At what point is a military coup better than the status quo?

Discussion in 'Politics & Current Events' started by superdave, Jan 11, 2026.

  1. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    Raleigh NC
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    https://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2026/01/an-argument-for-a-military-coup

    I read this and was shocked that I couldn’t really refute it. In order to help me work out my thinking on this topic, I thought I’d start a thread.

    I’ll concede this writer’s point: invading Greenland would probably be worse than a military coup, because invading Greenland would destroy our relationship with Europe to such an extent that it would take not one term but at least a decade of sustained Democratic control of Washington to repair. Maybe a generation. Maybe 50 years.

    Of course I’m pulling all this stuff out of my ass because if we actually invade Greenland, that would be such a catastrophic fall into the abyss that it would be like physicists discussing what happens inside a black hole of matter if it collides with a black hole of anti matter.

    You guys are pretty smart. Help me work this out.

    At what point would you “support” (as the least horrific response) a military coup?

    For me, invading Greenland feels like a yes. If Trump orders something like the massacre that fomented the Russian Revolution of 1905, I hope a military coup would stop him, again, as the least horrific outcome. So that’s another yes. A serious attempt to cancel the November elections is probably a yes.

    Dont ask me what I think the military should do after the coup because I don’t have the imagination + database of historical analogies to think that far ahead.
     
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  2. Q*bert Jones III

    Q*bert Jones III The People's Poet

    Feb 12, 2005
    Woodstock, NY
    Club:
    DC United
    The problem is Republicans. A military coup doesn't guarantee that anything would change, it only guarantees that we'd live in interesting times.

    The only advantage would be dethroning Trump. That's not insignificant, and I would do just about anything to watch him get a gunshot to the back as he's running away from a military tribunal. But there's no reason whatsoever to think that Uday or Qusay wouldn't win the next election. We need the military to destroy Republicanism and that just ain't gonna happen.
     
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  3. ElNaranja

    ElNaranja Member+

    Houston Dynamo
    United States
    Jul 16, 2017
    The only way for it to truly work would be to coup the White House, Congress, Supreme Court, FOX/OAN/et al, and several billionaires. Putting aside whether they would, the better question is if they could pull off such an operation without alerting the true believers in the government.

    I'm skeptical.
     
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  4. Pittsburgh Ref

    Pittsburgh Ref Member+

    Oct 7, 2014
    da 'Burgh
    Right now, seems to me that a straight-up military coup would be at least as damaging to the American experiment as anything this fvckwit has done. Civilian control of the military is as foundational as the peaceful transfer of power, adherence to democratic principles, and the branches staying in their damn lanes. Good times.

    However, if the military were acting in support of some type of civilian action, perhaps by securing and sequestering the clowns and saying early and often they were *not* in charge, that could be a thing.
     
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  5. diablodelsol

    diablodelsol Member+

    Jan 10, 2001
    New Jersey
    No. Just no.

    And the writer underestimates how ********ed up the condition of our condition actually is.

    The military is not monolithic. Once you cross this bridge the military would immediately fracture and factionalize…which would mean civil war and death and destruction to us all.

    Regarding the military refusing….note who is drawing up plans (JSOC). Note who’s pushing back (Joint chiefs…JSOC reports directly to DefSec and bypasses the JCOS in command structure).

    As I’ve stated earlier….Bradly (JSOC) now needs a pardon from Trump or he will be court martialed for murder of we ever return to normalcy. He knows this. He’s trapped. He’ll do whatever Trump and Hegseth tell him to do.

    So a military coup would pit our Special Forces command against our regular military command at a minimum.

    This is why I thought it was a tragic dangerous mistake to make Hegseth the focus of the fisherman murders. I watched bits of the Bradly hearing. Way too much deference to his “service to the country” given he was a blatant murderer in need of a trump pardon. Not one single call for his resignation from any side of the aisle. That is ********ing dangerous…and it leads directly to “if Trump wants JSOC to attack Greenland JSOC is attacking Greenland”

    edit for clarity
    JSOC- joint special operations command
    JCOS - joint chiefs of staff

    JSOC is an independent command. Bradly has no higher military authority over him. SECDEF is the only one that can give him direct orders.
     
  6. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    Raleigh NC
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So your answer is “ never” because you can’t imagine a scenario where the status quo is worse.

    Fair point, although I don’t agree.
    and you are also a “never” because the volatility of a coup is too dangerous

    Fair, but again, I disagree
     
  7. diablodelsol

    diablodelsol Member+

    Jan 10, 2001
    New Jersey
    "But mark my words. This war will be fought not on the frontier or on some distant battlefield, but amongst us—among our homes. Our children will learn of it with their own eyes. And the innocent will die with the rest of us."

    But with automatic weapons this time.
     
  8. ElNaranja

    ElNaranja Member+

    Houston Dynamo
    United States
    Jul 16, 2017
    No I can absolutely imagine a status quo that's way worse. I find it hard for top commanders to rally such an attempt without Miller and his henchman finding out and bringing such commanders to heel.

    If they just coup the White House, it doesn't fix anything. The MAGA infrastructure has to all be cut out quickly or the whole whole country falls apart in the worst way. That's a lot of moving pieces in ways hard to hide within the United States. A lot of the bureaucrats have been forced out and are every day being replaced by loyalists. It's an ongoing project but one that gets more complete by the day.

