Best Striker in the Last Decade

Discussion in 'The Beautiful Game' started by Danko, Jan 7, 2023.

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Best Striker in the Last Decade?

  1. Zlatan

    2 vote(s)
    6.3%
  2. Suarez

    18 vote(s)
    56.3%
  3. Benzema

    1 vote(s)
    3.1%
  4. Lewandowski

    11 vote(s)
    34.4%
  1. carlito86

    carlito86 Member+

    Jan 11, 2016
    Club:
    Real Madrid
    You'd have to ask them(they have an email)

    They also have seasonal dribbling statistics for Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo going all the way back to 2004 and of course this is all corroborated by Opta

    This site has existed for so long Im surprised you haven't heard of it
     
  2. lessthanjake

    lessthanjake Member+

    May 9, 2015
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    No, I’m aware of the website—I’d just never seen the “big chances created” portion of it. Maybe they’re getting it straight from OPTA. I’ll have to do some digging to see if I can figure out how to get that data going further back since I’d love to see that info. There’s players like Ozil that I suspect would be really high in earlier years and I’d be curious to see.
     
  3. carlito86

    carlito86 Member+

    Jan 11, 2016
    Club:
    Real Madrid
    #103 carlito86, Feb 3, 2023
    Last edited: Feb 3, 2023
    This is the problem with comparing a player with a incomplete set of data to a player who's entire career is covered in detail

    The bigger problem of course is comparing the end product of two players who aren't even tasked with doing the same things on the pitch

    There's been evidence of this kind of thing for years(and years)

    People see it but it doesn't register
    There's a mental block when it comes to appreciating this player


    Ronaldo provided as many through balls per 90 as iniesta in 2011/12(league+CL)

    0.50 per 90
    https://www.messivsronaldo.app/detailed-stats/throughballs/
    https://www.whoscored.com/Players/9486/History/Andrés-Iniesta


    In another version of himself
    He provided 166 crosses in the 2008/09 premier league

    Mbappe provided 169 crosses over his last 3 seasons in ligue 1

    2021/22
    2020/21
    2019/20

    https://www.whoscored.com/Players/300713/History/Kylian-Mbappé

    But mbappe is a winger like Ronaldo?

    Or if we use another supposed winger as a reference
    one who actually played in the same competition as him (albeit in a different time frame)

    Cristiano Ronaldo 2008/09
    Vs
    Mohammed Salah 2017/18
    20230203_064110.JPG

    Ronaldo provided almost twice the amount of crosses

    almost 3 times the amount of throughballs

    And twice the amount of tackles


    Now if we compare this to another wing player who is unanimously perceived as being creative(in his peak)

    Cristiano Ronaldo 2008/09 PL
    Vs
    Eden Hazard 2018/19
    20230203_064717.JPG

    https://www.premierleague.com/stats/player-comparison

    Even with this there is ALOT of missing data for things like forward/backward passes,big chances created etc
    But its a good source nonetheless

    His versatility isn't respected and of course mbappe is great and a future Top 20 ATG in the making(he's in my top 100 all time already at 24)

    But mbappe definitely isn't doing what Ronaldo did before
    They have similarities and there are also significant differences
    outside of and including goalscoring

    Instead his career gpg ratio gets compared to the Gerd mullers and lewandowskis
    And the sofascore data starting from 2016 or even 2015 is used to generalise his entire career which is just really lazy analysis

    Not accusing you of doing that in this instance btw but just making a point
     
  4. lessthanjake

    lessthanjake Member+

    May 9, 2015
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    I get your point, but this thread isn’t about Ronaldo, and my post was pretty clear that the data only started from 2016 (actually from the 2015-2016 season onwards). I only listed Ronaldo as part of the extra context to help people understand the numbers I provided for the four players this thread is about, and a reader can see that that extra context regarding Ronaldo is only his stats from that specific more recent time period. In any event, I also don’t think people refuse to acknowledge that Ronaldo was a good creator in his earlier years—I see that stated here quite often (including by me).
     
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  5. lessthanjake

    lessthanjake Member+

    May 9, 2015
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    I’ve not been able to find this data for other leagues, but the EPL website has Big Chances Created stats going back to the 2010-2011 season.

    And it’s worth noting that, overall in his Premier League matches for Liverpool, Suarez created 0.48 big chances per 90 mins. If we add that data to the data on SofaScore from 2015-2016 onwards, that’d leave Suarez at 0.413 big chances created in the matches we have data for.

    The main things that that data is missing for Suarez at that point are the 2014-2015 season, his Eredivisie seasons, as well as a few NT tournaments. But my guess is that, if we had numbers for those seasons, they’d probably pull his numbers up, since, between league + CL/Europa/UEFA Cup, Suarez had about 0.4 assists per 90 mins (higher than his career average of 0.32). So my best guess is that full data on Suarez would probably leave him pushing up to around 0.45-0.50 big chances created per 90 mins for his career. But I guess we’ll never know, since big chances created data certainly doesn’t exist for his early years.
     
  6. lessthanjake

    lessthanjake Member+

    May 9, 2015
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    I kind of already corrected this in an above post, but just for the sake of clarity, I want to note that it was a mistake for me to label this as starting from mid-2016 onwards. This data starts from the 2015-2016 season, so I should’ve said mid-2015 onwards.
     
    carlito86 repped this.
  7. carlito86

    carlito86 Member+

    Jan 11, 2016
    Club:
    Real Madrid
    0.50 big chances created over a career is enormous for a forward

    Also important to state a big chance created can be a two yard pass providing a 1 vs 1 with a goalkeeper or it can be a defence splitting pass

    The number of big chances helps to create a picture but it certainly isn't the whole thing

    Number of throughballs/Crosses alongside the number of forward passes(And pass completion rate if possible) is the best way to gauge a players creative abilities


    Do you have in mind a specific performance wherein Suarez appears to be a world class playmaking forward?

    One displaying excellent vision and/or a high level of game IQ

    Something out of the ordinary completely beyond the capabilities of lewandowski for example
     
  8. lessthanjake

    lessthanjake Member+

    May 9, 2015
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    I’m sure I could dig up great playmaking performances for Suarez, but I’m not really making an overarching argument regarding Suarez (I didn’t even choose him as my top player amongst these four!). I’m just reporting on the data I found, as it relates to this thread, and was amending the data when I found more about Suarez and then observed that the data that is missing are actually years where he had tons of assists.
     
  9. lessthanjake

    lessthanjake Member+

    May 9, 2015
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    That said @carlito86 I agree that we can get more context from looking at throughball and accurate cross statistics, though I don’t necessarily agree that those are a better way to gauge creative abilities than big chances created (even taking into account that easy squared balls can be big chances created). That said, I’ve quickly just gone to WhoScored and looked at these players’ stats per game (not per 90 mins, so bear that in mind for what it’s worth) starting from 2009-2010:

    Luis Suarez
    Through Balls per game: 0.2
    Crosses per game: 0.3

    Zlatan Ibrahimovic
    Through Balls per game: 0.3
    Crosses per game: 0.2

    Karim Benzema
    Through Balls per game: 0.1
    Crosses per game: 0.1

    Robert Lewandowski
    Through Balls per game: 0.1
    Crosses per game: 0.1

    Those measures give a picture in which Suarez and Ibrahimovic are a step above the other two. That said, I think we definitely also need to take into account the big chances created—which has Lewandowski clearly below the other three that are clustered pretty close together (though further data I’ve found on Suarez puts him the highest by a fairly decent margin—but we’re still missing data for everyone).

    On the missing data point, I do want to note again that the Big Chances Created numbers for Ibrahimovic really do almost entirely just encompass the tail end of his career. And I think that’s probably skewing his big chances created numbers down quite a lot compared to what it’d be if we had full career data. We can see that even just from looking at the WhoScored Through Balls and Crosses data for him, where the years before 2015-2016 (where the Big Chances Created data starts) are actually much higher (as in, at a glance, probably about 2x higher overall). I’ve already noted something somewhat similar for Suarez regarding his Eredivisie years (and the 2014-2015 season) that we don’t have big chances created data for, since he had a good bit higher assist numbers those years than his average. I don’t see nearly as much evidence in the assists, throughballs, or crosses data that the missing years for Benzema would’ve been better than his norm. His assists per 90 mins in those missing years is similar to his career average, and a quick glance at his throughballs and crosses per game stats in the extra years WhoScored has looks fairly similar, though maybe slightly higher on average when we account for him having been a sub a lot in some of those years). Same with Lewandowski.

    Given all this, my best guess is that if we had full career data on big chances created and took into account other context like through balls and accurate crosses, I think it’s pretty likely that the overall picture would have Suarez and Ibrahimovic a good deal ahead of the other two, with Benzema in 3rd but a good bit ahead of Lewandowski.
     
    carlito86 repped this.
  10. Trachta10

    Trachta10 Member+

    Apr 25, 2016
    Club:
    CA Boca Juniors
    Stats for some playes, the percentage of team's goals assisted

