Barack Obama for President--Part IV

Hillary smash blak man!

 

That could prove to be huge in the larger states with bigger media markets where he won't be able to press the flesh as much. I'm sure we're going to see a lot of Obama on TV in the next week.

 

A stunning sum. Obama has a nice health care ad running in California.

Edit: I have not seen any other candidate commercials. But, I am sick to death of the Indian Casino commercials. Indians fighting Indians. Who wudda thunk? That, and those Oakland Children's Hospital Commericals.

 

Obama's new Caroline Kennedy ad:

[youtube]EFbJtQrwGMw[/youtube]

 

In Iowa he did a great job of putting commercials on pop radio, which I thought was brillant and he should do that everywhere ASAP. He'd say something uplifting and inspirational spreading his vibe, crowd cheering in backround, then caucus at time, on day of week, on date, and then ended it with something like we can do this together. I think catching people on radio, especially young people who can't afford satelitte radio, is a great idea. People are more likely to listen when they have nothing better to do.

His tv commercials ran the gammut from inspirational for the young, talking about health care with senior citizens, to talking about jobs with the working class, but all with the positive we can do this together tone. I think they were effective, but radio much more so.

If anyone knows if he's doing the same with radio in Cali or other Super Tues states I'd appreciate hearing about it. Thanks

 

[Local gripe]

I can honestly say I've never heard a word of those; as soon as I see those guys I hit the mute and have no idea who's for/against what in those spots.
But anything casino-related could not be more lousy with bad faith, imho.

I'll read up before the election, but man, those things are on every channel, every other minute.

[/Local gripe]

 

I'm starting to get a real good feeling from Cali:

You can see it in the late breaking polls, feel it out on the street, and in conversations with neighbors, relatives, and political insiders, and even the last minute endorsement of elected officials and the state’s newspapers. There’s some serious shaking going on in California and once firm predictions that Hillary Clinton will win the primary in this state have become a lot more tentative. . . .


. . . Early on in California, with the “inevitability” argument being made, Clinton wrapped up an impressive list of endorsements amongst California’s Democratic elected officials, many of whom wanted to back a winner. But in the month of January, in addition to the blockbuster endorsement by Senator Ted Kennedy and other national figures, there has been a surge of California elected Democrats supporting Obama.

Endorsements do not generally win elections, certainly by themselves, but one can see the swing here towards Obama.

Obama clearly has the edge in grass roots support. He has 18 field offices in California, double the 9 offices opened by the Clinton campaign. Obama’s offices have that energy with many young volunteers who are organized in all 53 California Congressional Districts. The campaign also has a network of over 50,000 Californians who have signed up online. Well over a million phone calls have been made by volunteers to registered voters this month including an early focus on decline-to-state votes who are not registered with a party but may vote in the California Democratic primary.


http://www.californiaprogressreport.com/2008/01/seismic_shakes.html

It's a big hill to climb, but a near miss would be a real victory here. For someone considered to young and inexperienced, Obama's field operation is certainly impressive going up against the clintons. After following other upstart campaigns in the past, I was concerned that Obama would be able to make a big early splash with money and ground support in Iowa but would then peter out.

It seems like its growing. From big states to smaller red states, he has people everywhere and the money is still flowing.

 

Shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiit.

 

I've seen a lot of this HRC ad:

[youtube]EnSJA1cz8ME[/youtube]

And every single time I see it my take-away thought is this: "That's just gonna raise gas prices." If people make that connection - especially in California - then that's a pretty lousy ad.

But I've probably seen even more Obama ads overall.

 

I don't think either candidate is doing much in the Asian American community, which is an advantage for Hillary since obvious she's more well known.

 

Last I saw HRC has been clobbering Obama among asian voters -- a matter entirely lost to a press that's concentrating solely on a blacks vs latinos angle.

 

I'm curious. Do they do ballots in California in different Asian languages? If they don't, the California ballot is so heavy on propositions and reading stuff that I wonder if there is a very big population of non-english speaking Asians that actually vote. I don't think the familiarity will be a big issue with the large english speaking Asian population.

 

Depends on the county. Yes, several have ballots in Asian languages.

 

Gringo I think you need to change your avatar, it's scaring the shit out of me.

 

So in order to become a front runner, how many Clinton's states (CA, CT, MA, NY, NJ) does Obama have to "steal" from her? And does he have a chance if he loses all of the them?

 

I don't think anyone will be talking about winning states on Tuesday night. It'll be about delegates.

Unless Obama wins California.

 

Imagine the terror McCain must feel.

 

x2, she's going to come to life and leap down from the sky in our nightmares.

 

I think Drudge has a new headline pic.

 

http://www.pollster.com/08-CA-Dem-Pres-Primary.php

Nice summaries here.