At this point, I think we can start getting ready for Speaker Jeffries. The Dems only need 4 seats to control the House. House Races Across the Midwest Move in Democrats’ Favor The Cook Political Report has five new House rating changes: Iowa 1: Lean R to Toss Up Iowa 3: Lean R to Toss Up Illinois 17: Lean D to Likely D Indiana 1: Lean D to Likely D Montana 1: Likely R to Lean R
Northam was already governor when those photos emerged, and he was limited to one term. I don’t think he’s run for anything else since then.
White is running for the Senate in Minnesota Minnesota GOP Senate candidate: ‘The bad guys won in WWII’ https://t.co/prAaVJu78C— Anthony Adragna (@AnthonyAdragna) October 4, 2024
Allegedly, this is his Twitter account. Mike Pence… Cuck! Paid for. Nikki Haley… Cunt! Paid for. Chris Christie… Fat as fuck! Incompetent. Ron Desantis, did he really look down the row to see how everybody else was going to answer? It’s horrifying! The GOP candidates are intentionally horrible. Vivek… I’m watching.— Royce White 🇺🇸 (@Highway_30) August 25, 2023
I got a text from Alsobrooks that Hogan is spending a surprise $22million SuperPAC money in an add blitz. Yikes. Don’t think it will work. But yikes!
Mike Braun came out against Loving. https://fox59.com/indiana-news/sen-...ial-marriage-ruling-should-be-left-to-states/
He was an idiot for making the statement, but the underrated worst part there is the idea of not "homogenizing" rights, which is exactly what the purpose of the Bill of Rights and Constitution aims to do. This idea states are the highest form of government is idiocy.
Maybe for pure originalists, they’re referencing the Articles of Confederation as our true founding document.
Just saw on Rachel highlights, that Rick Scott is having to spend 10 million of his own money for ad buys as things are tighter than expected. Cruz in Texas is in a tight one as his went from lean Red to likely Red or which ever is the one that comes before toss up.
The actual effect will be difficult to predict, but two hurricanes hitting Florida in little more than a week is going to make it very difficult to vote for many many people. Please note that other than the Tampa area, most of the heavily hit areas voted for Trump, while the urban areas that voted for Biden (Tallahassee, Jacksonville, Gainesville, South Florida) have been, for the most port, not affected. Orlando could see some damages from Miltion, but not as bad as Tampa and the panhandle. Add to that there's no money flowing from the RNC and their ground game is apparently non-existent. Throw in a couple of left-leaning amendments on the ballot (Pot legalization, abortion rights), and Florida could be a toss-up.
You're welcome. Three more insights, one positive, two negative: 1. I've seen a lot more of Harris yard signs of lately. I even saw a big banner hanging from a fence, next to a home that has always been very demonstrative for Trump. 2. There's a lot of newcomers in town during the last 5 years, and unfortunately they seem to be mostly of the Trumpy kind. Thanks Ronna. 3. I think that it's going to be very difficult to make inroads with first gen latinos, who have internalized the idea that Dems are Socialists. OTOH, Kamala is like a blank slate, so maybe she can soften that perception a little bit.
So... The campaign of the Republican candidate for Michigan's senate seat has admitted that he doesn't actually live at the address where he is registered to vote. NEW: Michigan Senate candidate @MikeRogersForMI not living at home where he's registered to vote His campaign says it's legal because he's living elsewhere in White Lake Township.@nannburke has the details⤵️https://t.co/2Gh6uu7ZHo via @detroitnews— Chad Livengood (@ChadLivengood) October 8, 2024 Rogers does own the property at the address and there WAS a house there, but Rogers demolished the house soon after he purchased the property and started building a new house. The new house is still under construction and does not have a certificate of occupancy. His campaign claims he isn't breaking any laws because while he isn't currently living at that address, he does live in a house in the area and plans on living at that address once construction is completed. “According to the Detroit Free Press, the house that @MikeRogersForMI is still building on that spot isn’t done. It did not — at the time he voted — and does not now have a certificate of occupancy. Which means Mike Rogers could not legally live there.” Seems bad? #MISen https://t.co/EiYDjnirji pic.twitter.com/F85yjbjPhL— Austin Cook (@austinrmcook) October 8, 2024 Current polling has the Democrat, Elissa Slotkin, ahead between 3% and 5%.
I’m personally ok with this, except for the fact that the GOP has been screaming VOTER FRAUD and kicking people off the voter rolls for others the same type of situation.
He has no chance to beat Amy Klobuchar. I'll add to that by saying how each district voted in 2022 and where within the state it is. All five incumbents are running. IL 17: Democrat Eric Sorensen won by 4.0 (northwestern Illinois) IN 1: Democrat Frank Mrvan won by 5.6 (northwestern Indiana which are suburbs of Chicago) IA 1: Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks won by 6.8 (southeastern Iowa) IA 3: Republican Zach Nunn defeated Democratic incumbent Cindy Axne by 0.7 (southwestern Iowa) MT 1: Republican Ryan Zinke (who went from to House to Trump's Secretary of the Interior back to the House) won by 3.1 (western Montana) Iowa is gerrymandered to have a northeastern, northwestern, southeastern, and southwestern district that are all represented by Republicans. Des Moines is in the middle of the state, and there should be a whole district there, but there isn't. I am not confident in president, Senate, or House until it is decided. California took weeks to count, so I would not be surprised if control of the House is uncalled two weeks after Election Day. Because I donated to Democrats, I get lots of email. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) emailed poll results that are so far off from everything else, and did not give a source, so I think the DSCC resorted to lying to get donations. Here are poll results from the DSCC email: MT: Jon Tester up 2 TX: Colin Allred up 1 FL: Debbie Mucarsel-Powell up 1 MD: Angela Alsobrooks tied AZ: Ruben Gallego down 1 NV: Jacky Rosen down 2 OH: Sherrod Brown down 2
Those numbers look upside down. Jacky Rosen is up by around 9 or 10 on aggregate, and Gallego is up 6 or 7. Alsobrooks is up less than a Democrat normally leads in Maryland but at least up 5 and probably more. Sherrod Brown is up two or three most likely. But Allred, Mucarsel and Tester are behind, although I’d like to see a non republican pollster finally go to Montana. Trump is up by 15-20 there so Tester is likely in trouble. I notice the DSSC doesn’t mention Osborn in Nebraska. Let sleeping dogs lie, I guess.
Could be internal polling, but yeah, from my limited knowledge, Allred and Murcasel should be down a few points, and Gallego should be up significantly.
Not according to NYT/Siena +14 seems like an outlier, but still not very close. 📊 FLORIDA Poll by NYT/Siena 🟥 Donald Trump: 55%🟦 Kamala Harris: 41%#1 (3.0/3.0) | 9/29-10/6 | 622 LVhttps://t.co/0NIr9wAA8S pic.twitter.com/ayVd7Ki4ig— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 8, 2024