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Discussion in 'College & Amateur Soccer' started by gauchodan, Aug 21, 2017.
I am up and running for 2017...
The messiah is back..... Thanks GauchoDan.
I enjoyed to read this first day schedule. The only day when my sons' teams have and RPI of 1... It won't last long.....
All hail gauchodan (even if he is a gaucho fan).
I bet when Dan started this project, he never thought it would reveal his Gauchos are ranked 200!
And when I looked the other day, Cal Poly has the #1 SOS in the country.
All hail gauchodan!
Dan I might be showing my ignorance here but you have Lipscomb and USD drawing last night when Lipscomb actually won in the second OT 3-2. Is it considered a draw because it was tied after regulation?
Nope, it's a mistake on my part. Fixing now.
Fascinating. Cal Poly goes to the East Coast and plays big programs (all losses on East Coast) but ends up with a .500 record for pre-season and has a 27 RPI. If they had that 4-4 record playing West Coast teams, I would venture to say they'd be in the 70-100 RPI or even worse.
I finally got to see them in person on Monday and they looked pretty good. It was an enjoyable game and I was pleasantly surprised after the play last year. Thankfully, they played smart and less direct than last year. Christian Enriquez had a minor injury in previous game vs Bakersfield (held our breath) but did play a few minutes in Monday's game against Portland (3-1 victory).
2, 10, 24, 15. That's the current RPI of the four teams they played on the road. That's a great boost to their strength of schedule, especially since they aren't scheduled to play anyone with an RPI higher than 72 the rest of the way.
Kudos to SS for scheduling tough teams early and for the athletic department for funding not one but two trips to the Eastern time zone.
So currently 5 conferences - ACC, Big Ten, Big East, AAC and Pac-12 - would get 19 of the 24 at-large bids, assuming the selection committee went straight RPI in its picks.
That leaves 5 at-large bids for the other 19 conferences.
The opponent RPI's would be important if Cal Poly had won any of the games, as they would have racked up some big bonuses.
As it is, Cal Poly's RPI credit resides in the SOS of those same 4 teams:
Tonight, they are struggling vs. winless UCR. Even with a victory, Cal Poly's SOS (and RPI) will take a major hit.
I think you may have made a bit of an error on the Stanford-SDSU game, @gauchodan.
They only dropped 5 spots. They actually dominated for most of the game, definitely did not struggle, and won 3-1. Riverside's goal was on CP's GK - I think he came out way too far on a play and left an open net.
This team looks totally different than the one I watched last year. Pleasantly surprised. They will compete well in BW this year. Plus this is without probably our best player, Christian Enriquez, who is out with an ankle injury.
Haha I was going to say!
Actually, they dropped to 43 once I fixed the infamous Stanford error. SOS went from 4 to 35.
OK, thanks GauchoDan.
Finally, the NCAA has made its 1st release of the RPI. At a quick glance, they have done their annual bonus adjustment...I need to go through the data and re-adjust as well to match.
Given that, there's going to be some slight differences between my data and the RPI's until I get things aligned. But the top 22 are correct...the first difference is Michigan and Akron are reversed at 23 and 24.
Made some quick adjustments, and now have the top 81 correct. They not only adjusted the bonuses down, but in at least once case they've changed the order for draws at home vs. 147-176...penalizing that particular result more. I've got business to take care of, so I'll take another run at this later today.
OK, everything's updated with the new adjusted bonuses and penalties. For the 2nd straight year, they adjusted everything down...two years ago the top bonus was +.0080 and the top penalty was -.0080. Now, it's +.0065 and -.0065.
The penalty for "draws at home vs. 147-176" did indeed get moved down in the pecking order, and more points are deducted this season for that particular result.
Every year, there seems to be one team with an unexplained additional maximum penalty. Eastern Illinois is that school this season...I believe the NCAA gives penalties for non-field-related stuff...perhaps a game scheduled after a deadline? EIU seemed to drop in that non-D1 game vs. Saint Francis (Ill.) at the last second. It's OK to play non-D1's, but I think they have a rule about scheduling in a timely manner...with exceptions for cancelled and postponed matches of course.
So as of Friday night, all of the top nine teams in the RPI and 13 of the top 20 are from either the Big Ten or ACC.
Is that a statement about the RPI, the strength of the two conferences, the rest of college soccer or all of the above?
NCAA releases its updated RPI rankings, through games of 10/8.
No adjustments needed to the gauchodan version: