2015 RPI

If the NCAA follows its pattern of the last few years, it will publish its first RPI rankings next week, possibly Monday but more likely Tuesday, here: http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/soccer-women/d1. At the top of the page, click on Rankings. Under the "Last Updated" note, there's a box with a drop down menu. Currently, the Menu default is NSCAA Coaches, referring to the NSCAA Coaches' poll. If you open up the drop down menu, you'll see NCAA Women's Soccer RPI as an option. Currently, clicking on that option will take you to the Division I Women's Soccer RPIs as of the end of the 2014 NCAA Tournament. Once the NCAA posts its first 2015 weekly rankings, that's what the RPI option will take you to.

For those really interested in the RPI, however, there's a better place to go, which is the NCAA RPI Archive: https://rpiarchive.ncaa.org/default.aspx. That will take you to an Archive entry page with a series of Document Query selections for you to make. For Sport, select Soccer. For Gender, Women. For Report, either Current (this week's report) or All (all reports so far this year). For Document, you have a bunch of choices, the one of which I recommend is Team Sheets. Team Sheets takes you to an archive that has a sheet for each team, and the sheet shows the team's actual RPI rating as distinguished from its rank. The sheet also shows the different components of the team's RPI. And, the sheet also contains a wealth of other information about the team's record so far this year.

Starting next week, I too will be publishing RPI ratings in the form of downloadable Excel workbooks. You'll be able to access those here: https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/rpi-reports. The advantage of these is that, if you have Excel, you can "Save As" them and then use the sort function to organize the data however you want.

And, for those who are interested in an in depth understanding of the RPI, I just have completed my annual update of the RPI for Division I Women's Soccer website, the home page of which is here: https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/Home. There's nothing startlingly new on the RPI, just updated material. On the webpages covering the NCAA Tournament, there is some new material. I'll cover what's new there in about a week in a 2015 NCAA Tournament thread, which I'll start if no one else does before I get to it.

I've been advised that the Women's Soccer Committee did not make changes in the RPI formula since last year. If true, the formula should be the same as last year, with one possible exception. The NCAA staff has the authority, without Committee review, to change the bonus and penalty adjustment amounts awarded for good wins/ties and poor losses/ties in order to keep the amounts consistent with the amounts the Committee approved when it last altered the amounts. These staff adjustments are very small and simply are a form of calibration to be sure the values of the bonuses and penalties are what the Committee originally intended, taking into consideration that the population of teams with Division I women's soccer has been increasing and the distribution of ratings among the population of schools may evolve over time. The staff did make some minor changes in the bonus and penalty amounts last year, and it is possible they will do it again this year. If they do this, they don't announce it publicly, but it's fairly easy to figure out if they've made changes and what they are, so if they have I'll describe the changes here.

 

I just have publlished my first RPI report for the season, covering games through Sunday, September 20, 2015. You can find it, in the form of an Excel attachment at the bottom of the webpage, here: https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/rpi-reports. If you aren't familiar with my reports, it might be worth your while to check out the text on that webpage, since it gives an introduction to what's in my reports.

As I like to do with my weekly reports before publishing them, I have compared my numbers to the NCAA's to see if there are discrepancies. For this week's report, we had some discrepancies. A few of these were due to my data errors, all of which I corrected before completing the report I've posted. The NCAA, however, also had some errors. These included a programming oversight, what looks like a programming glitch, and a team data reporting error:

Programming Oversight

The two penalty tiers of the RPI formula are for poor results against the bottom 80 teams in the unadjusted RPI, broken into two tiers of 40 teams each. As new schools sponsor DI women’s soccer, the tiers need to be adjusted within the portion of the RPI program that applies the penalties. The tiers this year should be 254-293 and 294-333. The NCAA did not make that adjustment, however, or at least not correctly. With this not having been done, a few teams are being penalized when they shouldn’t be and a few are being penalized in amounts higher than they should be.

Programming Glitch

The NCAA's RPI report shows UTEP and Utah Valley with a tie in a game that UTEP actually won. Within the NCAA's school data entry Game by Game system, there was a double entry for this game, with one indicating a win by UTEP and the other not indicating the result. It appears to me that the NCAA's RPI program software read what it was seeing as a tie. The result of this is that the NCAA's RPI numbers are based on the game having been a tie, which then affected a lot of other interrelated numbers.

School Data Reporting Error

The September 6 game between the U of Portland and Illinois is reported within the Game by Game system, and has carried over into the RPI system, as having been played at Portland. In fact, it was played in Seattle at the University of Washington’s tournament. Though slight, this actually might be a somewhat significant error if not corrected, as the mis-reporting has resulted in Illinois receiving higher bonus points for the win than it should be receiving.​

I've advised the NCAA staff of these errors. If they follow their usual course of action, they will check to see if I am correct and if they conclude I am, they will make corrections. I'll know for sure when I see their next week's RPI report.

At this point, I believe my report's numbers are completely reliable. The NCAA's are not. The differences are not great, but if you want correct numbers this week you'll probably want to go to my report.

 

Just for fun and to see how different systems' ratings evolve over the course of the season, here's a table showing teams' Elo-based ranks (cpt version, but with no special treatment for win/lose overtime games - column headed Final Rank), NCAA Adjusted RPI ranks, and Iteration 5 URPI ranks. This is for games through Sunday, September 20:

 

I just have posted my weekly RPI report here: 9.28.2015 RPI Report. It's in the form of a downloadable Excel spreadsheet at the bottom of the linked page. It covers all games through Sunday, September 27.

Beginning with this week's report, I show which teams are in the range, at this stage of the season, for #1, #2, #3, and #4 seeds; and which teams at this stage are "bubble" teams for at large selections. As the weeks pass by, these ranges will become narrower.

If you compare my RPI report, or the "real time" ratings that Chris Henderson does for AllWhiteKit, you'll see differences from the NCAA's ratings. The NCAA's data base is missing the September 27 game in which Arkansas Pine Bluff won over Texas Southern. This slightly throws off a lot of the NCAA's ratings. This is not the NCAA's fault, but rather is the fault of the schools and/or SWAC if SWAC is supposed to enter schedules for the schools into the NCAA's system. They inadvertently forgot to enter this game, so the NCAA didn't know it had been played. The NCAA also has a minor error in its programming for the RPI penalty adjustments that has affected the rankings for about 10 schools at the poor end of the rankings. I expect the NCAA will fix these problems over the coming week.

In the meantime, my ratings are correct as are AllWhiteKit's as of today.

 

Here is a comparison of ARPI rankings to my Iteration 5 URPI and my Elo system rankings for games through Sunday, September 27. What you're seeing is team/ARPI rank/Iteration 5 Rank/Elo (cpt system) rank

All three systems start with an initial seed. The ARPI and Iteration 5 URPI start with all teams seeded as equal. The Elo system starts with all teams seeded at their ratings as of the end of the 2014 regular season. They all take time to get properly calibrated for the current teams as distinguished from their "all equal" or "2014 end of season" versions. The ARPI and Iteration 5 URPI have much farther to go to get properly calibrated than does the Elo system -- in other words, the "2014 end of season" version is much closer to teams' current "real" ratings than is an "all equal" version.

In comparing the teams' ratings, you might want to bear in mind the ARPI's problem with rating teams from different conferences and regions in a single system. It has a consistent pattern, on average, of overrating teams from weaker conferences and regions and underrating teams from stronger conferences and regions. The Iteration 5 URPI has much less of this problem, but still has a problem. The Elo system has very little to none of the problem.

