2010 MLS Attendance Analysis: Week 1

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by Andy_B, Mar 23, 2010.

  1. Andy_B

    Andy_B Member+

    Feb 2, 1999
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are the final numbers from all the years in MLS

    Code:
    Final Numbers				
    Year	Average	Median	%<10K	%>20k
    1996	17406	15093	21.9%	26.3%
    1997	14619	12733	25.0%	16.3%
    1998	14312	11871	26.6%	16.1%
    1999	14282	12973	32.3%	15.1%
    2000	13756	12690	34.4%	12.5%
    2001	14962	13431	26.6%	17.7%
    2002	15821	14108	17.1%	18.6%
    2003	14898	13641	23.3%	18.0%
    2004	15559	13285	24.7%	25.3%
    2005	15108	12619	27.1%	17.7%
    2006	15504	14175	18.8%	18.8%
    2007	16770	15353	8.2%	29.7%
    2008	16459	15188	11.0%	24.8%
    2009	16037	14686	14.7%	20.9%
    
     
    2 people repped this.
  2. trip76

    trip76 Member

    Jul 17, 2007
    North East USA
    always one of my favorite threads of the season.

    have you considered adding total attendance numbers?
     
  3. chad

    chad Member+

    Jun 24, 1999
    chicago
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Move Dallas!

    Love these threads. Thanks, Andy.
     
  4. Balerion

    Balerion Member+

    Aug 5, 2006
    Roslindale, MA
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I love the smell of Attendance Analysis threads in the morning.....It smells like victory.
     
    1 person likes this.
  5. harttbeat

    harttbeat Member

    Dec 29, 1998
    New York
    Andy,

    Looking forward to your weekly attendance again. I have been following this for god knows how long.
     
  6. lawrenceterp

    lawrenceterp Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 2, 2006
    Virginia
    Anyone care to make predictions before the season kicks off?

    I'll go with....

    Average - 16,740
    Median - 15,450
    Below 10k - 13.5%
    Above 20k - 21.5%
     
  7. JasonMa

    JasonMa Member+

    Mar 20, 2000
    Arvada, CO
    Club:
    Colorado Rapids
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Any chance of seeing less than a sellout in Seattle with the Washington basketball team playing its Sweet 16 game that evening?
     
  8. christhestud

    christhestud Member

    Jun 4, 2004
    Why not?

    Average - 16,800 (2)
    Median - 15,000 (4)
    Below 10k - 11.1% (3)
    Above 20k - 21% (5)

    Andy - another thanks.
     
  9. crookeddy

    crookeddy Member+

    Apr 27, 2004
    That game was certainly sold out long ago...
     
  10. O'Dubhghaill Rules!

    May 21, 2001
    Boston, MA
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    I think he means in terms of people wanting to watch it in general, including on TV. Washington starts at 7:30 ET, Seattle not until 9:30 ET, so people can still watch it (mostly).
     
  11. Simster

    Simster Member

    May 16, 2002
    London
    Club:
    Brighton & Hove Albion FC
    Nat'l Team:
    England
    Average - 16,620
    Median - 15,500
    Below 10k - 9.1%
    Above 20k - 21.0%
     
  12. JasonMa

    JasonMa Member+

    Mar 20, 2000
    Arvada, CO
    Club:
    Colorado Rapids
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    OK, how about "Not being a full house" because people are watching the basketball game. The game should finish, barring overtime, around the time the Sounders kickoff, so unless they're watching in a bar nearby people will have to choose between watching the basketball game or going to the soccer game.

    (I'll be watching the basketball game BTW, then maybe flipping over to see the Sounders)
     
  13. Neemtree

    Neemtree Member

    Jan 11, 2003
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think what it means that there will be a little later arriving crowd than usual so you may see some empty seats at the beginning of the game. As a Sounders and UW Basketball season ticket holder I'm planning on showing up early watching the game at a bar across from the stadium then making a mad dash to the game. I'm really hoping there is no overtime.
     
  14. nobius

    nobius BigSoccer Supporter

    Jan 3, 2006
    Houston, Texas
    Club:
    Houston Dynamo
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So what's the record for lowest-attended home opener? Because Dallas may have a shot at it.
     
  15. Tyneside4life

    Tyneside4life Member

    Jul 18, 2007
    Cleveland, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Do you know what kind of numbers are traveling from Houston?

    Love these threads, now I just need my weekly play by play thread to really feel like the season is upon us.
     
  16. brentgoulet

    brentgoulet Member+

    Oct 12, 2005
    PuertoPlata, DomRep
    These guys still haven't fixed their attendance woes? Move Dallas
     
  17. DUFC206

    DUFC206 New Member

    Oct 11, 2006
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Thanks Andy! Always follow these threads!

    Have a good feeling about this season with the Union and NY in new stadiums, and increased seating in Seattle. World Cup, Landon is back, economy is recoviring, etc etc.
     
  18. brentgoulet

    brentgoulet Member+

    Oct 12, 2005
    PuertoPlata, DomRep
    + the Timbers and the Whitecaps bit by bit preparing their MLS 2011 season, probably the Impact also
     
  19. nobius

    nobius BigSoccer Supporter

    Jan 3, 2006
    Houston, Texas
    Club:
    Houston Dynamo
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You'll definitely see plenty of orange.

    Apparently not from what we're hearing.
     
  20. Kejsare

    Kejsare Member+

    Mar 10, 2010
    San Diego, CA
    Club:
    Portland Timbers
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Eagerly awaiting to see the numbers. I'm a numbers junkie. Gotta get my fix.

    Also can't wait for the Timbers to play this last season in D2. Last time for us to be beating up on new franchise who may or may not be financially solvent by the end of the season. On the other hand, good riddance!
     
  21. Sounders78

    Sounders78 Member+

    Apr 20, 2009
    Olympia
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    France
    Not a problem. There's TiVO, the basketball should end about the same time the football starts, and the two crowds are different (with some overlap of course). If this were Husky football in the playoffs at the same time the Sounders were playing, then there might be a problem. But college basketball, not so much (it just doesn't have the "tradition" college football has in this area). Besides, I'm sure they'll keep us informed at the stadium.
     
  22. SeaM

    SeaM Member

    Nov 3, 2009
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Zero, unless they can un-sell tickets.

    But given that the Sounder crowd is generally youthful, there's a high likelihood that a number of them went to UW and may hang at the sports bars until the final whistle or can't stand to watch anymore, whichever comes first.

    So a latecomer crowd, maybe. No-show crowd, no.
     
  23. Curva Nord

    Curva Nord Member

    Mar 29, 2007
    Atlanta, GA
    Club:
    FC Internazionale Milano
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So glad the thread is back. Already looking forward to my first fix of numbers next week.

    For predictions, I'll go with

    Average - 16,950
    Median - 15,800
    Below 10k - 13%
    Above 20k - 24.5%

    Love to break 17k for average and 25% for above 20k.

    Here's to the below percentage becoming irrelevant within a few years.

    Maybe we should start to analyze the percentage of stadium capacity filled. For those teams not named Revs or DCU, that is probably going to be the telling number.
     
  24. bgix

    bgix Bad Penny

    Jun 29, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States

    I have no specific prediction, but given the new Philly Union, RBNY stadium, increase in SSFC Qwest capacity, and a slowly but gradually improving economy, I expect a marked improvement from last year, and the best attendance numbers for all 4 columns except for year #1.
     
  25. evangel

    evangel Member+

    Apr 12, 2007
    BMO Field's slight increase in capacity might help a little in the above 20k category. I remember always seeing Toronto FC games often ending up just slightly below 20k, including one match that was at 19,997.
     

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