Argentina has been in 28 Copa finals and 7 times semifinalists. They will always be hot favorite by default. It doesnt matter who's playing, they'll usually make it to last 4 or a final. 28 finals and we only win half of them, and surprisingly Brazil record in a final is actually worst, winning only 9 out of 20 finals, but no doubt they've been better since 1994. I remember in 2015, we didnt actually played well, narrow wins at group stage, needed a shootout in QF but still ended up reaching the final. But winning the final itself or beating Uruguay and Brazil at KO stage is another thing. They've been unable to do it for many years. As Simeone said recently, opponents like Germany and Brazil are simply stronger mentally than Argentina, that's a fact.