What if Taiwan is the next Ukrain? What will be the global impact of that?

feyenoordsoccerfan · Apr 29, 2023

From the now notorious leaked documents by a kid with clearance for about anything some interesting observations are possible based on the leaked info.
China has rocket propelled drones stationed close to Taiwan, which make it possible for the Chinese to get real time mapping of combat situations.

According to the leaked documents, the drones would be released over the East China Sea by H6-M Badger bombers before climbing to a height of 100,000 feet and travelling three times the speed of sound.
On top of that China has also successfully tested a new hypersonic missile the DF-27, according to a top-secret report compiled by the Joint Chiefs of Staff intelligence directorate on February 28. These seem to be extremely hard to shoot down.
The Chinese operated 3 days of war games, simulating striking "foreign forces", which is seen as a veiled threat towards foreign warships protecting Taiwan.

2676

feyenoordsoccerfan · May 3, 2023

feyenoordsoccerfan · Jun 20, 2023

Even nationalistic Chinese are getting nervous about the belligerent mood regarding Taiwan at the moment.
https://www.economist.com › china › 2023 › 06 › 19 › when-it-comes-to-a-war-with-taiwan-many-chinese-urge-caution
When it comes to a war with Taiwan, many Chinese urge caution
Last month, in an online video, he said that even if China were to lose 140m people (one-tenth of its population) in a war over Taiwan "it wouldn't be much at all" and that "with a bit of ...
https://www.economist.com/china/202...o-a-war-with-taiwan-many-chinese-urge-caution

2896

spejic · May 23, 2024

China is again rattling their anti-ship missiles. They have been doing naval blockade drills and are moving a lot of weapons to the coast.

As much as a full blockade or invasion of Taiwan would destroy the world economy, it would destroy the Chinese economy too. The primary qualification for them going ahead is recognizing their economy is doomed either way. I don't think they think that yet.

spejic · Jun 2, 2024

spejic said: ↑

China is again rattling their anti-ship missiles. They have been doing naval blockade drills and are moving a lot of weapons to the coast.
Click to expand...

These drills were cut short on the 24th in a humiliating and possibly tragic way. The 4000 ton Chinese utility ship Lianhe Qirui, not very close to Taiwan but possibly partaking in the maneuvers in some indirect capacity, sunk. It is claimed that it was run into by a Chinese submarine, sinking that as well and killing all the crew. Official channels are very quiet, which tends to imply the worst.

The first day also saw Taiwan claim their air force got the better of the Chinese planes in the almost-but-not-quite-combat sparring that cold war opponents sometimes do, gaining position on them and locking on forcing the Chinese to withdraw. There were no Chinese responses to these claims, which again is telling.

ChrisSSBB · Jun 3, 2024

spejic said: ↑

These drills were cut short on the 24th in a humiliating and possibly tragic way. The 4000 ton Chinese utility ship Lianhe Qirui, not very close to Taiwan but possibly partaking in the maneuvers in some indirect capacity, sunk. It is claimed that it was run into by a Chinese submarine, sinking that as well and killing all the crew. Official channels are very quiet, which tends to imply the worst.

The first day also saw Taiwan claim their air force got the better of the Chinese planes in the almost-but-not-quite-combat sparring that cold war opponents sometimes do, gaining position on them and locking on forcing the Chinese to withdraw. There were no Chinese responses to these claims, which again is telling.
Click to expand...

Good to hear