McSkillz Week One Predictions Courage 3-2 Red Stars Spirit 0-0 Sky Blue Pride 0-2 Thorns Dash 1-1 Reign
Lol, prediction for the season made 5 minutes before the start of Week One, predictions for the match-day made just 3 minutes before the start. You weren't late, but you were just in time!
Contest's first week's scores. The first week's scores don't indicate a lot -- not enough data to be meaningful. Nevertheless ... Holden is a star with 9 points, followed by a foursome with 8 (including the dreaded robot). CoachJon, not so good this week, but based on last year I see that changing over the course of the season. Let me know if you see any errors in your scores.
@cpthomas I think you forgot to add me into the standings for week 1. I was the last to submit predictions for week one so that's probably why you didn't see me.
Oops, I had your predictions in the system, but hadn't entered your name into my summary worksheet. Here are the corrected results:
The robot's prediction for Wednesday's game: North Carolina 2 v Orlando 1 Wow, Orlando has a tough starting schedule: Thorns at home yesterday, Courage away on Wednesday, Reign away on Sunday. Yesterday's Orlando commentators were suggesting this might be good for getting them in sync. I don't think so -- three games in eight days is too much, especially with the travel. I'll hold my predictions for the rest of this week's games until after the Wednesday game.
Wow, I wasn't even aware there was a Wednesday game! Thanks for reminding me. In a sort of "robotic" way, I guess I'll go with what I think was the most frequent NCC's result ever : NCC 1 ORL 0
I don't know. But, with our predictors appearing so far to be more conservative this year than last, it's a good possibility.
By the way, who was the competitor who had theorized always predicting all 1-1 draws as a potentially decent strategy? Maybe @SiberianThunderT? In that case, BSBrainTrust could be in good company. Also, we could end testing how much that particular strategy can pay on the long run.
Yeah that was me, but that was also way more effective back in the old scoring system, before the seasons that I was running it. That said, considering we had two 1-1 draws this past weekend, it still might be a fairly effective strategy. X-D I didn't predict any 1-1 games for the weekend but I'll go NC 1-1 ORL for Wednesday.
Interestingly, one of these two 1-1 draws was the only game that BSBrainTrust hadn't predicted as a 1-1! "He" (it?) should have stuck to the 1-1 strategy with no compromises!
I actually tested the 1-1 strategy last year, for the regular season games. Here's how the strategy did, taking into account the fact that not all competitors made predictions for all of the games: For getting the exact score, it came in 3rd per game predicted, with 16 games (out of 108 total games). For getting the correct goal differential, it came in 2nd per game predicted, with 30 games (meaning, there were 30 ties). For getting the correct result (win/loss/draw), it came in 14th per game predicted, with 30 games. For getting the correct score for one team, it came in 2nd per game predicted, with 82 teams. In terms of overall competition score, however, it came in 12th (the poor finish being due to the way the scoring system works).
Well, that's very bold: I like it! And @cpthomas just finished saying "our predictors appear so far to be more conservative this year than last"!
And after the pre-season game Skinner said ‘now we know how to beat them.’ After the loss to Portland he said his players didn’t play how they were taught to play. He will have the Aussies back Wednesday, so he won’ be starting 2 rookies. The NC game will be interesting.