What win/lose scenarios remain? 1. We win the next 2 ......U T B C = Total points USA - 0 3 3 = 6 TUR 3 - ? 0 = 6,4,3 (loses to CAM and win,tie,lose to BRA) BRA 0 ? - 0 = 0,1,3 (lose,tie,win vs. Tur) CAM 0 ? 3 - = 3,4,6 (lose,tie,win vs. Tur) Therefore, we are thru unless CAM def TUR and TUR def BRA, in which case goal differential or some other measure will come into play. Anyone knows the tie breaker? 2. We get 4 points by: beating BRA and tie vs CAM ......U T B C = Total points USA - 0 3 1 = 4 TUR 3 - ? 0 = 6,4,3 (loses to CAM and win,tie,lose to BRA) BRA 0 ? - 0 = 0,1,3 (lose,tie,win vs. Tur) CAM 1 ? 3 - = 4,5,7 (lose,tie,win vs. Tur) If TUR loses to both BRA and CAM the we go thru If TUR ties one and loses one, then tie breaker If TUR gets more than 4 points then tie breaker if they beat CAM Otherwise its over beating CAM and tie vs BRA ......U T B C = Total points USA - 0 1 3 = 4 TUR 3 - ? 0 = 6,4,3 (loses to CAM and win,tie,lose to BRA) BRA 1 ? - 0 = 1,2,4 (lose,tie,win vs. Tur) CAM 0 ? 3 - = 3,4,6 (lose,tie,win vs. Tur) If TUR loses to both BRA and CAM then tie breaker If TUR ties one and loses one, then tie breaker If TUR gets more than 4 points then tie breaker if they at least tie CAM Otherwise its over 3. If we get 3 points its likely over unless ......U T B C = Total points USA - 0 3 0 = 3 TUR 3 - ? 0 = 3 (loses to CAM and lose to BRA) BRA 0 3 - 0 = 3 (lose to US and win vs. Tur) CAM 3 3 3 - = 9 (wins all its games) or ......U T B C = Total points USA - 0 0 3 = 3 TUR 3 - 3 3 = 9 BRA 3 0 - 0 = 3 CAM 0 0 3 - = 3 Then tie breaker 4. Less than 3 points and its over
tie break rules All the idle analysis aside, does anyone happen to know what the tie break criteria might be?