FloridaState 1 2 1
PennState 2 4 7
Clemson 3 7 17
BYU 4 3 10
NotreDame 5 8 8
SantaClara 6 10 13
SouthFlorida 7 20 25
Stanford 8 5 5
Rutgers 9 14 32
Auburn 10 9 20
NorthCarolinaU 11 1 3
SouthCarolinaU 12 11 14
VirginiaTech 13 13 11
WestVirginiaU 14 12 6
VirginiaU 15 6 2
ArizonaU 16 16 26
CaliforniaU 17 24 19
ConnecticutU 18 19 28
NorthwesternU 19 17 24
FloridaU 20 22 12
NebraskaU 21 25 31
MinnesotaU 22 15 16
TexasTech 23 18 15
WashingtonU 24 23 23
Duke 25 26 36
WashingtonState 26 21 18
IllinoisU 27 28 37
Hofstra 28 37 56
UCF 29 32 33
StJohns 30 29 48
SouthAlabama 31 52 87
MississippiU 32 36 38
SouthernCalifornia 33 27 30
MissouriU 34 35 50
KentuckyU 35 30 21
MichiganState 36 33 39
OklahomaU 37 44 41
Georgetown 38 42 46
Tulsa 39 57 81
LSU 40 43 62
TexasA&M 41 34 9
Marshall 42 56 96
OhioState 43 40 40
CalStateFullerton 44 31 35
LongBeachState 45 50 49
Seattle 46 53 59
UNCWilmington 47 51 93
LoyolaMarymount 48 48 69
IndianaU 49 69 66
BostonCollege 50 39 42
NorthTexas 51 64 60
Northeastern 52 73 76
KansasU 53 55 52
TennesseeU 54 63 54
ColoradoU 55 38 29
CalPoly 56 49 45
Pepperdine 57 46 22
MarylandU 58 77 67
William&Mary 59 47 70
Syracuse 60 87 102
Samford 61 60 100
SanDiegoState 62 58 57
UCLA 63 45 4
Cincinnati 64 68 82
Princeton 65 71 97
Campbell 66 94 205
OregonState 67 41 75
WisconsinU 68 66 27
MichiganU 69 54 34
WesternKentucky 70 95 133
TexasU 71 70 51
Vanderbilt 72 89 98
JamesMadison 73 67 84
Dartmouth 74 75 89
Purdue 75 72 90
Memphis 76 80 79
Marquette 77 86 68
Cornell 78 78 131
Temple 79 92 125
DePaul 80 62 44
TCU 81 61 55
Monmouth 82 100 147
UtahU 83 76 71
DelawareU 84 93 142
Colgate 85 108 110
SanFrancisco 86 65 77
Brown 87 107 165
Pittsburgh 88 59 61
BostonU 89 103 65
ArizonaState 90 81 43
OklahomaState 91 84 53
FairleighDickinson 92 151 158
MiamiOH 93 91 78
Troy 94 117 154
CentralConnecticut 95 99 148
PortlandU 96 85 58
Providence 97 79 86
UCDavis 98 74 109
Fordham 99 136 157
StJosephs 100 106 137
NewMexicoU 101 88 72
Lipscomb 102 119 171
UTEP 103 121 141
UCRiverside 104 104 105
CollegeofCharleston 105 105 162
EasternWashington 106 82 130
EastCarolina 107 101 124
BallState 108 116 106
Valparaiso 109 140 120
StLouis 110 102 149
AppalachianState 111 122 196
Elon 112 98 159
LaSalle 113 124 94
Charlotte 114 148 166
ArkansasU 115 96 80
GeorgiaU 116 120 74
Rice 117 110 85
MiddleTennessee 118 131 160
WakeForest 119 90 73
MaineU 120 157 203
Louisville 121 128 92
CoastalCarolina 122 123 164
Manhattan 123 188 241
GeorgeWashington 124 109 126
TexasState 125 134 188
MissouriState 126 143 181
SMU 127 130 135
Liberty 128 147 150
Furman 129 132 132
SELouisiana 130 160 232
McNeeseState 131 233 287
CalStateNorthridge 132 83 83
FIU 133 97 127
StMarys 134 118 134
AlabamaU 135 152 95
Drexel 136 129 143
GeorgiaState 137 133 209
Butler 138 141 116
SanJoseState 139 149 123
IowaU 140 113 47
Harvard 141 138 91
FloridaGulfCoast 142 114 88
Davidson 143 183 222
Duquesne 144 139 172
OralRoberts 145 193 217
Longwood 146 175 240
EastTennesseeState 147 164 190
UNCGreensboro 148 174 201
MississippiState 149 162 182
WesternCarolina 150 184 212
Baylor 151 112 63
IowaState 152 144 103
Siena 153 202 235
Buffalo 154 163 121
BoiseState 155 125 114
Creighton 156 145 139
WesternMichigan 157 111 99
NCState 158 156 177
UALR 159 189 262
Columbia 160 201 178
MurrayState 161 179 220
WeberState 162 170 226
SouthDakotaState 163 173 144
NorthernColorado 164 180 174
Lehigh 165 161 185
LoyolaChicago 166 142 151
IdahoU 167 150 179
PennsylvaniaU 168 137 112
UtahState 169 127 129
Navy 170 153 107
SetonHall 171 208 223
Akron 172 210 237
Gonzaga 173 167 119
UMKC 174 155 128
UCSantaBarbara 175 115 118
SanDiegoU 176 126 64
LoyolaMD 177 212 194
TennesseeTech 178 204 276
KentState 179 176 153
UCIrvine 180 135 113
Mercer 181 181 163
Richmond 182 197 227
ColoradoCollege 183 177 111
OldDominion 184 186 195
NorthDakotaState 185 166 184
UtahValley 186 158 136
HighPoint 187 154 170
MassachusettsU 188 146 156
Hartford 189 198 204
FloridaAtlantic 190 159 197
SamHoustonState 191 190 211
TennesseeMartin 192 216 199
Toledo 193 191 176
VermontU 194 220 256
IllinoisState 195 187 115
CentralArkansas 196 238 288
Quinnipiac 197 217 271
Houston 198 206 245
UNLV 199 185 152
StephenFAustin 200 207 145
Lafayette 201 211 254
Yale 202 172 155
Towson 203 165 140
NorthernKentucky 204 169 186
Albany 205 199 216
GeorgeMason 206 168 189
OhioU 207 224 229
Dayton 208 195 101
Army 209 205 191
Stetson 210 192 242
VCU 211 215 168
Marist 212 249 274
MontanaU 213 228 192
HoustonBaptist 214 218 175
IUPUI 215 227 215
NewHampshireU 216 236 236
NorthernArizona 217 182 138
Radford 218 251 289
SIUEdwardsville 219 222 208
Xavier 220 196 221
EasternMichigan 221 225 146
MiamiFL 222 178 104
LouisianaLafayette 223 209 233
JacksonvilleU 224 235 230
ClevelandState 225 229 213
JacksonvilleState 226 257 267
UNOmaha 227 234 269
Niagara 228 213 183
Oakland 229 219 187
LouisianaTech 230 247 224
Milwaukee 231 194 122
AbileneChristian 232 231 244
UTSA 233 230 246
Rider 234 245 225
Villanova 235 253 193
StonyBrook 236 237 250
WyomingU 237 171 117
StBonaventure 238 252 238
CharlestonSouthern 239 258 304
Drake 240 246 200
Bucknell 241 203 161
ColoradoState 242 214 214
IndianaState 243 259 253
GeorgiaSouthern 244 254 248
SouthernUtah 245 232 231
WrightState 246 239 180
Detroit 247 221 207
IllinoisChicago 248 272 257
KennesawState 249 261 255
OregonU 250 200 108
Evansville 251 256 219
Lamar 252 271 277
UNCAsheville 253 243 279
CentralMichigan 254 242 173
IncarnateWord 255 287 298
Pacific 256 248 251
FresnoState 257 223 218
Winthrop 258 266 268
GardnerWebb 259 267 295
NevadaU 260 226 202
NewMexicoState 261 281 294
GrandCanyon 262 240 243
SoutheastMissouriState 263 250 210
LouisianaMonroe 264 280 306
PortlandState 265 241 167
Wofford 266 263 285
PrairieViewA&M 267 270 312
StFrancis 268 286 275
Binghamton 269 294 281
RhodeIslandU 270 262 239
SacredHeart 271 265 259
YoungstownState 272 264 265
HawaiiU 273 244 169
AustinPeay 274 255 286
UNI 275 269 263
LongIsland 276 289 297
UAB 277 278 272
BowlingGreen 278 275 261
IdahoState 279 276 247
NorthwesternState 280 291 307
EasternKentucky 281 299 311
HolyCross 282 285 252
Fairfield 283 277 234
VMI 284 296 315
NorthDakotaU 285 268 291
Belmont 286 295 283
UMBC 287 274 258
Morehead 288 279 249
ArkansasState 289 306 313
SacramentoState 290 260 228
RobertMorris 291 288 284
NorthFlorida 292 290 278
SouthernMississippi 293 297 302
IPFW 294 304 293
Howard 295 284 303
Chattanooga 296 293 323
CalStateBakersfield 297 282 273
AirForce 298 273 206
Presbyterian 299 292 299
MississippiValley 300 312 327
WesternIllinois 301 311 282
USCUpstate 302 308 316
AlabamaState 303 310 322
SouthCarolinaState 304 318 326
UMassLowell 305 302 292
NorthernIllinois 306 301 264
NJIT 307 316 319
DelawareState 308 303 318
American 309 283 280
Canisius 310 305 290
SouthDakotaU 311 300 270
TexasSouthern 312 314 328
TexasCorpusChristi 313 307 305
Citadel 314 320 314
GreenBay 315 309 260
JacksonState 316 322 325
AlabamaA&M 317 325 329
Bryant 318 313 300
Denver 319 298 198
EasternIllinois 320 315 308
MountStMary 321 319 317
ArkansasPineBluff 322 327 331
Wagner 323 323 301
TexasPanAmerican 324 317 266
NichollsState 325 321 309
Grambling 326 330 332
Iona 327 324 310
StPeters 328 328 324
FrancisMarion 329 326 321
ChicagoState 330 329 320
SouthernU 331 331 330
Hampton 332 332 296
AlcornState 333 333 333

 

UNC's strength of schedule, as of last Sunday's game, was #69 in the SoS rankings. Its non-conference SoS was #97. That's what's affected its ranking. Think of poor Cornell. They're undefeated. Yet no one would argue they should be ranked near the top. Why? Their SoS rank after Sunday was #246 and their NC SoS was #262.

