Pre-match: Can't believe it took this long for this thread, the 2024 Presidential election thread!

Really?

Let's cut and paste your post #7459 that I'd quoted:

..."Costs of living go up, interest rates go up + income remains the same and wealth (via home equity or stocks) remains the same = you have less money and lose buying power."

So yes, yes you did:

1. You DID try to deny that incomes were up.
2. You DID try to deny that the stock market is up, and
3. You DID try to deny that home values are UP.

All in an attempt to describe a term you made up.


Now, I've been more than fair to you. I've defended you, because I'd respected your heretofore attempts to post here. But, I don't appreciate being lied to.

 

Wait, are you suggesting. . . that the "law and order candidate" he prefers, who will pardon January 6th offenders on January 20th, 2025, isn't really interested in law and order?

 

Oh: My bad... just saw this.

He'll pardon the January 6th offenders, too. Trump only cares about law as a weapon, not as something that he has to obey.

 

Out of all the crap that poster has spewed out, this is really the most shocking. I have said, since Trump was first nominated, that there is a different reality for the followers of Trump, one that is not based in any kind of reality but rather on the musings of a senile old bully.

 

One wonders how many convicted felons would be in a hypothetical Trump #2 administration. Names that come to mind include: Flynn, Manafort, I guess Bannon's contempt of Congress jail time is only a misdemeanor. I'm sure there are others.

Hopefully, we'll never actually know the answer.

 

It is known as the MAGAverse, where logic and facts are optional and they change to accommodate dear leader's latest desires.

 

This clown pollster in Michigan got spooked by the DMR/Selzer poll in Iowa....

This is Mitchell Research, a Michigan-based pollster with exclusively Republican political clients.

They have a 2.4 / 3.0⭐️ rating from FiveThirtyEight.

You almost never see a pollster publicly adjust their sample composition/weighting like this.

Dude got spooked by something. https://t.co/ZlotmgxqJ8

— Adam Carlson (@admcrlsn) November 4, 2024

 

Everyone knows a convicted felon is tougher on crime than a former prosecutor / attorney general

 

Yeah, I feel like now I have some experience with a sociopath. A stone cold liar. I briefly interacted with one about a decade ago as well. In both cases, it took me some time and reflection to realize what was going on.

 

Like how someone who says climate change is a hoax will do better at dealing with the issue than someone who thinks it is a serious problem?

 

I worked closely with a narcissist for 14 years. It prepared me for today's politics.

 

I think you are right but there is no inevitability about this. There are certainly US states that are de facto one party states either Democratic or Republican. It's not beyond the realm of possibility that this happens at a national level.

 

So funny..just got this from a friend in Jamaica.....Unlike our in house maga from Jamaican origin, most Jamaicans and Jamaican Americans are hoping the same.....

 

They are NOT trying to convince you. They are trying to convince themselves.

 

It's abortion, stupid

New from @BillKristol https://t.co/7YodMeorbk

— Sam Stein (@samstein) November 3, 2024

 

I was in PA this weekend, although in Philly and its burbs, but it was all Harris all the time there, I saw 1 Trump sign in 2 days there. Same vibes described below...

I spent the weekend in Scranton, Pa., seeing what the campaigns were doing to boost voter turnout. Harris had a flood of volunteers. Trump had … little to nothing, focusing instead on the imaginary threat of illegal voting. Gift link: https://t.co/x983sxBKad

— Philip Bump (@pbump) November 4, 2024

 

Almost as if he isn't trying to win at the polls.

 

It just makes me think of this:

 

Josh Marshall is making the same point that Krystol is making in the tweet above....

Was It Iowa’s Abortion Ban?
by Josh Marshall
We’re still pretty much where we were last night on that Selzer poll. It’s hard to know what it means or whether it matters. It’s just one poll. The most interesting day-after analysis I’ve seen centers on the fact that an abortion ban went into effect in the state just in July. And it went into effect pretty clearly against a big majority of the state’s residents.
An earlier Selzer poll already showed Iowa much closer than people anticipated. It’s also a state with a lot of white people with college degrees. So there’s some argument that it might be more Harris friendly than people expect. It’s even occurred that picking up some of the ad spend out of Nebraska could be having an impact in Iowa.
So maybe those are parts of an explanation. But it seems like folks working in the inside DC publications have fixed on the abortion ban blowback theory of the case. But that in itself is pretty disquieting news for the Trump campaign, to put it mildly. Note too that a lot of these polls we’re seeing now show abortion moving straight to the top of the issue matrix for voters.

 

In 2020, AAPI voters in GA turned out at a massive rate, their early vote eclipsing their total early AND election day turnout in the 2016 election. With our latest early vote update in GA, AAPI turnout has surpassed that 2020 early vote total.

— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) November 3, 2024

PS. Presidential Horse Race: Among Asian American voters, Harris leads Trump by 38 percentage points

 

Trump is going to have to utterly dominate Election Day voting to win.

If y’all want someone to pee into your corn flakes this morning, I’m your man. Here’s a theory. Maybe the Dems’ incredible ground game has mostly worked to bank votes early, which ain’t nothing, but will have little impact if the weather is good in all the swing states. The ground game hasn’t necessarily changed Rs to Ds or NVs to Ds.

Eh, just a theory.

 

We will also know the results tomorrow night and not have to wait a few days. I also don't trust pollsters to not undercount Trump's support. All the news organizations are going to act shocked on Wednesday morning about how this super tight election ended up not being as tight as advertised.