5/14 NE @ KC - Onlly game of slate

Discussion in 'Wagering' started by Wizardscharter, May 12, 2003.

  1. Wizardscharter

    Wizardscharter New Member

    Jul 25, 2001
    Blue Springs, MO
    Give me NE, MET, CLB, San Ho, and KC to win at best odds.Led to a 4-1, +$42 week with the tie being the one. I'm down $33.50 overall and 7-13 overall. 9 of the 13 L's have been ties that I picked winners.

    Here's what turned out to be correct:
    NE because they just can't be that bad 3 home games in a row and LA is overrated. NE is on the upside of a Joe-Max learning curve that may have dividends Sat. Jones normally rips NE, but how effective will he be after the travel? Under is a good bet here.

    MET because Mathis is getting healthier and every day under Bob will be an improvement of sorts. Oh yeah, and dc sucks. I'm only half kidding and it is one thing that will work against dc in the long run.

    CLB because they are playing Colorado, a team devoid of a midfield presence or a proven GK.

    Also from CHI's coach directly, "Razov isn't at game sharpness, yet." That's a midweek quote. SJ's "D" has plenty even if Razov was above game sharpness. Onstad is leading MLS in GAA at a myopic 0.486/90 min.

    KC will jump on an inept Dallas team that has yet to figure out the home-turf deal. 1 home goal so far. KC is a good cure for teams that can't score, and should be moreso without Burciaga, but KC will rack up at least 2 in this one. KC does not draw cards early historicly. KC can practice on turf everyday if they want or need to. I've only seen one practice on turf and KC was offensively, in a word, impressive. Kreis is also on the "overdue" list; he does have a history of ripping KC. If nothing else, bet the mortgage on the "over".


    Here's what turned out to be foolish:
    Ralston could not be more overdue for scoresheet ink.

    If you can find a prop bet that pays anything above 1:5 for Hudson whining about the officials in the post-game press conference, I'd take that one also.

    Chung and Henderson are hopelesly overdue. Home teams are somehow 3-9-7! Colorado is just plain awful

    KC's played both and San Ho is better than Chicago.

    No O'Brien and Dallas' players' curt reaction to the Kovalenko penalty might bring cards out in this one.



    For Wed, I'll take KC to win outright in a lower than expected scoring game. Typicaly, this fixture is a win for KC with exceptions. KC is 10-6 overall and 6-2 at Arrowhead v NE.

    The last meeting in Arrowhead:
    Scoring Summary:
    KC --Simutenkov (PK) 22
    NE --Heaps (Franchino) 24
    KC --Simutenkov (Gutierrez, Talley) 30
    KC --Talley (Preki) 35
    NE --Twellman (Kamler, Ralston) 66

    All the contributors will be there, except possibly Igor Simutenkov, he apparently was hurt and did not make the trip to Dallas last Sat.
     
  2. Justin O

    Justin O Member+

    Seattle Sounders
    United States
    Nov 30, 1998
    on the run from the covid
    Club:
    Seattle
    From gamebookers

    Kansas City v NE Revolution 1.80 3.25 3.60

    So, neither of these teams have held anyone, or been held, scoreless thus far, right?

    Just for fun, also from gamebookers, exact score:

    KC Win:
    1:0 7.50
    2:0 8.50
    2:1 8.00
    3:0 13.00
    3:1 11.00
    3:2 24.00
    4:0 34.00
    4:1 34.00
    4:2 50.00
    4:3 100.00
    5:0 80.00
    5:1 66.00
    6:0 100.00

    Draw:
    0:0 8.50
    1:1 6.50
    2:2 15.00
    3:3 50.00
    4:4 100.00

    NE Win:
    0:1 9.00
    0:2 17.00
    0:3 40.00
    0:4 80.00
    0:5 100.00
    0:6 100.00
    1:2 13.00
    1:3 34.00
    1:4 66.00
    1:5 80.00
    2:3 30.00
    2:4 66.00
    3:4 100.00
     
  3. Wizardscharter

    Wizardscharter New Member

    Jul 25, 2001
    Blue Springs, MO
    5/14 NE @ KC

    @KC1.8 3.25 3.6 NE; So, neither of these teams have held anyone, or been held, scoreless thus far, right?

    Wrong, NE shut out LA last Sat.

    KC 3:2 24.00
    KC 4:2 50.00
    KC 4:3 100.00
    Draw 3:3 50.00

    Those are such rediculous payouts it's almost worth a flier. Almost, not quite.

    KC only 1.8 at home to a finalist with their defense?!? KC is only 1-1-1 at home. Not a good price at all. Still, I take it if that's best.
     
  4. eric_appleby

    eric_appleby Member+

    Jun 11, 1999
    Down East
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Revo are a good road team so far this year.
    Moore and Twellman are bound to start clicking soon, and Daniel Hernandez may have been released from the dog house. So, I guess I'll take NE in this one.
     
  5. eric_appleby

    eric_appleby Member+

    Jun 11, 1999
    Down East
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    On second thought, Intertops has NE at 3.5 to win.

    Not a good enough number, I'll pass.
     

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