Pre-match: Can't believe it took this long for this thread, the 2024 Presidential election thread!

Discussion in 'Elections' started by ceezmad, Nov 7, 2020.

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Who will be the 2 Candidates for the 2 big parties in 2024

  1. Joe Biden

    34 vote(s)
    54.0%
  2. Kamala Harris

    20 vote(s)
    31.7%
  3. Bernie Sanders

    2 vote(s)
    3.2%
  4. Ted Cruz

    1 vote(s)
    1.6%
  5. Donald Trump (from prison)

    27 vote(s)
    42.9%
  6. One of the Trump idiots

    4 vote(s)
    6.3%
  7. A Never Trump Republican

    2 vote(s)
    3.2%
  8. The dude from Florida (not florida man)

    6 vote(s)
    9.5%
  9. A Trumpian Republican

    10 vote(s)
    15.9%
  10. Hail Grimes!

    10 vote(s)
    15.9%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    She is such a pathetic sellout and a vulgar opportunist.

    Nikki Haley told CBS News that she was “on standby” to campaign for Donald Trump if he asked.

    Said Haley: “He’s aware that I’m ready if he ever needs me to do that.”
     
    SetPeace, dapip and The Jitty Slitter repped this.
  2. Deadtigers

    Deadtigers Member+

    Jul 23, 2015
    Independent Republic of the Bronx, NY
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Ghana
    White pages. But your phone number is true people search dot com and you can see if it is attributed to you.
     
  3. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    It’s my studied opinion that his weave is closer to an AI hallucination, assuming a chatbot could take acid while simulating the experience of mid-stage Alzheimer’s.
     
  4. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
    Apparently whoever created this, asked google to translate into Latin…

     
  5. spejic

    spejic Cautionary example

    Mar 1, 1999
    San Rafael, CA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Quid quid latine dictum sit, altum viditur.
     
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  6. Unimane

    Unimane Member+

    Jul 28, 2009
    Nashville
    Club:
    Borussia Dortmund
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I remember reading the same exact stuff from people on the ground in Milwaukee and Florida. They assumed Wisconsin was in the bag and Milwaukee folks were begging for help, to no avail. In Miami, the GOP there got in good with a very influential Spanish speaking talk show guy who painted Hillary as a communist, getting no pushback.
     
    Dr. Wankler and charlie15 repped this.
  7. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I can only hope this sentiment will spread around more PA republicans.

    CNN interviewed two voters in Pennsylvania:
    REPORTER: Who will you vote for?
    VOTER: Kamala Harris.

    REPORTER: Were you Democrats before?
    VOTER: I’m a Republican.

    REPORTER: Why are you voting the other way?
    VOTER: Because she behaves more like a human”
     
  8. argentine soccer fan

    Staff Member

    Jan 18, 2001
    San Francisco Bay Area
    Club:
    CA Boca Juniors
    Nat'l Team:
    Argentina
    LOL! Pathetic.
     
  9. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Man.....The latest polls are not doing anything to calm my anxieties.....:unsure:.

    In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — all tight races — a new CBS News poll finds the larger contours of the entire presidential contest ahead of the first Harris-Trump debate.

    • Michigan: Harris, 50%, Trump 49%
    • Pennsylvania: Harris 50%, Trump 50%
    • Wisconsin: Harris 51%, Trump 49%
    A new New York Times/Siena College poll found Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris, 48% to 47%, within the poll’s three-percentage-point margin of error and largely unchanged from a Times/Siena poll taken in late July just after President Biden dropped his re-election bid.
     
    rslfanboy repped this.
  10. Kazuma

    Kazuma Member+

    Chelsea
    Jul 30, 2007
    Detroit
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    I saw a billboard of a guy who said he voted for Trump twice and said he’s voting for Harris this time.

    I keep hammering home that the GOP is going to be done in by abortion and by being weird for a reason.
     
    SetPeace and charlie15 repped this.
  11. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    A+ rated pollster


     
  12. Hayaka

    Hayaka Member+

    Jun 21, 2009
    San Francisco North Bay, Bel Marin Keys
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    Denmark
    Cherry-picking polls is never a good look.

    If you take the state polls from that same pollster, Harris wins the election. But that would be cherry-picking as well.
     
    ArsenalMetro repped this.
  13. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Do you want to feel a bit better?
    Show Spoiler
    I expect Harris to outperform polls by 2 points or so because she is going to have a vastly superior ground game.

    Do you want to feel a bit worse?
    Show Spoiler

    Both times Trump ran, polling models underestimated his vote by 2 points or so.

    LOL he always does that
     
  14. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here’s a variable I haven’t seen discussed.

    In September, Trump will finally be allowed to sell his shares in Truth Social. The “dump” part of pump and dump comes into play.

    If Trump floods the markets with his shares, how will that story play out?
     
  15. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Based on Wisconsin, I don't think they are being overconfident. I've also heard commentary that Harris modified her position on fracking specifically for Pennsylvania.
     
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  16. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here's something to keep in mind about Wisconsin: Since 1992 (maybe since 1980), a Democrat has won the Presidential race when a 3rd party candidate got less than 3% of the vote. That is likely this time, and that Harris/Walz are taking Wisconsin seriously, plus Wikler, make me think Wisconsin is going blue.
     
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  17. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
    Latini Ite donum!!

     
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  18. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I am not overly worry about Wi....Pa is keeping me awake at night though.
     
    soccernutter repped this.
  19. Sounders78

    Sounders78 Member+

    Apr 20, 2009
    Olympia
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    France

    If he wins PA and GA it's game over (assuming North Carolina, Texas and Florida go for him as well). That would result in 269 votes, which is all the GOP need given the tie breaker.
     
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  20. Minnman

    Minnman Member+

    Feb 11, 2000
    Columbus, OH, USA
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    She hasn’t had that position on fracking since 2020.

    Banning fracking is something a Democratic candidate for the presidency embraces when trying to differentiate herself from a crowd of other candidates. It didn’t work. It would be odd for someone who’s served as VP for the past four years to just revert back to all the positions she held in 2019-20.
     
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  21. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    #4996 charlie15, Sep 9, 2024
    Last edited: Sep 9, 2024
    Better numbers this morning from ABC. Not trying to unskew yesterdsy NYT poll, but some of their cross tabs are pretty problematic. The NYT poll has Harris at 78% with black voters, that doesn’t make any sense.


    A new ABC News/Ipsos poll finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally among likely voters, 52% to 46%.
    While those numbers are virtually identical to the last poll, closer assessment shows movement to Harris in some groups when comparing all adults with likely voters — notably, those younger than 40, younger women in particular and Black people”
     
  22. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I guess that was too authoritarian and fascist for Axios to sanitize.....

    Donald Trump “is now proposing two of the largest-ever federal arrests of people living in America, including U.S. citizens, if he’s re-elected,” Axiosreports.
    “Trump is saying, with specificity, how he would increase the use of federal power if he returns to the White House. No need to rely on what advisers and allies say — he says it himself.”
     
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  23. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    BREAKING NEWS!!! Politico reports that Trump’s debate strategy is to complain that the debate is unfair.

    Who would have guessed such a bold, new direction for Trump???
     
    Deadtigers and Dr. Wankler repped this.
  24. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  25. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The latest Focus Group from Longwell was...weird. Black and Latino voters who are considering Trump. Runs the gamut from "she's trying to be too Black" to "she was forced on us". The Latinos in the episode seemed to have fewer problems with her than the Blacks. :confused:
     
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