Pre-match: Can't believe it took this long for this thread, the 2024 Presidential election thread!

#New General Election poll - Latino voters

🔵 Harris 56% (+19)
🔴 Trump 37%

Last poll vs Biden (6/5) - 🔵 Biden +5

Equis - 2183 RV Swing State - 8/4

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 14, 2024

 

I'm hesitant to get too excited about polls, I'm still traumatized by dumbass Comey and his election eve announcement, and we all know this is going to be a bonkers rollercoaster ride to the finish...but damn, what a difference a few weeks makes...

The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President | Cook Political Report

Swing State Project: August 14, 2024 Toplines | Cook Political Report

Swing states showing promise...

Harris leads Trump in 5 battleground states, tied in Georgia: Poll (usatoday.com)

"The findings suggest multiple paths to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election have opened for Harris, the vice president and Democratic nominee, after Biden's struggles in the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina forced his campaign to increasingly bank on the so-called "blue wall" states: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin."

 

Frank Luntz is freaking out....

”“She’s got intensity now. She’s got an intensity advantage. She’s got a demographic advantage and I haven’t seen anything like this happen in 30 days in my lifetime,” he said. “Now my groups are broken up by young women saying, ‘I’m not voting for him anymore.’”

He added: “The people who are undecided have all collapsed towards Harris. The people who are ‘weak’ Trump have all collapsed towards undecided.”

Luntz told hosts of “Squawk Box” that he’s attempting to hold a focus group of undecided, younger female voters, but is having trouble finding enough people who fit that category.”

 

New Monmouth (A+) national poll, Aug 8-12

Definitely + probable support

🟦 Kamala Harris 48% (38% definitely + 10% probably )
🟥 Donald Trump 43% (33% definitely + 10% probably)

— umichvoter 🏳️‍🌈 (@umichvoter) August 14, 2024

 

Nate Cohn should stick to what he is good at, reporting and analyzing polls numbers...

Heard @Nate_Cohn describe Harris as performing “in many ways like a generic Democrat.”

Great respect for Nate but this couldn’t be more off.

The generic ballot is tied and stable. Harris is ahead and growing.

She’s doing well precisely because she’s not a generic Democrat.…

— Stuart Stevens (@stuartpstevens) August 14, 2024

 

He was listening to yesterday's NYT "The Daily" podcast, where he was the featured guest.

That was not what he's good at.

 

Worth reading.


Kamala Harris is taking power back from the press corps
She learned from Biden’s fatal error.

"It didn’t matter what Joe Biden did – pull the country out of a pandemic, dodge a recession, tame inflation, grow jobs, grow wages, enforce anti-monopoly laws, revive every single one of the so-called “left behind” counties that voted for Trump in 2016 because of “economic anxiety” – it didn’t matter what Joe Biden did. The press corps decided nothing was more important than his age, and lo! 2024 became an election about vibes and vibes ended his candidacy."

https://www.editorialboard.com/kamala-harris-is-taking-power-back-from-the-press-corps/

 

I'd comment but there is nothing I could add that wasn't covered better in that article than I could put it.

 

I caught half of that driving home. What utter dreck!

 

We eat a little after six. Until recently, Fresh Air ran on our NPR affiliate from 6-7. Recently, they moved that to 7, and replaced it with two shows. Marketplace is at 6. That's actually pretty good (though the Mrs. and I are getting tired of their interviews with small business owners who are all about self-growth and actualization. Then they follow that with The Daily.

Fresh Air can be irritating, but nowhere near as bad as the typical Daily.

 

Hmmmmmmmm!

Agreed.

However, Sabrina Tevernisi is pretty good on The Daily, especially early in the War of Russian Aggression 2023.

 

The generic ballot also features a generic Republican, which Trump very much is not.

Harris is an above-replacement Democrat, probably, and Trump is a well-below-replacement Republican.

 

A generic Republican that isn't Trump is Ron DeSantis and JD Vance, and if that's their standard, well they aren't going to win much nationally.

 

Every single time I see a "Kamala Edges Trump" headline I have to hold the vomit in my gut from soaring up my throat.

 

Just let Vlad Futon do the talking:

Q: What do you say to suburban women who are worried about abortion rights?

Vance: I don’t buy that, I think suburban women care about normal things pic.twitter.com/AFp1mdr50x

— Kamala HQ (@KamalaHQ) August 14, 2024

 

I am sure our media have learned their lesson and will not give him a free ride again and full live hour on. Tv.

Narrator: Oh yes they will.



Donald Trump announced Wednesday morning that he would host a press conference this week — his second in seven days, after a previous one said little of substance,” The Independent reports”.

 

Will the Times continue to grovel at his feet? Sure will!

For decades, Trump has operated with an instinctive political style that he honed in the tribal and combative world of New York City politics, one that has taken him from Queens to Manhattan to the White House (and out of it).

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/14/us/politics/trump-harris-campaign.html

Was Trump the mayor of New York or something in the 80s and I just missed it? ********'s sake.

 

More kind words from JV Convertibles:

NEW VANCE AUDIO: In an interview from 2020, JD Vance agrees with a podcast host who says having grandmothers help raise children is “the whole purpose of the postmenopausal female.”

He also agrees when the host says grandparents helping raise children is a "weird, unadvertised… pic.twitter.com/W4KwHfZyw2

— Heartland Signal (@HeartlandSignal) August 14, 2024

 

Hear, hear! F@$k those guys and gals!!

 

A new Franklin & Marshall College Poll in Pennsylvania finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump, 46% to 43%.