And, another part of the issue for UNC is that the RPI starts with the assumption that all teams are the same strength. It then depends on game results ( whether you won-lost-tied and who you played and what their records and their opponents' records are) to move teams away from equal into their proper positions. An Elo-based system, on the other hand, starts with teams initially positioned based on past ratings and then moves them away from those positions based on game results and their opponents' positions in the ratings, into their proper positions. The Elo system I've set up has UNC ranked as #3. (And, the Iteration 5 URPI I've developed has them at #1. Interestingly enough, the It 5 URPI, like the RPI, starts teams as equal.)

Goals conceded, goals scored, and goal differential have no bearing on the RPI. In fact, the NCAA has a policy of not considering any of those items in its rating system. The likely reason is that they don't want to encourage teams to run up the score and they want teams to use their benches when they're ahead so that more players get to play.

 

The intention of the developers of the RPI appears to have been that, at the end of the season, a team's winning percentage and its strength of schedule each will have a 50% effective weight in the RPI rating. In any event, that's the result they've achieved when one looks at the end of season effective weights, on average over a number of years:

Winning percentage effective weight: ~50%

Strength of schedule effective weight: ~50%, consisting of:

Opponents' average winning percentage: ~40%

Opponents' opponents' average winning percentage: ~10%
​

These exact numbers don't hold for each year. Rather, there's some variability from year to year. But on average, this is close to where the numbers come out.

These effective weights, however, are as of the end of the season. Early in the season, strength of schedule has a significantly higher effective weight and, conversely, a team's winning percentage has a lower effective weight. To illustrate, I ran some computations for last year (2014). For that season, here are the weekly winning percentage and strength of schedule effective weights, starting with the ratings following the fourth week of the season:

Week 4: WP 34.8%; SoS 65.2%

Week 5: WP 40.4%; SoS 59.6%

Week 6: WP 42.5%; SoS 57.5%

Week 7: WP 44.9%; SoS 55.1%

Week 8: WP 48.3%; SoS 51.7%

Week 9: WP 50.2%; SoS 49.8%

Week 10: WP 53.3%; SoS 46.7%

Week 11: WP 54.5%; SoS 45.5%

What this means is that, in RPI terms, teams high on the strength of schedule list currently are being over-rewarded for their S0S and, conversely, teams low on the S0S list currently are being over-punished for their S0S.

If anyone is interested in why the effective weights are different than the 25% WP/50% OWP/25% OOWP in the RPI formula, go here: https://sites.google.com/site/rpifordivisioniwomenssoccer/rpi-formula. The explanation is part way down the page under the heading "Calculation of RPI."

​

 

I just have posted my weekly RPI report here: 10.5.2015 RPI Report. It's in the form of a downloadable Excel spreadsheet. It covers all games through Sunday, October 4. Well, all but one game, since the result of Sunday's Grambling v Alabama A&M game is not yet posted anywhere.

My ratings differ in very minor amounts from some of the NCAA's ratings. This is because the NCAA's data base currently does not include October 2's game between host Texas Southern and Alcorn State, won 6-0 by Texas Southern. The NCAA's data base also does not include the result of the Grambling v Alabama A&M game, but then neither does mine.

There are three games that originally were in the NCAA's Game by Game system but then disappeared from it: the September 27 game between Arkansas Pine Bluff and Texas Southern, the October 2 Texas Southern v Alcorn State game, and the October 4 Grambling v Alabama A&M game. The common denominator is that they all are Southwestern Athletic Conference games. I suspect that SWAC has the responsibility for entering the conference teams' game results into the NCAA's Game by Game system. And, I suspect that whoever is doing this at SWAC inadvertently is deleting some games from the system rather than entering the game results. Maybe there is some other explanation for what's happened with these three games, but that's the simplest explanation I can come up with.

The NCAA fixed the problem with the missing September 27 game, and I anticipate it will get these other problems fixed some time this week.

In the course of investigating the "missing games" problem, I saw something interesting: Alcorn State has only 11 players on its roster. About midway through the season so far, its game rosters dropped down to 10 players, and in its October 4 game against Prairie View, its game roster listed only 9 players.

 

Here are teams with their ARPI, Iteration 5 URPI, and Elo (cpt version) based rankings, for purposes of comparison. What you're seeing is team/ARPI rank/It 5 URPI rank/Elo rank:

PennState 1 3 5
FloridaState 2 5 1
Stanford 3 2 4
Clemson 4 7 14
Auburn 5 6 18
Rutgers 6 12 28
BYU 7 4 7
VirginiaTech 8 8 9
SouthFlorida 9 24 30
NorthCarolinaU 10 1 3
ArizonaU 11 13 24
SantaClara 12 15 19
WestVirginiaU 13 10 6
WashingtonU 14 11 12
SouthCarolinaU 15 14 15
ConnecticutU 16 17 26
FloridaU 17 16 11
VirginiaU 18 9 2
NotreDame 19 18 13
Duke 20 29 36
CaliforniaU 21 26 20
NebraskaU 22 30 33
Hofstra 23 40 66
NorthwesternU 24 21 29
SouthernCalifornia 25 25 25
MinnesotaU 26 19 22
KentuckyU 27 23 21
StJohns 28 28 43
SouthAlabama 29 53 86
IllinoisU 30 27 32
MissouriU 31 32 45
TexasTech 32 20 16
LongBeachState 33 35 40
TexasA&M 34 31 8
WashingtonState 35 22 17
MichiganState 36 36 39
OhioState 37 34 37
Northeastern 38 64 63
MississippiU 39 38 41
Marshall 40 61 98
BostonCollege 41 37 44
CalStateFullerton 42 33 34
OklahomaU 43 42 35
UNCWilmington 44 47 88
TennesseeU 45 52 49
Cincinnati 46 49 58
Tulsa 47 62 78
LoyolaMarymount 48 39 65
NorthTexas 49 54 62
JamesMadison 50 48 71
Georgetown 51 45 47
WisconsinU 52 50 23
LSU 53 46 70
UCF 54 58 48
IndianaU 55 75 68
William&Mary 56 41 73
Princeton 57 67 83
TexasU 58 56 42
DePaul 59 51 38
Seattle 60 69 67
SanDiegoState 61 57 53
CalPoly 62 59 55
Purdue 63 66 76
MichiganU 64 44 27
Vanderbilt 65 80 95
OregonState 66 43 74
KansasU 67 72 56
Samford 68 73 94
Memphis 69 76 75
Pittsburgh 70 63 64
UCLA 71 60 10
Dartmouth 72 84 102
MarylandU 73 81 79
UtahU 74 65 54
Liberty 75 96 142
SanFrancisco 76 55 59
Troy 77 101 146
Syracuse 78 109 119
WesternKentucky 79 93 124
TCU 80 68 57
BallState 81 82 90
AppalachianState 82 98 183
BostonU 83 85 60
Campbell 84 112 212
Cornell 85 79 126
UTEP 86 114 143
UCDavis 87 71 96
Temple 88 110 127
Butler 89 103 108
MiddleTennessee 90 102 155
Fordham 91 111 133
GeorgeWashington 92 89 115
Providence 93 87 103
Monmouth 94 119 140
Marquette 95 113 97
ArkansasU 96 83 77
CentralConnecticut 97 97 151
Pepperdine 98 70 31
EastCarolina 99 88 110
DelawareU 100 117 158
Louisville 101 92 80
OklahomaState 102 77 50
UCRiverside 103 116 120
EasternWashington 104 78 121
Lipscomb 105 120 174
FairleighDickinson 106 154 154
ColoradoU 107 74 46
ArizonaState 108 90 52
Rice 109 106 105
CollegeofCharleston 110 126 175
UALR 111 167 245
Drexel 112 118 144
AlabamaU 113 142 101
CoastalCarolina 114 131 165
Harvard 115 122 85
GeorgiaU 116 137 81
Elon 117 104 160
PennsylvaniaU 118 121 116
MississippiState 119 153 182
MaineU 120 178 204
LaSalle 121 136 111
MurrayState 122 150 194
WakeForest 123 99 93
SMU 124 149 147
UNCGreensboro 125 171 189
MiamiOH 126 107 92
Furman 127 135 138
UtahState 128 100 106
TexasState 129 152 205
Baylor 130 94 61
FloridaGulfCoast 131 95 84
StMarys 132 108 113
CalStateNorthridge 133 86 87
EastTennesseeState 134 155 179
KentState 135 141 131
StJosephs 136 158 164
LoyolaChicago 137 132 153
Columbia 138 185 169
Dayton 139 143 89
Gonzaga 140 134 107
Manhattan 141 200 234
Navy 142 147 114
Longwood 143 188 237
MissouriState 144 163 192
FIU 145 128 141
Valparaiso 146 165 134
IowaU 147 105 51
PortlandU 148 115 72
UCSantaBarbara 149 91 112
StLouis 150 130 157
Richmond 151 169 197
Colgate 152 175 135
ColoradoCollege 153 146 99
Brown 154 176 191
NewMexicoU 155 127 91
MassachusettsU 156 123 150
WesternMichigan 157 125 109
OldDominion 158 174 199
OralRoberts 159 196 214
WeberState 160 186 219
FloridaAtlantic 161 145 176
NorthDakotaState 162 139 171
VCU 163 164 148
IllinoisState 164 157 117
SamHoustonState 165 173 193
SetonHall 166 198 196
IdahoU 167 140 161
HoustonBaptist 168 195 167
HighPoint 169 138 163
SanJoseState 170 151 128
Siena 171 223 244
NCState 172 156 178
NorthernColorado 173 161 162
UtahValley 174 148 118
Creighton 175 144 132
UCIrvine 176 124 104
Duquesne 177 160 211
Buffalo 178 181 129
MiamiFL 179 133 82
SouthDakotaState 180 168 145
Charlotte 181 197 203
IowaState 182 162 125
WesternCarolina 183 203 218
UNLV 184 170 130
UMKC 185 166 136
GeorgiaState 186 180 236
StephenFAustin 187 193 139
NewHampshireU 188 204 206
TennesseeTech 189 199 275
Niagara 190 189 170
SELouisiana 191 207 259
Towson 192 159 152
SanDiegoU 193 129 69
Mercer 194 191 177
Houston 195 210 241
LoyolaMD 196 212 195
MontanaU 197 206 180
Hartford 198 190 185
BoiseState 199 182 149
CentralArkansas 200 231 283
AbileneChristian 201 202 228
Akron 202 236 251
Army 203 218 200
LouisianaTech 204 216 207
Toledo 205 208 198
Bucknell 206 183 156
Davidson 207 221 235
NorthernArizona 208 187 137
GeorgeMason 209 172 181
McNeeseState 210 255 295
EasternMichigan 211 215 159
Milwaukee 212 177 122
Oakland 213 205 172
JacksonvilleState 214 244 257
WrightState 215 211 173
OhioU 216 225 220
ClevelandState 217 209 190
NorthernKentucky 218 192 186
Lafayette 219 234 261
Xavier 220 201 227
CentralMichigan 221 213 166
VermontU 222 238 254
TennesseeMartin 223 246 231
LouisianaLafayette 224 222 240
UTSA 225 232 250
CharlestonSouthern 226 237 296
Yale 227 194 168
JacksonvilleU 228 227 213
Lehigh 229 217 210
WyomingU 230 184 123
IUPUI 231 233 225
OregonU 232 179 100
BowlingGreen 233 229 224
Drake 234 230 188
Detroit 235 226 216
Albany 236 220 222
Radford 237 267 299
StonyBrook 238 249 258
GeorgiaSouthern 239 241 238
Quinnipiac 240 260 286
Stetson 241 214 253
SIUEdwardsville 242 240 223
LouisianaMonroe 243 276 307
SouthernUtah 244 239 230
AustinPeay 245 228 260
Villanova 246 251 209
RhodeIslandU 247 263 249
Pacific 248 235 252
IndianaState 249 252 248
UNOmaha 250 250 276
Fairfield 251 259 221
Marist 252 281 282
KennesawState 253 264 255
StBonaventure 254 258 247
PortlandState 255 243 187
Wofford 256 254 284
HolyCross 257 262 226
FresnoState 258 219 202
GrandCanyon 259 248 243
NevadaU 260 224 208
UNCAsheville 261 242 280
Rider 262 253 215
Lamar 263 279 288
Winthrop 264 271 272
GardnerWebb 265 277 297
StFrancis 266 269 264
SoutheastMissouriState 267 265 239
RobertMorris 268 274 273
NewMexicoState 269 283 291
UAB 270 285 281
IllinoisChicago 271 284 267
Evansville 272 272 233
HawaiiU 273 245 184
ColoradoState 274 247 229
NorthFlorida 275 273 269
YoungstownState 276 278 268
IncarnateWord 277 290 305
ArkansasState 278 301 312
SacramentoState 279 257 232
MississippiValley 280 297 325
SouthernMississippi 281 282 289
Morehead 282 270 242
CalStateBakersfield 283 261 256
UMBC 284 275 262
Binghamton 285 303 292
UNI 286 268 246
EasternKentucky 287 304 311
AirForce 288 256 201
Belmont 289 291 285
PrairieViewA&M 290 288 319
IPFW 291 294 279
IdahoState 292 292 265
NorthDakotaU 293 266 287
NorthwesternState 294 289 306
LongIsland 295 293 298
SacredHeart 296 286 277
UMassLowell 297 299 293
American 298 280 278
JacksonState 299 309 323
Bryant 300 287 274
Chattanooga 301 298 322
VMI 302 305 316
TexasCorpusChristi 303 302 303
Howard 304 295 310
Presbyterian 305 296 300
USCUpstate 306 312 314
GreenBay 307 308 270
Canisius 308 307 290
AlabamaState 309 314 324
NorthernIllinois 310 306 271
ArkansasPineBluff 311 316 331
DelawareState 312 310 315
SouthDakotaU 313 300 263
Citadel 314 317 313
WesternIllinois 315 318 301
SouthCarolinaState 316 321 327
NichollsState 317 313 304
TexasSouthern 318 322 328
NJIT 319 325 320
Iona 320 323 309
EasternIllinois 321 315 308
MountStMary 322 319 317
TexasPanAmerican 323 320 266
Wagner 324 324 302
AlabamaA&M 325 329 330
Denver 326 311 217
ChicagoState 327 326 318
Grambling 328 331 332
FrancisMarion 329 327 321
StPeters 330 328 326
SouthernU 331 330 329
AlcornState 332 332 333
Hampton 333 333 294

 

I have published my RPI report for games through Sunday, October 11, at the RPI for Division I Women's Soccer website. The NCAA's published rankings and ratings through that same date have three data errors, all involving missing games. Because of this, the NCAA's published rankings and ratings are not correct. Mine are, as are the ratings and rankings at the webpages sponsored by AllWhiteKit.

If you're interested in the details of the errors, I discuss them in my most recent post on the new Blog page of the RPI for DI Women's Soccer website: RPI Website Blog Page. The results of the errors, in the current ratings and rankings, are pretty inconsequential except for one: The NCAA's ratings and rankings have Virginia Tech ranked #14 and BYU #15. In fact, the correct ratings have them reversed: BYU is #14 and Virginia Tech is #15.

The NCAA is aware of these errors. Whether they will fix them remains to be seen.