    Could it be pulled off? Maybe they could seize Washington but FOX/et all would rally the base and I don't think that ends well for anyone. Who do they hand governing over to? Jeffries? Schumer? Give me a break.

    I don't think it could be successfully pulled off to the level needed to keep it relatively bloodless. But hey, if blood in the streets is ok then sure, they could absolutely do it anytime.
     
  9. diablodelsol

    diablodelsol Member+

    Jan 10, 2001
    New Jersey
    It would help if our NATO “allies” would speak clearly and publicly: any military action taken against Greenland will result in the immediate closure of all US naval and air force bases in NATO/European countries.

    we need bases to project power (airborne refueling of long range bombers as an example) and support the logistics of any power projection. Denying access handicaps the US in huge portions of the Middle East. Brits should close off access to Diego garcia

    In other words….make it clear that even if we take Greenland without a shot….we lose.

    Why publicly? Because the message doesn’t just need to go to trump. It needs to go to the Republican Party to make clear the irreparable damage they are allowing
     
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  10. stanger

    stanger BigSoccer Supporter

    Nov 29, 2008
    Columbus
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I would bet on an assassination before a coup. Hard to believe a coup would be possible to pull off.
     
  11. ElNaranja

    ElNaranja Member+

    Houston Dynamo
    United States
    Jul 16, 2017
    They'd be better off arresting everyone in country.
     
  12. diablodelsol

    diablodelsol Member+

    Jan 10, 2001
    New Jersey
    Who’s they?
     
  13. roadkit

    roadkit Greetings from the Fringe of Obscurity

    Club: San Diego FC
    Jul 2, 2003
    Fornax Cluster
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I don’t think a coup would work. That said, if the military leadership banded together and publicly stated that Trump’s orders were illegal; and regardless of what Trump does (e.g. firing them) they were not going anywhere; and were going to retain control of the military and our nuclear arsenal until someone competent was in charge; people might be supportive. But then we’d be like Turkey and nobody wants that.
     
  14. ElNaranja

    ElNaranja Member+

    Houston Dynamo
    United States
    Jul 16, 2017
    NATO countries hosting US forces/bases. If the US attacked Greenland, they should (amongst other things) arrest US military personnel within their borders.
     
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  15. Pønch

    Pønch Saprissista

    Aug 23, 2006
    Donde siempre
    This, exactly!

    This is why I think all the talk of "Biden/Harris/Democrats should have done this or that differently" is misguided, in my opinion. That is the thinking of "normal times" and nothing after the Republicans betrayed the nation by failing to hold Trump accountable for the J6 insurrection is normal. Once they decided inciting a mob to attack Congress to impede the transfer of power was cool they got this domino effect of horror going.
     
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  16. Cascarino's Pizzeria

    Apr 29, 2001
    New Jersey, USA
    TrumpCo seems nuts but even they know an attack on a NATO member effectively ends the alliance. The fact they're even discussing it is outrageous. And of course a fractured alliance would benefit Putey.
     
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  17. deejay

    deejay Member+

    Feb 14, 2000
    Tarpon Springs, FL
    Club:
    Jorge Wilstermann
    Nat'l Team:
    Bolivia
    The scenario doesn't really make sense. If you have enough political and military support to invade Greenland then you can't do a military coup. Now, if you mean a revolution then that makes more sense.
     
  18. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Only when Democrats are in power.

    I mean let's be realistic, that is probably the only time it would happen.
     
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  19. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    Raleigh NC
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States

    Speak for yourself. If it gets to that point where he tells them to invade Greenland, Turkey’s Deep State (which was and still may be a real thing) doesn’t sound so bad. If it gets to the point where what’s happening in Iran is happening here, I say bring it on.
     
  20. Cascarino's Pizzeria

    Apr 29, 2001
    New Jersey, USA
    Are you prepared for a $3 trillion or more War Department budget?
     
  21. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    Sure, anything that prevents us from having universal health care.
     
  22. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Fiscal-military state, baby! 18th century polities with 21st century militaries!
     
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  23. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Vanuatu
    But with new 21st century impunity, the opportunities for the 1% and the other well connected to skim off of War Department budgets will be Huge.
     
  24. Cascarino's Pizzeria

    Apr 29, 2001
    New Jersey, USA
    Maybe our military brass is working on something? :whistling:

    Screenshot_20260112_123445_Bluesky.jpg
     
  25. Auriaprottu

    Auriaprottu Member+

    Atlanta Damn United
    Apr 1, 2002
    The back of the bus
    Club:
    Atlanta
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    How many of y'all seriously believe that even a large minority of people who join the military are speaking from intent when they take that oath to defend the Constitution? IMO it's like pledging allegiance- you're not really thinking about what you're saying- you're just saying it.

    (If you actually think about that shit when you say the Pledge, this post is not for you)

    Same for the police (It's my understanding that they take the same or a similar oath). It's a job. They're all kind of programmed to follow the instructions of the next higher-up, so the system works reasonably well. But if you get a potato for a CNC, you... follow the instructions of the next higher-up. Because it's your job. You're not getting paid to preserve the Constitution. You're not getting paid to save the country (the man who wanted to save the country quit his job before he could be ordered to attack Venezuela and kidnap their head of state). You're getting paid to follow the instructions of the next higher-up.

    The fun's just begun.
     
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