2009 MLS Attendance Analysis: Week 32

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by Andy_B, Oct 19, 2009.

  1. carnifex2005

    carnifex2005 Member+

    Jul 1, 2008
    Club:
    Vancouver Whitecaps
    So tell us Bung, how high would attendance be without Seattle? I'm waiting for your answer with baited breath.
     
  2. Roehl Sybing

    Roehl Sybing Guest

    Why does it matter? is my question. Should they be in a separate category so as not to include them in the attendance average?
     
  3. RerunStubs

    RerunStubs Member

    Dec 8, 2006
    I guess this is revenge against the median for confusing him.
     
  4. Justin O

    Justin O Member+

    Seattle Sounders
    United States
    Nov 30, 1998
    on the run from the covid
    Club:
    Seattle
    What would attendance be without San Jose and Kansas City's numbers, which are artificially low due to the reduced capacities of their temporary venues?

    Seems like an equally valid question.
     
  5. yellowbismark

    yellowbismark Member+

    Nov 7, 2000
    San Diego, CA
    Club:
    Club Tijuana
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Many leagues around the world have extreme attendance outliers...Barcelona and Real Madrid average more than double La Liga attendance. So what? Doesn't make a difference who is raking it in at the gate, it counts for MLS all the same.
     
  6. jimbchr

    jimbchr Member

    Mar 3, 2008
    kcmo
    can we all just agree the sportsdouche 1 and his alter ego falcon are annoying ******** and go on with our days?
     
  7. ElJefe

    ElJefe Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 16, 1999
    Colorful Colorado
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Bingo.
     
  8. lawrenceterp

    lawrenceterp Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 2, 2006
    Virginia
    If Seattle doesn't count, then you obviously can't count 1996 in the attendance rankings because in that year there were 10 expansion teams, so none of those numbers count.

    I'd also like to throw out all games where teams played in limited capacity stadiums which artificially lowered our attendance. That means no KC games count and 12 of the San Jose games at Buck Shaw must be thrown out. Without those horrible aberrations to the attendance numbers, we averaged 16,872.48 for the year. And since 1996 obviously doesn't count....well guess what? We just had our best attendance year ever!!!!!!

    Great job MLS!
     
  9. Celtigo

    Celtigo Member

    Jul 10, 2009
    Great Lakes Region (The Other One)
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Well played.
     
  10. Statistics arent opinions.
     
  11. Actually, 14k for SJ is higher then their historical average and 10K for KC is slightly less then their historical average. So the small stadiums had little effect.
     
  12. I was just pointing out that most MLS teams were down this year for attendance. Many significantly. Seattle's success gave a false belief that this year wasn't "that bad" as Sachsen's post implied. BTW, its not a knock on MLS with the economy and all. It was to be expected.
     
  13. milicz

    milicz Member+

    Dec 2, 2001
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Nat'l Team:
    Poland
    Except that Seattle does count, as did David Beckham's Galaxy tour in 2007. To allay your fears we have this little thing thing called a MEDIAN (some tried to point this out to you a few pages back but apparently you need reminders) which shows that the leagues MEDIAN attendance (through 31 games) is 14,611 which is the 4th best ever, in line with the average which is the 4th best ever. So while most teams were down this year in attendance, many teams were up over 2005 and 2006. Hence why people are saying that the numbers this year are not bad. Are you following the logic here or was that over your head as well?
     
  14. Grumpy in LA

    Grumpy in LA Bringing It Since 1807™

    Sep 10, 2007
    Chicago
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Depends how they were gathered, how they were processed, and to what ends they're being put.

     
  15. murtaugh

    murtaugh Member+

    Jul 19, 2004
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    You know, ticket sales and marketing people all throughout the league suck.

    If you take out the attendances of all 15 teams, we have an average of zero.

    Which is pathetic.
     
  16. Sportsfan1

    Sportsfan1 Member

    Jul 22, 2007
    St. Louis, MO
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So...because Seattle makes it look like most of the league didn't drop double digits in attendance we ignore it?
     
  17. JasonMa

    JasonMa Member+

    Mar 20, 2000
    Arvada, CO
    Club:
    Colorado Rapids
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Well if that were true you might have a point (but probably not) but since only 5 teams were down more than 10% in attendance you're statement is off base.

    http://www.majorleaguesoccertalk.com/take-me-out-to-the-ballgame-week-32/6788#more-6788

    LA, DC, Chicago, NE, and NY were down more than 10%, Toronto, Houston, FSL and SJ all increased attendance this year, but less than 3%.
     
  18. bgix

    bgix Bad Penny

    Jun 29, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States

    No, you get a divide by Zero error.

    Or perhaps more accurately, as the number of teams approach Zero, the Average approaches infinity.

    WE ROCK!!!!!
     
  19. milicz

    milicz Member+

    Dec 2, 2001
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Nat'l Team:
    Poland
    You are the king of the straw man argument.
     
  20. The Devil's Architect

    Feb 10, 2000
    The American Steppe
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    [​IMG]
     
  21. soccermaul

    soccermaul Red Card

    May 28, 2009
    On the Bus..
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  22. Sportsfan1

    Sportsfan1 Member

    Jul 22, 2007
    St. Louis, MO
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States


    If the NHL expanded to a place where 65K people could attend games...and this offset what would of been a league wide 15 percent drop in attendance..ballpark figure...

    you guys would be all over it.

    this year when MLB was falsely reported at a double digit drop in attendance because of size of ballpark error....people here were all over it...

    it took a couple of objective posters to point that out.

    the fact is:

    MLS attendance this year was 16,037(well that is paid/comp/distributed)

    without the huge success Seattle it would be:
    14,975

    and you think that is straw man?? We added Seattle and attendance finished at 16,037...without them its lower.
    by over 1000K...

    is is a perfect comparison?

    NO.

    but with all things being equal....it is very likely without Seattle attendance would of been around 15K.

    how is that not a good observation?
     
  23. Grumpy in LA

    Grumpy in LA Bringing It Since 1807™

    Sep 10, 2007
    Chicago
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Because you're using it to imply that there's something wrong with the health of the league that Seattle's arrival and success is masking. Even though it's probably more plausible that Seattle's marketing and attendance success (and Toronto's and probably Philly's...) actually suggest the opposite, i.e. that the league is actually laying the foundation for real future growth, even in a serious global recession.

    The median attendance hasn't moved too much even in very difficult times, and ownership groups are lining up to pay money to join the league.

    Moreover, as other people have pointed out, if you eliminate the Beckham effect (and the Blanco effect) from 2007 and 2008, you also get a notable drop in attendance for those years. Does that mean that Beckham and Blanco masked underlying frailties in the league during those years? Or does it simply indicate that, in some years, some factors drive attendance up while other drive them down, and that you pay attention to how those balance out rather than what would have happened if you were to eliminate one factor?

    Personally, I think that if you want to start eliminating unusual factors or outliers, you should compensate for the recession, which almost surely affected this year's league averages far more than Seattle did.
     
  24. milicz

    milicz Member+

    Dec 2, 2001
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Nat'l Team:
    Poland
    Did you miss the whole thing about the MEDIAN? Again??
     
  25. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    When you tack 15 of the highest numbers on to the end of the data, you're going to get a significantly higher median.
     

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