez: 108, 43, 4
5. jagum: 106, 43, 6
6. italiancbr: 102, 42, 4
Tied 7. Paul Calixte: 98, 39, 2
Tied 7. edcalvi: 98, 41, 2 (predicted 51 games and missed Matchday 6)
9. devioustrevor: 9, 3, 0 (predicted 3 games)

Here are a list of the exact scores and what matchday they were in, with 9A meaning games between top seeds and 9B meaning the other games on June 8:

Dr. Gamera: 9
Suriname 3-0 Cayman Islands (1)
El Salvador 2-0 Grenada (2)
Cuba 5-0 British Virgin Islands (6)
Dominica 3-0 Anguilla (6)
British Virgin Islands 0-8 Curacao (8)
Anguilla 0-13 Panama (8)
Barbados 1-1 Dominica (9A)
El Salvador 3-0 Antigua and Barbuda (9B)
Panama 3-0 Dominican Republic (9B)

IASocFan: 6
Suriname 3-0 Cayman Islands (1)
Guatemala 1-0 Cuba (1)
El Salvador 2-0 Grenada (2)
Haiti 2-0 Belize (2)
British Virgin Islands 0-3 Guatemala (3)
Canada 4-0 Suriname (9B)

jagum: 6
Suriname 3-0 Cayman Islands (1)
Guatemala 1-0 Cuba (1)
Montserrat 1-1 El Salvador (4)
Grenada 1-0 U.S. Virgin Islands (5)
St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3-0 British Virgin Islands (5)
Curacao 0-0 Guatemala (9B)

EvanJ: 5
Antigua and Barbuda 2-2 Montserrat (1)
Suriname 3-0 Cayman Islands (1)
St. Vincent and the Grenadines 3-0 British Virgin Islands (5)
Aruba 0-7 Canada (8)
Grenada 1-2 Montserrat (9A)

barnabyjonez: 4
El Salvador 2-0 Grenada (2)
U.S. Virgin Islands 0-3 Antigua and Barbuda (3)
Montserrat 1-1 El Salvador (4)
Cuba 5-0 British Virgin Islands (6)

italiancbr: 4
Dominica 3-0 Anguilla (6)
Antigua and Barbuda 1-0 Grenada (7)
Grenada 1-2 Montserrat (9A)
Trinidad and Tobago 2-0 St. Kitts and Nevis (9B)

Paul Calixte: 2
Aruba 0-6 Suriname (3)
Cuba 1-2 Curacao (4)

edcalvi: 2
Montserrat 1-1 El Salvador (4)
Guyana 0-2 Puerto Rico (9A)

Here are everybody's score prediction scores out of 13.2:

Tied 1. EvanJ: 13.200
Tied 1. Dr. Gamera: 13.200
3. IASocFan: 12.966
4. barnabyjonez: 12.616
5. jagum: 12.382
6. italiancbr: 11.915
Tied 7. Paul Calixte: 11.448
Tied 7. edcalvi: 11.448 (predicted 51 games and missed Matchday 6)
9. devioustrevor: 1.051 (predicted 3 games)

For points off in the standings, each group was out of 1.25 except for Group E that had 6/10ths the amount of games and 6/10ths the value, which was 0.75. It made a total of 7. Since you don't want to be off, the lowest score is the best. Within each group, the top person got the maximum, the bottom person got 0, and everyone else was distributed proportionately in between. For example, if the points off ranged from 5 to 10 in a group other than Group E, 5 would convert to 1.25, 6 would convert to 1, 7 would convert to 0.75, 8 would convert to 0.5, 9 would convert to 0.25, and 10 would convert to 0. Here are the scores for each group and the sum with each person's points off and score out of 1.25 or 0.75:

Group A:
Tied 1. EvanJ: 3, 1.250
Tied 1. barnaboyjonez: 3, 1.250
3. italiancbr: 4, 1.111
4. jagum: 5, 0.972
5. Paul Calixte: 6, 0.833
6. Dr. Gamera: 11, 0.139
7. IASocFan: 12, 0.000

Group B:
1. Paul Calixte: 3, 1.250
Tied 2. EvanJ: 4, 1.071
Tied 2. Dr. Gamera: 4, 1.071
Tied 4. jagum: 7, 0.536
Tied 4. IASocFan 7, 0.536
Tied 4. italiancbr: 7, 0.536
7. barnabyjonez: 10, 0.000