 

Based on all games through Sunday, October 11, here are teams with their ARPI, Iteration 5 URPI, and Elo (cpt version) based rankings, for purposes of comparison. What you're seeing is team/ARPI rank/It 5 URPI rank/Elo rank:

FloridaState 1 1 1
PennState 2 2 5
Auburn 3 5 19
Clemson 4 7 14
FloridaU 5 8 9
SantaClara 6 13 18
SouthFlorida 7 21 30
Stanford 8 4 3
WestVirginiaU 9 10 6
ConnecticutU 10 19 25
NotreDame 11 14 11
Rutgers 12 16 26
VirginiaU 13 3 2
BYU 14 6 7
VirginiaTech 15 12 10
WashingtonU 16 11 15
SouthCarolinaU 17 15 20
NorthCarolinaU 18 9 4
MinnesotaU 19 18 16
Duke 20 25 35
WashingtonState 21 17 13
SouthernCalifornia 22 20 22
ArizonaU 23 26 28
SouthAlabama 24 47 81
Hofstra 25 43 62
LongBeachState 26 30 32
MississippiU 27 28 29
UCF 28 37 39
TexasTech 29 22 24
TexasA&M 30 29 12
CaliforniaU 31 23 21
OhioState 32 27 31
StJohns 33 36 46
NorthwesternU 34 24 27
NebraskaU 35 44 44
BostonCollege 36 41 41
Northeastern 37 56 54
LoyolaMarymount 38 38 56
IllinoisU 39 33 37
Georgetown 40 49 52
KentuckyU 41 34 33
CalStateFullerton 42 32 34
William&Mary 43 35 63
MichiganU 44 31 23
MichiganState 45 46 51
LSU 46 40 60
UNCWilmington 47 51 93
WisconsinU 48 42 17
TennesseeU 49 50 48
OklahomaU 50 54 40
TexasU 51 45 36
Cincinnati 52 63 76
NorthTexas 53 53 55
MissouriU 54 39 47
Princeton 55 61 79
Marshall 56 67 103
KansasU 57 57 43
Troy 58 82 127
JamesMadison 59 60 85
DePaul 60 52 38
SanDiegoState 61 59 49
UCLA 62 48 8
Tulsa 63 74 88
Vanderbilt 64 70 78
Samford 65 64 92
IndianaU 66 80 77
OregonState 67 55 80
BallState 68 71 82
Temple 69 85 113
Seattle 70 72 69
Louisville 71 66 57
Purdue 72 65 74
UtahU 73 69 65
Marquette 74 87 87
GeorgeWashington 75 78 98
MiddleTennessee 76 94 151
Memphis 77 79 73
SanFrancisco 78 58 59
CalPoly 79 73 75
Pittsburgh 80 62 70
Harvard 81 86 64
Liberty 82 116 155
AppalachianState 83 120 195
MarylandU 84 91 86
Dartmouth 85 108 118
OklahomaState 86 76 50
EastCarolina 87 90 106
BostonU 88 101 72
UTEP 89 109 131
FairleighDickinson 90 135 140
UCRiverside 91 93 99
Rice 92 89 94
Butler 93 103 95
DelawareU 94 107 141
UCDavis 95 83 107
CalStateNorthridge 96 68 68
CoastalCarolina 97 111 160
MiamiOH 98 84 83
Lipscomb 99 105 153
Monmouth 100 140 162
Syracuse 101 127 123
FIU 102 104 130
TCU 103 81 66
UALR 104 156 242
ColoradoU 105 75 45
WesternKentucky 106 118 143
Pepperdine 107 77 42
Campbell 108 146 223
ArizonaState 109 92 53
ArkansasU 110 100 96
Fordham 111 134 142
FloridaGulfCoast 112 95 84
WesternMichigan 113 112 108
Furman 114 115 136
Providence 115 99 104
MurrayState 116 129 179
EasternWashington 117 98 134
Elon 118 106 159
WakeForest 119 97 97
PortlandU 120 88 61
Cornell 121 110 135
LaSalle 122 131 105
TexasState 123 164 210
CollegeofCharleston 124 148 188
MississippiState 125 128 161
VCU 126 132 117
FloridaAtlantic 127 126 166
Navy 128 141 115
UCSantaBarbara 129 96 116
AlabamaU 130 147 112
MiamiFL 131 102 90
Columbia 132 182 169
GeorgiaU 133 119 89
IdahoU 134 122 147
Drexel 135 136 158
Manhattan 136 197 205
PennsylvaniaU 137 143 138
IllinoisState 138 149 111
Valparaiso 139 159 144
Dayton 140 142 100
KentState 141 157 146
Colgate 142 162 129
CentralConnecticut 143 161 177
Creighton 144 137 125
SMU 145 145 139
UNCGreensboro 146 169 185
SanJoseState 147 130 102
IowaU 148 113 58
HighPoint 149 138 180
WeberState 150 163 192
UCIrvine 151 123 110
MaineU 152 195 208
Mercer 153 166 165
Longwood 154 187 235
NewMexicoU 155 121 91
OldDominion 156 183 202
BoiseState 157 144 119
StJosephs 158 173 175
SanDiegoU 159 114 71
StLouis 160 133 164
UtahValley 161 150 114
EastTennesseeState 162 155 182
MontanaU 163 199 178
Brown 164 188 196
MissouriState 165 174 183
Charlotte 166 196 211
SELouisiana 167 204 248
NorthDakotaState 168 139 152
GeorgeMason 169 125 150
StMarys 170 124 122
VermontU 171 219 230
Lehigh 172 181 172
NorthernColorado 173 170 167
Baylor 174 117 67
UNLV 175 168 128
UMKC 176 180 154
Toledo 177 184 174
UtahState 178 152 137
GeorgiaState 179 192 245
Gonzaga 180 153 120
Milwaukee 181 151 109
LoyolaChicago 182 176 186
NCState 183 160 184
SamHoustonState 184 194 214
Duquesne 185 179 212
MassachusettsU 186 158 173
NorthernKentucky 187 154 171
Richmond 188 190 191
AbileneChristian 189 193 200
SouthDakotaState 190 165 133
HoustonBaptist 191 210 187
Bucknell 192 172 149
Towson 193 177 168
Hartford 194 200 198
Yale 195 171 145
NorthernArizona 196 191 156
Oakland 197 189 157
JacksonvilleState 198 232 254
WesternCarolina 199 208 231
Siena 200 242 247
IowaState 201 175 126
StephenFAustin 202 203 148
LouisianaLafayette 203 206 234
CentralMichigan 204 201 163
GeorgiaSouthern 205 214 226
Buffalo 206 186 121
TennesseeTech 207 207 273
LoyolaMD 208 226 201
SetonHall 209 230 220
ColoradoCollege 210 185 132
JacksonvilleU 211 218 222
Niagara 212 213 190
NewHampshireU 213 215 213
StonyBrook 214 227 225
CentralArkansas 215 235 279
Army 216 224 204
SouthernUtah 217 216 216
WrightState 218 209 189
LouisianaTech 219 223 217
Rider 220 236 206
EasternMichigan 221 220 176
Detroit 222 205 203
McNeeseState 223 257 288
Quinnipiac 224 252 277
Marist 225 255 262
WyomingU 226 178 124
Davidson 227 212 221
OralRoberts 228 233 241
OregonU 229 167 101
Lafayette 230 238 265
OhioU 231 234 224
Houston 232 231 244
Xavier 233 198 209
GardnerWebb 234 246 285
GrandCanyon 235 229 219
UNCAsheville 236 217 266
UAB 237 243 258
ClevelandState 238 225 199
CharlestonSouthern 239 251 301
UTSA 240 244 256
Drake 241 228 181
Stetson 242 211 250
Akron 243 249 239
FresnoState 244 202 170
BowlingGreen 245 239 237
IUPUI 246 247 240
Radford 247 280 306
AustinPeay 248 245 282
LouisianaMonroe 249 288 311
Albany 250 237 236
Villanova 251 258 207
TennesseeMartin 252 266 253
KennesawState 253 263 251
Pacific 254 221 228
NewMexicoState 255 283 293
NorthFlorida 256 261 274
UNOmaha 257 254 275
IndianaState 258 264 259
NevadaU 259 222 193
Winthrop 260 265 276
SoutheastMissouriState 261 250 232
Wofford 262 259 291
UMBC 263 272 267
StFrancis 264 256 246
Lamar 265 286 296
StBonaventure 266 273 260
PortlandState 267 241 197
Morehead 268 240 215
SIUEdwardsville 269 262 261
PrairieViewA&M 270 284 315
MississippiValley 271 292 324
IllinoisChicago 272 275 252
ArkansasState 273 297 312
HolyCross 274 270 227
HawaiiU 275 248 194
IPFW 276 282 270
RobertMorris 277 277 278
Belmont 278 287 284
ColoradoState 279 253 233
SacramentoState 280 260 229
RhodeIslandU 281 278 263
NorthwesternState 282 281 297
Presbyterian 283 276 295
EasternKentucky 284 300 304
UNI 285 267 249
Evansville 286 279 243
YoungstownState 287 289 281
Fairfield 288 290 264
NorthDakotaU 289 268 286
American 290 274 272
SouthernMississippi 291 285 294
VMI 292 291 314
CalStateBakersfield 293 269 257
AlabamaState 294 306 322
Howard 295 294 316
TexasCorpusChristi 296 295 299
IncarnateWord 297 304 308
AirForce 298 271 218
Binghamton 299 313 300
Chattanooga 300 296 320
UMassLowell 301 298 292
USCUpstate 302 308 317
IdahoState 303 305 280
JacksonState 304 316 325
SacredHeart 305 303 290
DelawareState 306 301 310
GreenBay 307 302 255
Bryant 308 293 271
WesternIllinois 309 311 289
MountStMary 310 307 313
SouthDakotaU 311 299 269
Canisius 312 310 287
NorthernIllinois 313 312 283
ArkansasPineBluff 314 321 330
LongIsland 315 315 309
EasternIllinois 316 309 303
Citadel 317 319 319
TexasSouthern 318 324 328
TexasPanAmerican 319 318 268
Wagner 320 320 298
NichollsState 321 317 307
Iona 322 322 305
SouthCarolinaState 323 323 327
Grambling 324 329 332
NJIT 325 326 323
Denver 326 314 238
FrancisMarion 327 325 321
AlabamaA&M 328 330 329
StPeters 329 328 326
ChicagoState 330 327 318
SouthernU 331 331 331
Hampton 332 332 302
AlcornState 333 333 333

