If I've done my numbers correctly, I think we have the potential for our first playoff elimination this week. According to SportsClubStats, we might have seen Sky Blue eliminated last week, but A) they won, and B) even if they had lost, I'm not sure if it would have been a statistical elimination or an honest mathematical elimination, especially with other matches to have considered. BUT - I do believe that the Orlando Pride can be eliminated this week if they lose to the Washington Spirit. Here's how: If the Pride lose, then their maximum possible points would be 29 If the Spirit thus also win, the table above the Pride would look like: POR36, NC31, CHI29, DC28, UTA28, SEA27 HOU22 NJ16 Obviously, the Pride would be unable to catch POR and NC, so they'd have to hope no more than one team of the next four (all of whom are already within a win of 29pts) passes 29pts. The problem? CHI and SEA both play DC and UTA down the stretch. The only way for only one of them to surpass 29pts is if CHI is the allowed team - SEA would then have to draw DC+UTA, for a massive tiebreak at 29pts. Why's that a problem? In that scenario, HOU would necessarily pick up wins against DC and twice against UTA, putting them on 31pts. TL;DR - this lone week 20 game is officially an elimination match for the Pride. I'll take a closer look at Sky Blue next week, plus we can later talk about the home semifinals and the Shield races.