2022 US House and Senate Elections

Discussion in 'Elections' started by Yoshou, Jan 8, 2021.

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Will Democrats retain both chambers of Congress after the 2022 election

  1. Yes, Democrats will retain both chambers

    30.0%
  2. No, Democrats will only retain the House

    10.0%
  3. No, Democrats will only retain the Senate

    22.5%
  4. No, Republicans will take control of both chambers

    37.5%
  1. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The NYC Media Might Have Cost Democrats the House (nymag.com)

    "And the midterm results provide fresh evidence for the media’s power to shape public perceptions about crime. In fact, there is some reason to believe that the New York City media’s outsize concern with crime might have cost Democrats the House. Specifically, there is evidence that voters who were exposed to city media outlets put a higher priority on crime than voters in areas with similar (or higher) crime rates but different news sources. This redounded to the GOP’s benefit in the Empire State, enabling the party to nearly run the table in competitive House races. Had New Yorkers voted more like their peers in neighboring Pennsylvania, Democrats might still boast full control of the federal government next year."

    "In interviews with the New York Times, suburban swing voters who’d backed the GOP in 2022 attributed their newfound support for Republicans to concerns about public safety. Critically, those concerns did not derive solely from direct experience of crime or Republican ads."

    "Whatever the cause, the midterm results suggest that exposure to New York’s media market had a profound influence on voting behavior. New Jersey’s Third Congressional District is split between the New York City– and Philadelphia-designated media markets encompassing broadcast television and radio. In Mercer and Burlington County — both of which reside in the Philly market — incumbent Democrat Andy Kim roughly equaled or exceeded President Biden’s margin in 2020. In Monmouth County, which lies in the NYC market, however, Kim underperformed Biden by seven points."

    Basically, this is an argument that the NYC media cost the Dems enough seats to flip the House.

    Conservative media bias.
     
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  2. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
    Jeffries to be the first POC party leader:

     
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  3. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
    Guinho repped this.
  4. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
     
  5. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    One of these days, he is going to have a time and a place and he'll make a monumental speech with that monumental quote.
     
  6. Deadtigers

    Deadtigers Member+

    Jul 23, 2015
    Independent Republic of the Bronx, NY
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Ghana
    I don't know about you guys but tell me if you pick up on this. With Obama, he has the cadence a pastor but if you watch Trump, he has more of a cadence of style of a stand-up comedian. Both of these are uniquely different from traditional politicians which is probably a key part of their individual popularity. Notwithstanding the substance and quality of the human being difference of the two.
     
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  7. Minnman

    Minnman Member+

    Feb 11, 2000
    Columbus, OH, USA
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Thing is, I can see Obama being a damned good pastor. Re: Trump's comedic cadence and style, I guess if you were going for "an incredibly stupid version of Don Rickles," I could see it. Trouble is, Trump is about as funny as a heart attack.
     
  8. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    #2383 Dr. Wankler, Dec 2, 2022
    Last edited: Dec 2, 2022
    Alan Keyes, the guy Obama obliterated in 2004, is grateful.

    My guess is if the GOP had put someone worse than Keyes in that race, say. . . Herschel Walker, Obama would have won something like 88-12 instead of 75-25
     
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  9. Q*bert Jones III

    Q*bert Jones III The People's Poet

    Feb 12, 2005
    Woodstock, NY
    Club:
    DC United
    And the corollary is that if Georgia Republicans had nominated Keyes, he probably would have won.

    The problem is that it's a fundamental law of American politics that, if there's a primary, the Republicans will always choose the worst possible candidate.
     
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  10. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    You're right here: Donald Trump makes Don Rickles look Dick Cavett.

    Donald Trump: if Don Rickles is too conceptual and high brow... for you... Vote for Trump.
     
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  11. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Well....I just wasted a few minutes go my life trying to decipher this world salad. Misery loves company...Your turn, suckers.

    “They’re not because they know right now that the House will be even so they don’t want to understand what is happening right now. You get the House, you get the committees. You get all the committees even, they just stall things within there. So if we keep a check on Joe Biden, we just going to keep a check on him.”
    — Georgia U.S. Senate candidate Herschel Walker (R), in an interview with Politico, arguing he hasn’t seen any lack of enthusiasm from voters.
     
  12. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Vanuatu
    [​IMG]
     
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  13. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Pun (not ) intended on my TV....
    " Matty cash needed to be right on the money to stop Mbappe"....LOL
     
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  14. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I was thinking that Trump has the bitterness of Rickles, the darkness of Louis Black, and when reading off the teleprompter the deadpan of Steven Wright. Only without any real humor.
     
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  15. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    @Deadtigers did you contact the Walker campaign and encourage talk-to-text? ;)
     
  16. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    DamonEsquire was Herschel Walker? Damn
     
  17. Deadtigers

    Deadtigers Member+

    Jul 23, 2015
    Independent Republic of the Bronx, NY
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Ghana
    Hahaha!!
     
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  18. Smurfquake

    Smurfquake Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 8, 2000
    San Carlos, CA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Has anyone ever seen them in the same place at the same time? Q.E.D.
     
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  19. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Vanuatu
    This assumes the word salad made some sense before talking into the phone.
     
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  20. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Good point. Deadtigers would get to a keyboard and make a reasonable amount of sense. Not sure a keyboard would help the Republican candidate from Georgia
     
  21. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
  22. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Just back from a listening session with state Democrat Party leadership (Wikler, etc). It ran about an hour+ longer than advertised. A lot of the people in the session were active in the party in some way. Some key points:
    • Barnes had no message
    • Barnes was flakey
    • Lack of emphasis on signs from the party (we said signs shows enthusiasm)
    • Poor communication with Latinos (south Milwaukee)
    • ********ing Act Blue keeps spamming us and asking for more and more money
    • I brought up how there was no on-line advertising for Barnes, and little for Evers, but lots for Johnson (several people nodded)
    • Organization of volunteers needed to be better
    • A few people (myself included) brought up how the voters were not respected as intelligent enough
    Most of the stuff was frustration about Barnes and the campaign, which I'm sure the hosts knew would occur, but there were also a lot of comments about the importance of the upcoming Supreme Court election in the Spring.
     
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  23. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    No kidding. I gave to about 10 campaigns across the country and my e-mail just blew up. I hope I've seen the last of Rev. Warnock's daily missives. (P.S. - I can't believe you guys talked me into donating to Val Demings!)
     
  24. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I told them that I didn't donate to the Barnes campaign because I didn't fully believe in him, but also because I didn't want to get spammed.
    I told them I did donate to the Warnock campaign to make Manchin not-relevant, and since then I was getting 5 to 10 emails a day. And I was the 4th or 5th person to complain. One person said they were going to stop donating because of all the emails.
     
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  25. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    If it is any consolation, Republicans have the same issue.. I have a distant relative that lives in Virginia that is apparently a Republican. Unfortunately for me, this relative's typos a lot and put in my email address when they donated to Youngkin.. So in addition to getting the PTA emails from their kid's school, I also get the living f**k spammed out of me by Republicans looking for donations...
     
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