 

For those interested, at the RPI for Division I Women's Soccer website, I've gotten rid of the old Blog page that didn't work very well and set up a new one that hopefully will work better.

Regularly during the Fall soccer season, and from time to time during the rest of the year, I'll enter blog posts onto the page that I believe will be of interest to Division I Women's Soccer coaches and to fans with serious interest in the RPI and the NCAA Division I Women's Soccer Committee's NCAA Tournament decision-making process. I'll also answer questions that I believe will be interesting to coaches and serious fans.

I've now set up the Blog page so anyone interested can subscribe to receive posts through a web-based news reader or via email. The instructions on how to do it are at the top of the page.

If you're interested, here's a link to the page: RPI for Division I Women's Soccer Blog.

 

I've published my RPI report for games through Sunday, October 18. First go to the new Blog page for a note about a minor problem with the NCAA's ratings, here: RPI for Division I Women's Soccer Blog and then navigate from there to the RPI: This Year's Reports page for the report itself, which is in an attached Excel spreadsheet at the bottom of the page.

Once again, my ratings are correct and the NCAA's are slightly off -- but I'm hoping theirs will be completely right next week.

In response to a question. Based on the last eight years' decisions by the Women's Soccer Committee, here are the candidate pools for seeds; the teams almost certain to get at large selections (if they're not automatic qualifiers); and the teams that currently are at risk of not getting selections but nevertheless have the possibility of getting them -- i.e., the current "bubble" teams. Big, big question: Will UCLA bring about a change in the bubble team boundaries?

#1 seed range: Ranked #10 or better

#2 seed range: Ranked #25 or better

#3 seed range: Ranked # 30 or better

#4 seed range: Ranked # 43 or better

In the top group, but at risk of not making the tournament bracket: Ranked #22 or worse. Which means that #21 or better are almost certain to get at large selections if they aren't automatic qualifiers.

Outside the top group, but with a chance of getting an at large selection to the tournament bracket: Ranked #78 or better

Which means that the at large "bubble" group, based on the last 8 years of Women's Soccer Committee decisions is: #22 through #78

 

Based on all games through Sunday, October 18, here are teams with their ARPI, Iteration 5 URPI, and Elo (cpt version) based rankings, for purposes of comparison. What you're seeing is team/ARPI rank/It 5 URPI rank/Elo rank. It occurs to me that you can look at the numbers this way:

The ARPI has a strength of schedule problem I've written about before. Basically, its measure of strength of schedule assigns too much weight to a team's winning percentage (~80% effective weight) and not enough weight to the opponents against whom it achieved its winning percentage (~20% effective weight). The Iteration 5 URPI "fixes" that problem. So what you get when you compare the It 5 URPI to the Elo based rating, in large part, is the difference between the It 5 URPI (derived from the NCAA's RPI) starting with all teams with a common seed and the Elo system starting with a seed of last year's end-of-season rating.
​

Here are the numbers:

