Pre-match: Can't believe it took this long for this thread, the 2024 Presidential election thread!

Discussion in 'Elections' started by ceezmad, Nov 7, 2020.

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Who will be the 2 Candidates for the 2 big parties in 2024

  1. Joe Biden

    34 vote(s)
    53.1%
  2. Kamala Harris

    20 vote(s)
    31.3%
  3. Bernie Sanders

    2 vote(s)
    3.1%
  4. Ted Cruz

    1 vote(s)
    1.6%
  5. Donald Trump (from prison)

    28 vote(s)
    43.8%
  6. One of the Trump idiots

    4 vote(s)
    6.3%
  7. A Never Trump Republican

    2 vote(s)
    3.1%
  8. The dude from Florida (not florida man)

    6 vote(s)
    9.4%
  9. A Trumpian Republican

    10 vote(s)
    15.6%
  10. Hail Grimes!

    10 vote(s)
    15.6%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    This has been shown to be incorrect. I'm on my phone so not gonna find the analysis, but it ended up being 47% (as I recall). Of course, I only learned this recently, so I was of the same thought, too.
     
  2. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here ya go. And, technically what was initially said is actually correct. But the myth is that 52% of White women voted for Trump, which is what I was inferring the original statement to say.

    https://time.com/5422644/trump-white-women-2016/

    The 52% statistic appears to be one of those myths. According to a later analysis that experts consider more reliable, a study published in August by the Pew Research Center, the percentage of white women who voted for Trump was actually 47%, compared to 45% for Clinton. That’s still a plurality, and still makes white women more Trump-positive than the overall electorate, which supported Clinton by a 48%-46% margin.
     
  3. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Related, and this came up in Longwell's Focus Group last week, was that no Dem has won an election with less than 60% of the youth vote. According to the Harvard poll (survey?) posted several pages ago, that percentage in support of Harris is now at 61%.
     
  4. Hayaka

    Hayaka Member+

    Jun 21, 2009
    San Francisco North Bay, Bel Marin Keys
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    Denmark
    Okay, but I’m much more interested in the numbers for ALL undecided women, not just white women. White women are only about 60% of women in the electorate.
     
  5. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
    1843093610176319544 is not a valid tweet id
     
  6. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    So Trump took the stage with the leading online purveyor of anti-semitism and neonazi groups?

    Did everyone join the protests about this?
     
  7. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    And a foreign born immigrant. Somebody should ask if eats cats and dogs.
     
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  8. Deadtigers

    Deadtigers Member+

    Jul 23, 2015
    Independent Republic of the Bronx, NY
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Ghana
    I am waiting for thr Congressional hearings and people to post clips of Boebert and say but I wasn't familiar with her work.
     
  9. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Deadtigers repped this.
  10. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    This is way over the top and overwrought. Plus, lead exposure dates don't really line up. An old classic article on the effect of lead on crime rates:

    https://www.motherjones.com/environ...sure-gasoline-crime-increase-children-health/
     
  11. Kazuma

    Kazuma Member+

    Chelsea
    Jul 30, 2007
    Detroit
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Growing up under Nixon, Reagan, HW, then having W Bush in your adult years will do that too.
     
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  12. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    (((they))) control the weather
     
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  13. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
  14. Sounders78

    Sounders78 Member+

    Apr 20, 2009
    Olympia
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    France

    If "they" did, you would think "they" would be sending tornadoes directly at MTG's house, at Mar-a-lago, etc.
     
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  15. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    And the distribution of lead was uneven throughout the country.
     
  16. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    #5766 The Jitty Slitter, Oct 8, 2024
    Last edited: Oct 8, 2024
    also the higher crime rates were not just in the US.

    we had them as well.

    I had to have this convo with my mother recently as she was going on about the dangerous crime at the mall so we looked at what was just accepted in the 80s when we roamed the streets and sports fields till past dark with no mobile phone and no one cared
     
  17. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    One of the dangers of being too US centric is that many of these kinds of trends are international.

    I remember reading a great article from a UK Tory about how they should have declared victory on crime after the 90s because their policies had worked - but instead they keep going on about how crime has got worse when it hasn't.

    And of course Gen X was typically more liberal than our parents. Lots of social progress in the last couple of decades was achieved by us!
     
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  18. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Of course this already happened on Covid but the behaviour of Trump. MTG and Maga generally on the hurricane response really should serve as yet another warning about the dangers of unchecked propaganda

    The idea 1A means you have to allow this seems bizarre to me
     
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  19. Deadtigers

    Deadtigers Member+

    Jul 23, 2015
    Independent Republic of the Bronx, NY
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Ghana
    This nostalgia feeling is what Trump and MAGA are after. This is what I blame 24 hour news for. More outlets reporting on crime so it feels like it is happening more often.
     
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  20. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I can safely guess those "they" are not the gentiles...... Where are the Bill Ackmans of the world when you need them?
     
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  21. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    About the lead in gasoline -> crime theory…I’m not gonna debate this. It’s a real effect. Kevin Drum has been writing about it for a decade or something. Off and on he’s posted about studies showing the link.
     
  22. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    #5772 The Jitty Slitter, Oct 8, 2024
    Last edited: Oct 8, 2024
    so trump is just openly colluding with Putin and now no one even cares.

     
  23. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    remember it was pointed out Trump accidentally fessed to this several times including in the debate. and people explained it away.

    musk admitted it as well.
     
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  24. Sounders78

    Sounders78 Member+

    Apr 20, 2009
    Olympia
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    France

    It's not news but a confirmation of what everyone assumed to be happening all along.
     
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  25. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    That is a solid ad....

     
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