Baseball Attendance Analysis

Discussion in 'Business and Media' started by Andy_B, May 9, 2003.

  1. Andy_B

    Andy_B Member+

    Feb 2, 1999
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  2. AndyMead

    AndyMead Homo Sapien

    Nov 2, 1999
    Seat 12A
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Well I did the Houston doubleheader yesterday and 28,000 folks managed to sneak out of work, and fight through a major pileup on I-45, on a Thursday to catch the Astros. 28k will likely beat all non-DH crowds in MLS this year....

    Yes, 69k did go to the soccer game, too.
     
  3. Stan Collins

    Stan Collins Member+

    Feb 26, 1999
    Silver Spring, MD
    Thoughts on this stuff:

    - Yes, baseball is in a little trouble. Not the same kind as it would have been had there been another labor war, but it will be interesting to see if MLB can defend all the franchises (there are only a couple decent relocation prospects, and it seems there are more teams than that with scant hope of generating a profit in the near to medium term). And, in turn, contracting teams would hurt the public's confidence in the game somewhat. I think just talking about it did a little.

    - Re: the Marlins new policy (ten for the price of eight). It's high time baseball teams started offering volume discounts. Get people in the stadium, so they can buy stuff from the team, and just as importantly, so they can stay interested in the overall product. Baseball needs flex passes like MLS has in Dallas and DC. And they could do it, too. Nobody sells out the outfield every game anymore.

    - If the economic situation actually means anything, then MLS should be proud of holding their attendance steady during the slump. But, soeaking as an economist, I don't expect a sudden surge for MLS when it picks up, because the macro situation is not really all that bad.

    - It makes good economic sense to say baseball's prices have been skyrocketing because "people will pay for it." Trouble is, it appears in several cases they won't.
     
  4. Fanaddict

    Fanaddict Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    streamwood IL USA
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    This may be true of a lot of teams giving away tickets or discounting but the Chicago cubs management has actually set up a ticket broker and supplied them with tickets to sell way over the face value price.
     
  5. Stan Collins

    Stan Collins Member+

    Feb 26, 1999
    Silver Spring, MD
    The Cubs have always been an exception. They can sell 20k on a Wednesday afternoon.
     
  6. SoccerTown USA

    Mar 20, 1999
    Note the 2 bottom teams in attendance: Miami and Tamp Bay (the 2 cities MLS contracted).
     
  7. Jeremy Goodwin

    Jeremy Goodwin Member+

    SSC Napoli
    Feb 16, 1999
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Apparently, they have NOT always been an exception.

    In the lifetimes of some of my Chicago native friends, the Cubs were letting people in free after about half the game was over, and had massively discounted tickets for afternoon games.
     
  8. puttputtfc

    puttputtfc Member+

    Sep 7, 1999
    I have wondered how inflated the numbers are for baseball. I know the Reds have had as many as 10K in no shows but cannot speak for other teams.
     
  9. Red Card

    Red Card Member+

    Mar 3, 1999
    Club:
    New York Red Bulls
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  10. Stan Collins

    Stan Collins Member+

    Feb 26, 1999
    Silver Spring, MD
    Of course, the Cubs once played almost *all* their games in the afternoons. That is unimaginably difficult from a sales perspective.
     
  11. Jeremy Goodwin

    Jeremy Goodwin Member+

    SSC Napoli
    Feb 16, 1999
    Club:
    Montreal Impact
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Indeed.

    I wonder how popular the sox were back then. Not being a native, it's kind of hard to believe that the Sox were ever more popular than the Cubs. At least, popular in terms of people actually giving away money to see them, you know, live, in person.

    There are a lot of Sox fans around, but a Sox fan and his money are not easily parted.
     
  12. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    Raleigh NC
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The Sox were the more popular team right up until the Black Sox scandal broke. They've been in 2nd place ever since.
     