FloridaState 1 1 1
Clemson 2 5 13
PennState 3 4 6
Auburn 4 10 23
Rutgers 5 6 16
ConnecticutU 6 12 19
FloridaU 7 7 9
VirginiaU 8 2 2
WestVirginiaU 9 8 4
Stanford 10 3 3
Duke 11 18 27
ArizonaU 12 21 24
SantaClara 13 16 18
SouthFlorida 14 26 32
VirginiaTech 15 11 11
NotreDame 16 13 12
CaliforniaU 17 15 14
BYU 18 9 7
MississippiU 19 24 26
SouthAlabama 20 45 77
NorthCarolinaU 21 14 5
TexasA&M 22 25 8
Hofstra 23 41 51
WashingtonState 24 20 20
SouthCarolinaU 25 22 28
SouthernCalifornia 26 17 17
MinnesotaU 27 23 25
WashingtonU 28 19 21
UCF 29 34 35
StJohns 30 36 48
William&Mary 31 27 54
OhioState 32 28 34
WisconsinU 33 30 10
TexasTech 34 32 29
UNCWilmington 35 44 78
Georgetown 36 50 52
CalStateFullerton 37 29 30
LoyolaMarymount 38 40 61
KentuckyU 39 39 36
NebraskaU 40 47 44
BostonCollege 41 46 41
TexasU 42 33 31
MichiganState 43 43 39
Northeastern 44 60 66
LSU 45 37 56
Princeton 46 54 75
LongBeachState 47 51 60
NorthwesternU 48 31 33
NorthTexas 49 49 53
MissouriU 50 35 42
MichiganU 51 38 22
Vanderbilt 52 63 62
SanDiegoState 53 55 46
Cincinnati 54 58 73
IllinoisU 55 42 38
DePaul 56 53 40
OklahomaU 57 65 50
KansasU 58 59 45
GeorgeWashington 59 61 81
TennesseeU 60 56 58
Tulsa 61 69 82
Temple 62 82 103
OregonState 63 48 63
Troy 64 90 146
Marshall 65 76 117
JamesMadison 66 66 88
Seattle 67 70 71
Samford 68 67 89
Louisville 69 68 64
Purdue 70 62 67
AppalachianState 71 107 180
Harvard 72 79 65
UCRiverside 73 80 86
SanFrancisco 74 52 59
Marquette 75 87 80
WesternMichigan 76 86 84
UtahU 77 75 70
Pittsburgh 78 64 76
DelawareU 79 94 137
IndianaU 80 84 83
Memphis 81 85 97
UCLA 82 57 15
BostonU 83 91 74
MiddleTennessee 84 108 149
OklahomaState 85 71 47
ArizonaState 86 77 37
CalPoly 87 83 85
BallState 88 89 93
EastCarolina 89 99 116
UCDavis 90 88 122
UTEP 91 120 152
Dartmouth 92 109 118
FairleighDickinson 93 131 135
Furman 94 106 123
Syracuse 95 117 119
Butler 96 103 90
Providence 97 92 99
WesternKentucky 98 105 124
Lipscomb 99 114 158
Rice 100 93 100
MurrayState 101 118 156
Liberty 102 141 181
UCSantaBarbara 103 73 87
FloridaAtlantic 104 113 136
FloridaGulfCoast 105 95 79
TCU 106 81 69
TexasState 107 145 194
UALR 108 152 237
CoastalCarolina 109 127 171
ColoradoU 110 78 49
Monmouth 111 139 155
Pepperdine 112 74 43
Cornell 113 96 121
Drexel 114 119 154
FIU 115 128 157
CalStateNorthridge 116 72 68
MarylandU 117 104 94
IdahoU 118 110 126
WakeForest 119 102 98
HighPoint 120 124 167
EasternWashington 121 111 153
MississippiState 122 125 163
MiamiFL 123 100 91
VCU 124 123 114
Fordham 125 134 144
Manhattan 126 185 204
MiamiOH 127 121 109
ArkansasU 128 115 105
LaSalle 129 126 115
UCIrvine 130 112 102
PennsylvaniaU 131 130 134
PortlandU 132 98 72
StJosephs 133 133 148
Longwood 134 168 213
Campbell 135 161 220
Navy 136 129 107
IowaU 137 101 55
UtahValley 138 137 112
SanJoseState 139 122 95
KentState 140 150 131
GeorgiaState 141 169 224
Baylor 142 97 57
CollegeofCharleston 143 157 198
WeberState 144 155 177
IllinoisState 145 166 125
Dayton 146 148 106
Colgate 147 173 138
UNCGreensboro 148 162 170
AlabamaU 149 135 96
MissouriState 150 159 164
OldDominion 151 156 186
HoustonBaptist 152 188 173
Creighton 153 151 140
Buffalo 154 149 113
Brown 155 186 192
AbileneChristian 156 167 187
Valparaiso 157 172 143
Duquesne 158 165 205
Columbia 159 197 190
StephenFAustin 160 176 145
UtahState 161 138 120
SMU 162 154 150
SouthernUtah 163 195 203
Elon 164 140 178
SELouisiana 165 199 247
NorthDakotaState 166 142 151
GeorgeMason 167 132 160
Rider 168 211 195
StMarys 169 116 108
Milwaukee 170 146 111
BoiseState 171 153 132
CentralConnecticut 172 191 200
Hartford 173 184 185
NewMexicoU 174 136 101
GeorgiaU 175 144 104
NorthernColorado 176 158 139
Lehigh 177 187 175
MassachusettsU 178 147 159
LoyolaChicago 179 180 184
UMKC 180 177 142
UNLV 181 175 141
SouthDakotaState 182 163 133
Towson 183 171 168
Mercer 184 189 172
Bucknell 185 160 147
Yale 186 178 165
Gonzaga 187 164 129
LouisianaTech 188 194 191
MaineU 189 206 214
MontanaU 190 200 182
NorthernKentucky 191 183 179
IowaState 192 174 130
SanDiegoU 193 143 92
LoyolaMD 194 202 189
EastTennesseeState 195 193 209
NorthernArizona 196 204 176
Lafayette 197 207 225
JacksonvilleU 198 201 207
Richmond 199 205 210
Niagara 200 215 206
StLouis 201 182 193
TennesseeTech 202 209 267
GeorgiaSouthern 203 219 236
ColoradoCollege 204 179 127
SetonHall 205 228 221
JacksonvilleState 206 232 248
Oakland 207 196 162
SamHoustonState 208 212 246
OralRoberts 209 217 212
WesternCarolina 210 224 238
CentralMichigan 211 203 161
Siena 212 243 240
LouisianaLafayette 213 213 257
Charlotte 214 216 232
Toledo 215 210 201
WrightState 216 221 196
NCState 217 190 188
WyomingU 218 181 128
ClevelandState 219 222 197
Houston 220 220 245
Quinnipiac 221 252 270
CharlestonSouthern 222 240 297
EasternMichigan 223 223 169
StonyBrook 224 229 217
VermontU 225 247 261
NewHampshireU 226 233 244
CentralArkansas 227 249 296
Xavier 228 192 199
Army 229 230 216
GrandCanyon 230 235 222
OregonU 231 170 110
OhioU 232 234 218
GardnerWebb 233 246 277
Detroit 234 225 211
Davidson 235 227 239
Wofford 236 238 269
McNeeseState 237 250 288
UNCAsheville 238 231 273
StBonaventure 239 242 223
NevadaU 240 198 166
Stetson 241 218 251
Drake 242 226 183
Akron 243 237 229
Radford 244 274 302
UMBC 245 251 249
Albany 246 236 235
Pacific 247 214 228
SoutheastMissouriState 248 239 226
FresnoState 249 208 174
Morehead 250 241 215
IllinoisChicago 251 260 231
LouisianaMonroe 252 280 314
UAB 253 255 264
Winthrop 254 259 268
TennesseeMartin 255 266 258
Marist 256 270 279
MississippiValley 257 285 323
IUPUI 258 254 241
HawaiiU 259 244 202
NewMexicoState 260 281 291
KennesawState 261 258 255
SIUEdwardsville 262 253 254
StFrancis 263 256 262
Villanova 264 257 227
PortlandState 265 245 208
SacramentoState 266 248 234
UTSA 267 267 271
ArkansasState 268 298 313
AustinPeay 269 263 294
BowlingGreen 270 265 252
Howard 271 284 315
NorthwesternState 272 273 292
Lamar 273 283 301
RobertMorris 274 261 250
JacksonState 275 299 321
PrairieViewA&M 276 291 317
Binghamton 277 300 280
HolyCross 278 277 243
IndianaState 279 279 266
Evansville 280 269 233
UNOmaha 281 264 278
NorthFlorida 282 278 284
American 283 272 276
Belmont 284 290 282
CalStateBakersfield 285 268 260
SouthernMississippi 286 271 287
Fairfield 287 292 263
ColoradoState 288 262 242
YoungstownState 289 289 285
TexasCorpusChristi 290 287 293
Presbyterian 291 286 300
EasternKentucky 292 305 304
VMI 293 293 312
UNI 294 275 256
RhodeIslandU 295 288 274
UMassLowell 296 296 281
AirForce 297 276 230
IncarnateWord 298 306 309
Chattanooga 299 302 320
SacredHeart 300 301 289
MountStMary 301 303 303
AlabamaState 302 315 325
DelawareState 303 297 308
IPFW 304 304 286
IdahoState 305 311 283
NorthDakotaU 306 282 290
SouthDakotaU 307 294 253
NorthernIllinois 308 307 272
Bryant 309 295 275
USCUpstate 310 314 316
LongIsland 311 309 307
Canisius 312 313 295
GreenBay 313 310 259
NichollsState 314 308 298
ArkansasPineBluff 315 320 330
TexasPanAmerican 316 316 265
WesternIllinois 317 318 299
TexasSouthern 318 321 328
Wagner 319 319 305
Citadel 320 322 322
EasternIllinois 321 317 310
Iona 322 324 311
NJIT 323 325 324
StPeters 324 326 326
Denver 325 312 219
Grambling 326 329 332
FrancisMarion 327 323 318
AlabamaA&M 328 330 329
SouthCarolinaState 329 327 327
ChicagoState 330 328 319
SouthernU 331 331 331
Hampton 332 332 306
AlcornState 333 333 333

 

I've published my RPI report for games through Sunday, October 25. First go to my RPI Blog page for a note about some more minor issues with the NCAA's ratings, here: RPI for Division I Women's Soccer Blog and then navigate from there to the RPI: This Year's Reports page for the report itself, which is in an attached Excel spreadsheet at the bottom of the page. The Blog entry also includes the current ranking ranges for potential seeds #1 through #4, for teams that have received at large selection if they aren't automatic qualifiers, for teams that are outside the ranking range of teams that have received at large selections and, by combining the last two items, the teams that currently could be considered "bubble" teams.

 

Based on all games through Sunday, October 25, here are teams with their ARPI, Iteration 5 URPI, and Elo (cpt version) based rankings, for purposes of comparison. What you're seeing is team/ARPI rank/It 5 URPI rank/Elo rank.

