We need 6 points minimum in the next 3 matches. We just can’t seem to get on a win streak. sad stat that after every win we have followed with a draw.
Cincy and Miami are the only possible teams that can jump up. Toronto is done, KCbus is just very conservative with these sorts of things. TFC had to win out starting this weekend to even have half a chance, and they blew a 2-0 lead to lose 4-2 at home. They’re done.
Crewster point standing through Sunday: EAST Philadelphia 15 Montreal 10 NYC 3 NYRB 2 Orlando 0 Columbus -5 Miami -6 New England -7 Cincinnati -7 Atlanta -9 Charlotte -10 Chicago -10 Toronto -14 DC -19 WEST LAFC 15 Austin 9 Salt Lake 3 Dallas 1 Nashville 0 Portland -3 Minnesota -4 LA Galaxy -6 Seattle -6 Vancouver -8 Colorado -9 San Jose -12 Kansas City -12 Houston -13
Guilty. In another week or two, I’m most likely going to be wondering why the hell I missed such an easy one. I honestly don’t know why I’m hesitating here. The numbers are dire for them. I just can’t do it yet. I still think they’re the most talented of all the teams in that mix, and I’m not all that impressed with any of the others.
As teams start to become eliminated or enter "win out and get help" mode, we'll still be above the playoff line. So...do we get in on our own merits or do we get in "because other teams start to become eliminated" aka through the back door? In my book, in is in...but I think we get in via that back door with 1-2 games left. http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/Toronto.html We have a 47.4% chance. Four teams are under 20% and Charlotte is right at 20%.
Realistically, most of the teams in the giant cluster are getting no more than 10 or 11 points over the rest of the season. Whether anyone clinches a spot through their own win or through a competitor dropping points is going to be more a quirk of the schedule than anything meaningful.
Wednesday, 9/7 NYC 1:1 CIN Points Wins GD (Games remaining, Max Points) PHI 60 17 +42 (4, 72) MTL 52 16 +8 (5, 67) NYRB 47 13 +9 (4, 59) NYC 46 13 +13 (4, 58) ORL 42 12 -5 (6, 60) CLB 40 9 +6 (6, 58) CIN 39 9 -1 (5, 54) ------------------------------- NE 38 9 0 (5, 53) MIA 36 10 -11 (6, 54) TOR 34 9 -6 (4, 46) ATL 33 8 -7 (5, 48) CHA 32 10 -10 (6, 50) CHI 32 8 -10 (5, 47) DC 26 7 -27 (5, 41) Cincy getting a point at the champs... a month ago, I would have said that was a great point for them. The way things are going for NYC, I wonder if they should be disappointed. Regardless, they now have the same number of games played as NE, and that point puts them above the Revs and in the #7 spot. Although Miami still has an extra match to play and winning it would level them with Cincinnati points-wise.
"Cincinnati's" "goal" in that game was as good of an indictment against Modern Football as you'll ever find.
Agreed, though I've seen even worse back passes where the keeper misplays the ball. Martins for FCC man of the match, scoring their only goal and picking up a red card. VAR did save him from the PK decision though.
I don’t know. That’s an embarrassing blunder to be sure. But I keep hearing about what a world class goalkeeper Sean Johnson is. Where was he? I mean it’s one thing to be off your line, but if the ball is on the right side of the field, shouldn’t you be shading that direction a little bit? Or at least be somewhere central? He was so far off to the left side that he wasn’t even inside the left post. Was he distracted by a bumblebee? Was there a hot chick in the stand he had his eyes on? Certainly not a good back pass to make blind, but man. Pay attention.
Anyone saying Johnson is world class doesn't know much about GK'ing. He wasn't too far out of position in my mind shading a bit to open space to provide an option. Purely on the defender there.
Forget the playoffs, we're within striking distance of an MLS record: most ties in a season! We just need five more to match the record. Six give us the top spot. Let's go, Crew!
This is the recognition we deserve. Think of the chaos: half of us bemoaning the lack of wins, half of us pointing at how hard to beat we are.
I am usually an Arace fan but this is not his best work. https://www.dispatch.com/story/spor...ey-miss-out-on-mls-playoffs-draw/66881728007/ Below the Crew, over the same span, eighth-place New England (1.4), ninth-place Miami (1.5) and tenth-place Miami (1.5) have averaged more points. Here’s a decent bet: New England and Toronto will be above the playoff bar, and the Crew and Cincy will be below it, after Decision Day, Sunday, Oct. 9, when the Crew play at Orlando. I’d say the odds are better than 50-50.
Aside from FC Miami and Miami United being in the league (who knew?) I don't have a lot of issues with opinions he put forth in the article. We have been hard to beat but we've been far from good. Other teams in our vicinity in the table are playing better ball and earning more points over the last stretch of games than we have. At some point we will have to start playing well and winning games. We've left a lot of point on the table and we're at a point where being hard to beat and draws are not going to be enough to keep us above the line. One loss in the last 10 sounds good, but 1.3 ppg isn't playoff caliber. Playoff contenders have to be able to win 2 in a row at some point as well.
Montreal 2-2 Columbus Points Wins GD (Games remaining, Max Points) PHI 60 17 +42 (4, 72) MTL 53 16 +8 (4, 65) NYRB 47 13 +9 (4, 59) NYC 46 13 +13 (4, 58) ORL 42 12 -5 (6, 60) CLB 41 9 +6 (5, 56) CIN 39 9 -1 (5, 54) ------------------------------- NE 38 9 0 (5, 53) MIA 36 10 -11 (6, 54) TOR 34 9 -6 (4, 46) ATL 33 8 -7 (5, 48) CHA 32 10 -10 (6, 50) CHI 32 8 -10 (5, 47) DC 26 7 -27 (5, 41) Last year Red Bulls finished 7th with 48 points. Let’s assume that is the line again this year. Philly and Montreal are already qualified. RBNY and NYCFC only need 1 and 2 points respectively to hit 48 points, let’s say they’re in. Points per game this season (points per game required to hit 48 points rest of season): 5) Orlando - 1.50 (1.00) 6) Columbus - 1.41 (1.40) 7) Cincinnati - 1.34 (1.80) 8) New England - 1.31 (2.00) 9) Miami - 1.28 (2.00) 10) Toronto - 1.13 (3.50) 11) Atlanta - 1.13 (3.00) Toronto is mathematically out if the line is 48 points, and Atlanta needs to be perfect, so they’re basically out. Miami and New England need to almost double their point production, that’s tough. Cincy needs to up their form as well, but are by default in right now. Crew needs to keep their current form of constant draws and the odd win against non-playoff teams to get in. Orlando is basically in barring a total collapse.