  13. kenntomasch

    kenntomasch Member+

    Sep 2, 1999
    Out West
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    It has happened. It's long been said that "Chicago is a Cubs town," but there have been periods where the Sox have outdrawn them. You have to go back a ways, though. 16 of the last 18 years, the Cubs have outdrawn the Sox (though the Sox had a slightly higher per-game average in 1994), despite the fact the Sox are 1,449-1,396 (.509) with 3 division titles in that time and the Cubs are 1,352-1,492 (.475) with 1 division title (and a Wild Card berth).


    Year..Sox Total..Sox Avg..Cub Total...Cub Avg..Adv
    2002...1,676,911...20,703...2,693,096...33,248..Cubs
    2001...1,766,172...21,805...2,779,465...34,314..Cubs
    2000...1,947,799...24,047...2,789,511...34,438..Cubs

    1999...1,338,851...16,529...2,813,854...34,739..Cubs
    1998...1,391,146...17,175...2,623,194...31,990..Cubs
    1997...1,864,782...23,022...2,190,308...27,041..Cubs
    1996...1,676,403...20,696...2,219,110...27,396..Cubs
    1995...1,609,773...22,358...1,918,265...26,643..Cubs
    1994...1,697,398...32,026...1,845,208...31,275..Cubs*
    1993...2,581,091...31,865...2,653,763...32,363..Cubs
    1992...2,681,156...32,697...2,126,720...26,256..Sox
    1991...2,934,154...36,224...2,314,250...27,883..Sox
    1990...2,002,357...25,029...2,243,791...27,701..Cubs

    1989...1,045,651...13,071...2,491,942...30,765..Cubs
    1988...1,115,749...13,775...2,089,034...25,476..Cubs
    1987...1,208,060...14,914...2,035,130...25,439..Cubs
    1986...1,424,313...17,584...1,859,102...23,239..Cubs
    1985...1,669,888...20,616...2,161,534...26,686..Cubs
    1984...2,136,988...26,383...2,107,655...26,346..Sox
    1983...2,132,821...26,331...1,479,717...18,268..Sox
    1982...1,567,787...19,597...1,249,278...15,423..Sox
    1981.....946,651...19,319.....565,637....9,752..Sox
    1980...1,200,365...14,819...1,206,776...14,898..Cubs

    1979...1,280,702...16,211...1,648,587...20,353..Cubs
    1978...1,491,100...18,639...1,525,311...18,601..Cubs*
    1977...1,657,135...20,458...1,439,834...17,776..Sox
    1976.....914,945...11,437...1,026,217...12,669..Cubs
    1975.....750,802....9,269...1,034,819...12,776..Cubs
    1974...1,149,596...14,019...1,015,378...12,536..Sox
    1973...1,302,527...16,081...1,351,705...16,896..Cubs
    1972...1,177,318...15,094...1,299,163...16,872..Cubs
    1971.....833,891...10,295...1,653,007...20,407..Cubs
    1970.....495,355....5,897...1,642,705...20,534..Cubs

    1969.....589,546....7,278...1,674,993...20,427..Cubs
    1968.....803,775....9,923...1,043,409...12,724..Cubs
    1967.....985,634...12,020.....977,226...11,634..Sox
    1966.....990,016...12,222.....635,891....7,851..Sox
    1965...1,130,519...13,957.....641,361....7,727..Sox
    1964...1,250,053...15,433.....751,647....9,280..Sox
    1963...1,158,848...14,132.....979,551...12,093..Sox
    1962...1,131,562...13,970.....609,802....7,528..Sox
    1961...1,146,019...14,148.....673,057....8,629..Sox
    1960...1,644,460...21,357.....809,770...10,250..Sox

    1959...1,423,144...18,245.....858,255...11,146..Sox
    1958.....797,451...10,357.....979,904...12,726..Cubs
    1957...1,135,668...14,749.....670,629....8,598..Sox
    1956...1,000,090...12,988.....720,118....9,001..Sox
    1955...1,175,684...15,269.....875,800...11,374..Sox
    1954...1,231,629...15,790.....748,183....9,717..Sox
    1953...1,191,353...15,274.....763,658....9,918..Sox
    1952...1,231,675...15,591...1,024,826...13,309..Sox
    1951...1,328,234...17,029.....894,415...11,616..Sox
    1950.....781,330....9,890...1,165,944...14,948..Cubs