Group C:
Tied 1. EvanJ: 3, 1.250
Tied 1. jagum: 3, 1.250
Tied 1. IASocFan: 3, 1.250
Tied 1. Paul Calixte: 3, 1.250
Tied 5. barnabyjonez: 4, 1.042
Tied 5. Dr. Gamera: 4, 1.042
7. italiancbr: 9, 0.000

Group D:
Tied 1. barnabyjonez: 3, 1.250
Tied 1. Dr. Gamera: 3, 1.250
Tied 3. EvanJ: 4, 1.042
Tied 3. jagum: 4, 1.042
Tied 3. IASocFan: 4, 1.042
Tied 3. Paul Calixte: 4, 1.042
7. italiancbr: 9, 0.000

Group E:
Tied 1. EvanJ: 0, 0.750
Tied 1. barnabyjonez: 0, 0.750
Tied 1. IASocFan: 0, 0.075
Tied 1. Dr. Gamera: 0, 0.750
Tied 5. jagum: 3, 0.375
Tied 5. italiancbr: 3, 0.375
7. Paul Calixte: 6, 0.000

Group F:
1. italiancbr: 7, 1.250
2. jagum: 9, 0.938
Tied 3. EvanJ: 10, 0.781
Tied 3. Dr. Gamera: 10, 0.781
5. IASocFan: 12, 0.469
6. barnabyjonez: 13, 0.313
7. Paul Calixte: 15, 0.000

Standings Points Off Out of 7.000:
1. EvanJ: 6.144
2. jagum: 5.112
3. Dr. Gamera: 5.033
4. barnabyjonez: 4.604
5. Paul Calixte: 4.375
6. IASocFan: 4.046
7. italiancbr: 3.272

The component where you got 1 point per group winner correct was out of 6:

Tied 1. EvanJ: 5.000
Tied 1. jagum: 5.000
Tied 1. Dr. Gamera: 5.000
Tied 4. barnabyjonez: 4.000
Tied 4. IASocFan: 4.000
Tied 4. Paul Calixte: 4.000
Tied 4. italiancbr: 4.000

jagum and I correctly predicted Curacao to win, and Dr. Gamera correctly predicted St. Kitts and Nevis to win. El Salvador, Canada, Panama, and Haiti were unanimous correct predictions.

I thought I was done scoring predictions, but I realized that I didn't score the predictions for spots second through fifth the way I said I would.

edcalvi did not predict Matchday 6 and was ineligible for standings predictions points, so I listed seven people.

 

For each team you predicted to be in a spot below first, you got 0.40 if you were correct, 0.24 for being one spot off, 0.08 for being two spots off, and 0 for being three or four spots off, which happened when two people predicted St. Kitts and Nevis to be fourth. If you predicted a team to be first and they were not first, you get 0. I made each group winner 2.5 times the value of the other spots because winning was the only way to advance. This was out of 9.2, but in order to get 9.2 you had to have every group winner correct, which nobody did. There wasn't much difference between first and last in this component:

1. EvanJ: 8.40
2. jagum: 8.16
Tied 3. Paul Calixte: 7.92
Tied 3. italiancbr: 7.92
5. Dr. Gamera: 7.76
6. barnabyjonez: 7.60
7. IASocFan: 7.36

People combined to get 87.727 from score predictions, 32.586 from standings points off, 31.000 from group winners, and 55.120 from rankings of second through fifth. That is 206.433 points. Here are the Round 1 totals:

1. EvanJ: 32.744 (I was sole first in two components and tied for first in the other two)
2. Dr. Gamera: 30.993
3. jagum: 30.654
4. barnabyjonez: 28.820
5. IASocFan: 28.372
6. Paul Calixte: 27.743
7. italiancbr: 27.107
8. edcalvi: 11.448 (predicted 51 of 56 games and no points for standings predictions)
9. devioustrevor: 1.051 (predicted 3 games)

So far all seven people predicted El Salvador, six of seven predicted Canada, and five of seven predicted Panama. Each Round 2 aggregate winner is worth 0.7, and everybody from second through sixth is within 0.7 of at least one person. The Round 2 score predictions combined are out of 3.

@Paul Calixte
Can you lock and unsticky this topic and sticky the Round 2 topic? Anybody who wants to comment on their score can do so in the Round 2 topic.