FloridaState 1 3 2
VirginiaU 2 1 1
PennState 3 4 6
Rutgers 4 5 13
Stanford 5 2 3
FloridaU 6 8 7
WestVirginiaU 7 7 5
Clemson 8 10 15
ConnecticutU 9 11 20
NorthCarolinaU 10 6 4
VirginiaTech 11 9 8
Duke 12 21 30
Auburn 13 13 29
ArizonaU 14 18 22
MississippiU 15 17 18
SantaClara 16 16 19
NotreDame 17 12 10
SouthFlorida 18 24 35
CaliforniaU 19 19 12
Hofstra 20 34 50
SouthAlabama 21 43 75
UCF 22 30 32
WashingtonU 23 20 21
WashingtonState 24 28 28
MinnesotaU 25 22 26
SouthernCalifornia 26 15 16
TexasTech 27 29 24
BYU 28 14 11
TexasA&M 29 26 17
SouthCarolinaU 30 25 31
William&Mary 31 27 56
CalStateFullerton 32 23 27
Georgetown 33 49 55
WisconsinU 34 31 9
StJohns 35 39 45
LoyolaMarymount 36 36 52
OhioState 37 35 37
Princeton 38 46 61
UNCWilmington 39 42 76
BostonCollege 40 40 38
NorthwesternU 41 32 25
NebraskaU 42 44 36
KentuckyU 43 45 44
LSU 44 38 54
GeorgeWashington 45 53 71
NorthTexas 46 47 53
LongBeachState 47 50 48
MichiganState 48 48 49
MichiganU 49 37 23
OklahomaU 50 56 40
MissouriU 51 33 34
Cincinnati 52 58 74
JamesMadison 53 55 88
SanDiegoState 54 57 42
Marshall 55 72 101
TexasU 56 54 47
Temple 57 69 93
SanFrancisco 58 41 41
TennesseeU 59 59 62
Northeastern 60 74 99
IllinoisU 61 52 51
Tulsa 62 70 89
UCRiverside 63 76 87
Troy 64 95 152
OklahomaState 65 65 43
DePaul 66 60 57
DelawareU 67 82 121
Marquette 68 80 67
Purdue 69 66 69
Seattle 70 73 63
Louisville 71 67 60
Harvard 72 88 78
Samford 73 77 103
UCLA 74 51 14
BostonU 75 83 68
ArizonaState 76 61 33
AppalachianState 77 113 196
KansasU 78 71 59
BallState 79 84 85
Monmouth 80 108 133
Vanderbilt 81 78 84
MiddleTennessee 82 111 153
Providence 83 75 79
UCSantaBarbara 84 63 73
WesternMichigan 85 90 81
Memphis 86 86 92
Liberty 87 121 157
EastCarolina 88 97 112
FairleighDickinson 89 125 132
OregonState 90 62 70
IndianaU 91 91 91
Pittsburgh 92 68 80
TexasState 93 126 178
CalPoly 94 85 95
FloridaGulfCoast 95 92 77
Pepperdine 96 64 39
UCDavis 97 89 119
Syracuse 98 96 96
Drexel 99 102 130
Rice 100 99 100
IdahoU 101 101 114
Furman 102 105 115
VCU 103 106 108
UALR 104 150 225
Lipscomb 105 112 154
TCU 106 79 65
FloridaAtlantic 107 100 122
Butler 108 107 94
WesternKentucky 109 114 141
UtahU 110 93 72
UTEP 111 129 159
HighPoint 112 123 158
MarylandU 113 98 86
StJosephs 114 109 127
MurrayState 115 120 148
Campbell 116 145 207
Fordham 117 127 138
Dartmouth 118 130 140
LaSalle 119 116 117
Longwood 120 170 222
EasternWashington 121 115 144
MississippiState 122 122 142
GeorgiaState 123 163 216
Columbia 124 168 166
Brown 125 155 169
CalStateNorthridge 126 87 82
GeorgiaU 127 103 66
CoastalCarolina 128 144 186
FIU 129 142 170
PennsylvaniaU 130 117 129
Manhattan 131 189 218
Cornell 132 104 145
Baylor 133 81 46
Buffalo 134 139 102
HoustonBaptist 135 167 171
ArkansasU 136 119 105
ColoradoU 137 94 58
MiamiOH 138 134 118
Milwaukee 139 138 107
Duquesne 140 143 185
Bucknell 141 132 125
NorthDakotaState 142 133 146
WeberState 143 162 177
Navy 144 141 123
Lehigh 145 175 187
UNLV 146 146 111
Dayton 147 137 98
UtahValley 148 147 124
SanJoseState 149 135 106
IowaU 150 110 64
WakeForest 151 124 110
KentState 152 154 134
CollegeofCharleston 153 152 199
Rider 154 201 191
UNCGreensboro 155 165 167
Colgate 156 174 151
StephenFAustin 157 166 143
CentralConnecticut 158 172 184
Towson 159 149 161
SELouisiana 160 194 249
MiamiFL 161 128 104
Oakland 162 178 137
AbileneChristian 163 173 198
PortlandU 164 118 83
OldDominion 165 159 193
SMU 166 161 155
Creighton 167 171 168
UCIrvine 168 140 116
NewMexicoU 169 131 90
NorthernColorado 170 164 156
UMKC 171 177 135
NorthernArizona 172 185 160
Lafayette 173 196 210
WesternCarolina 174 202 212
LouisianaTech 175 186 189
Mercer 176 184 181
Hartford 177 188 202
Toledo 178 193 165
MassachusettsU 179 153 164
OralRoberts 180 203 192
GeorgeMason 181 151 179
MissouriState 182 183 183
Valparaiso 183 205 172
LoyolaMD 184 195 176
SouthernUtah 185 206 209
BoiseState 186 169 136
MontanaU 187 190 163
IllinoisState 188 197 149
SouthDakotaState 189 181 150
WrightState 190 207 174
JacksonvilleU 191 198 201
NorthernKentucky 192 192 180
AlabamaU 193 156 120
WyomingU 194 148 109
IowaState 195 176 131
Elon 196 160 195
MaineU 197 209 221
Niagara 198 215 211
UtahState 199 158 126
SetonHall 200 225 226
Siena 201 227 235
StMarys 202 136 128
GrandCanyon 203 224 205
SamHoustonState 204 211 237
SanDiegoU 205 157 97
LoyolaChicago 206 204 208
Gonzaga 207 182 139
Xavier 208 179 182
Richmond 209 217 224
CentralMichigan 210 210 162
StLouis 211 187 200
LouisianaLafayette 212 212 258
EastTennesseeState 213 216 240
GeorgiaSouthern 214 228 248
Houston 215 220 247
Yale 216 208 194
TennesseeTech 217 226 273
Drake 218 218 173
ColoradoCollege 219 199 147
CharlestonSouthern 220 231 293
Charlotte 221 213 217
JacksonvilleState 222 241 266
VermontU 223 236 245
Davidson 224 221 230
Quinnipiac 225 243 259
TennesseeMartin 226 240 223
Albany 227 219 214
Pacific 228 200 203
NCState 229 191 197
NewHampshireU 230 235 253
OregonU 231 180 113
StonyBrook 232 238 254
Stetson 233 222 255
UNCAsheville 234 230 284
EasternMichigan 235 232 190
Detroit 236 229 215
SoutheastMissouriState 237 233 228
Army 238 234 229
GardnerWebb 239 252 292
Akron 240 244 232
Radford 241 273 301
Marist 242 264 282
ClevelandState 243 239 220
CentralArkansas 244 265 303
UMBC 245 248 244
Wofford 246 242 265
McNeeseState 247 261 297
AustinPeay 248 247 278
FresnoState 249 214 175
UAB 250 257 263
KennesawState 251 251 250
MississippiValley 252 294 322
ArkansasState 253 295 315
OhioU 254 250 241
Morehead 255 245 239
Howard 256 279 312
HawaiiU 257 237 204
JacksonState 258 288 318
StBonaventure 259 249 238
LouisianaMonroe 260 284 314
NevadaU 261 223 188
Villanova 262 253 227
Winthrop 263 263 277
IndianaState 264 258 242
Evansville 265 255 206
RobertMorris 266 256 243
TexasCorpusChristi 267 266 279
PortlandState 268 246 219
NorthwesternState 269 271 295
SIUEdwardsville 270 267 269
NewMexicoState 271 290 290
StFrancis 272 262 264
IllinoisChicago 273 274 231
UTSA 274 260 274
Binghamton 275 296 281
SacramentoState 276 254 236
Lamar 277 292 306
SouthernMississippi 278 259 287
HolyCross 279 268 252
Belmont 280 285 272
Fairfield 281 293 268
American 282 269 271
YoungstownState 283 275 256
CalStateBakersfield 284 270 261
UMassLowell 285 287 270
BowlingGreen 286 281 267
UNOmaha 287 277 283
Presbyterian 288 291 299
NorthFlorida 289 282 288
Chattanooga 290 300 317
IUPUI 291 280 260
EasternKentucky 292 304 298
AlabamaState 293 313 325
PrairieViewA&M 294 310 324
NichollsState 295 289 285
VMI 296 301 313
UNI 297 272 246
SouthDakotaU 298 283 234
NorthDakotaU 299 286 294
AirForce 300 276 233
ColoradoState 301 278 257
IncarnateWord 302 307 309
NorthernIllinois 303 302 251
DelawareState 304 297 307
IPFW 305 309 289
RhodeIslandU 306 299 280
MountStMary 307 306 308
LongIsland 308 305 302
Bryant 309 298 276
TexasSouthern 310 318 327
IdahoState 311 316 291
SacredHeart 312 308 300
TexasPanAmerican 313 315 262
USCUpstate 314 314 316
Canisius 315 311 296
ArkansasPineBluff 316 321 330
Wagner 317 312 286
GreenBay 318 317 275
Iona 319 320 310
Denver 320 303 213
NJIT 321 323 323
Citadel 322 324 320
AlabamaA&M 323 328 329
EasternIllinois 324 319 311
WesternIllinois 325 322 305
StPeters 326 327 326
Grambling 327 330 332
SouthCarolinaState 328 326 328
FrancisMarion 329 325 319
SouthernU 330 331 331
ChicagoState 331 329 321
AlcornState 332 333 333
Hampton 333 332 304