    1949.....937,151...12,171...1,143,139...14,846..Cubs
    1948.....777,844...10,235...1,237,792...15,869..Cubs
    1947.....876,948...11,693...1,364,039...17,266..Cubs
    1946.....983,403...12,448...1,342,970...17,441..Cubs
    1945.....657,981....8,892...1,036,386...13,637..Cubs
    1944.....563,539....7,319.....640,110....8,207..Cubs
    1943.....508,962....6,697.....508,247....6,777..Sox*
    1942.....425,734....6,082.....590,972....7,577..Cubs
    1941.....677,077....8,571.....545,159....7,080..Sox
    1940.....660,336....8,466.....534,878....6,946..Sox

    1939.....594,104....7,716.....726,663....9,083..Cubs
    1938.....338,278....4,634.....951,640...12,359..Cubs
    1937.....589,245....7,653.....895,020...11,475..Cubs
    1936.....440,810....5,877.....699,370....9,083..Cubs
    1935.....470,281....6,108.....692,604....8,995..Cubs
    1934.....236,559....3,154.....707,525....9,189..Cubs
    1933.....397,789....5,166.....594,112....7,520..Cubs
    1932.....233,198....3,029.....974,688...12,658..Cubs
    1931.....403,550....5,241...1,086,422...14,109..Cubs
    1930.....406,123....5,207...1,463,624...18,527..Cubs

    1929.....426,795....5,616...1,485,166...19,041..Cubs
    1928.....494,152....6,335...1,143,740...14,854..Cubs
    1927.....614,423....8,192...1,159,168...14,861..Cubs
    1926.....710,339....8,992.....885,063...11,347..Cubs
    1925.....832,231...10,808.....622,610....8,086..Sox
    1924.....606,658....7,879.....716,922....9,191..Cubs
    1923.....573,778....7,650.....703,705....9,139..Cubs
    1922.....602,860....7,829.....542,283....7,135..Sox
    1921.....543,650....7,060.....410,107....5,396..Sox
    1920.....833,492...10,825.....480,783....6,244..Sox

    1919.....627,186....8,960.....424,430....5,978..Sox
    1918.....195,081....3,484.....337,256....4,558..Cubs
    1917.....684,521....8,665.....360,218....4,678..Sox
    1916.....679,923....8,830.....453,685....5,743..Sox
    1915.....539,461....6,829.....217,058....2,819..Sox
    1914.....469,290....5,794.....202,516....2,665..Sox
    1913.....644,501....8,370.....419,000....5,513..Sox
    1912.....602,241....7,721.....514,000....6,590..Sox
    1911.....583,208....7,477.....576,000....6,857..Sox

    1910.....552,084....6,988.....526,152....6,833..Sox
    1909.....478,400....5,906.....633,480....8,227..Cubs
    1908.....636,096....8,155.....665,325....8,530..Cubs
    1907.....666,307....8,434.....422,550....5,560..Sox
    1906.....585,202....7,408.....654,300....8,282..Cubs
    1905.....687,419....8,383.....509,900....6,295..Sox
    1904.....557,123....7,143.....439,100....5,629..Sox
    1903.....286,183....4,088.....386,205....5,290..Cubs
    1902.....337,898....4,693.....263,700....3,767..Sox
    1901.....354,350....4,991.....205,071....2,930..Sox

    *Other team had an average attendance advantage that year.

    In 1991 and 1992 (the first two years of New Comiskey), the Sox had a pretty clear advantage. The first four years of Tribune management (1981-84), the Sox had an advantage. The Sox owned much of the 1950's and 1960's (at least from an attendance standpoint), and went to the World Series in 1959. The Cubs pretty much had the advantage post-Black Sox Scandal. Before that it was close, and in the early, early days, the Cubs were in the Series a lot, and baseball attendance was nothing to write home about by today's standards.
     

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