    [​IMG]
     
    lessthanjake and Danko repped this.
  11. carlito86

    carlito86 Member+

    Jan 11, 2016
    Club:
    Real Madrid
    Top 20 Highest peak of strikers

    2010/11 - 2019/20
    Maximum of 2 seasons per player

    Robert lewandowski 2019/20
    Luis Suarez 2013/14
    Karim Benzema 2021/22
    Zlatan ibrahimovic 2015/16
    Robert lewandowski 2020/21
    Zlatan ibrahimovic 2011/12
    Luis Suarez 2015/16
    Gonzalo higuain 2015/16
    Harry Kane 2020/21
    Radamel falcao 2011/12
    Robin van persie 2011/12
    Robin van persie 2012/13
    Wayne Rooney 2011/12
    Harry Kane 2017/18
    Sergio aguero 2014/15
    Hulk 2010/11
    Klaas jan Huntelaar 2011/12
    Sergio aguero 2011/12
    Antonio di natale 2010/11
    Mario Gomez 2011/12
     
  12. Al Gabiru

    Al Gabiru Member

    Jan 28, 2020
    #112 Al Gabiru, Feb 4, 2023
    Last edited: Feb 4, 2023
    I still think Lewa is overrated because he doesn't have the resources of others. I think the Bayern team inflated him. Peak Suarez on that team would have Peak CR7 numbers

    For me the three peak season were Luis Suarez 13/14, Ibra 11/12 and Suarez 15/16
     
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  13. Isaías Silva Serafim

    Real Madrid
    Brazil
    Dec 2, 2021
    Nat'l Team:
    Brazil
    So you are saying that Suarez weren't inflated by Barcelona or Ibra by PSG?
     
  14. lessthanjake

    lessthanjake Member+

    May 9, 2015
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    I think what’s interesting perhaps about these players is that we’ve seen most of them in their primes both in and outside of teams that had massive talent gaps. Suarez played for Barcelona, but he also played for Liverpool and Atletico Madrid. Ibrahimovic played for PSG and Barcelona, but he also played for several teams that were good but not really top-tier super teams. Lewandowski played for Dortmund, another team that was good but not the same as the very top tier teams. Besides a few really early years at Lyon, Benzema has only really been on Real Madrid, so he’s the one that we didn’t really see in his prime on a bit of a lesser team.* Out of the other three, without having thought about it too much, I think the one that was the best (or at least had the highest peak) outside of a super team was probably Suarez for Liverpool.

    ___________

    * Benzema is a bit of a different case where he played his prime in a great team, but we have seen him as both a second-fiddle on a great team and the star player on a great team. Obviously, those are two very different things—and his numbers have been quite different in those different time periods—but there’s nothing really directly comparable to the others having been the star on teams like Liverpool, Dortmund, AC Milan, etc., unless we looked at his early Lyon years (which I don’t think is fair, since he left when he was 21 years old—though he did play well there).
     
  15. Isaías Silva Serafim

    Real Madrid
    Brazil
    Dec 2, 2021
    Nat'l Team:
    Brazil
    I'm not sure if Suarez 13/14 were better than Lewandowski 12/13. I were impressed with the performance of Lewandowski against Madrid in the semifinal of 12/13. Suarez failed to score against City (1st) and Chelsea (3rd) at home and away. IIRC Suarez were the player with the most big chances missed in EPL 13/14. There is a very interesting post by @carlito86 about this comparison. Follow the link: https://www.bigsoccer.com/threads/has-lewandowski-surpassed-r9.2116738/page-8#post-40179084
     
  16. Al Gabiru

    Al Gabiru Member

    Jan 28, 2020
    #116 Al Gabiru, Feb 4, 2023
    Last edited: Feb 4, 2023
    Maybe, but Luis Suarez 13/14 was in Liverpool and Ibra 11/12 in Milan

    Also, I think Lewa doesn't have the resources of the others. Which makes him more dependent on the team. In this case, he was on a superteam that played around him (Offensive plays designed for him, penalty taker, etc.). A situation that others didn't have. (Milan wasn't super team, Psg at the time of Ibra wasn't super team, and Barcelona played for Messi).
     
  17. Isaías Silva Serafim

    Real Madrid
    Brazil
    Dec 2, 2021
    Nat'l Team:
    Brazil
    .
     
  18. carlito86

    carlito86 Member+

    Jan 11, 2016
    Club:
    Real Madrid
    #118 carlito86, Feb 4, 2023
    Last edited: Feb 4, 2023
    Within the context of french domestic football PSG definitely was a superteam in the time of ibrahimovic

    Which resources do you speak of
    Assists?

    Assists aren't an accurate way of gauging a players playmaking ability


    Lewandowski reached a higher dribbling peak in league football(2013/14)and a higher dribbling peak in champions league football(2019/20) then Suarez ever did for Liverpool or Barcelona

    The numbers are there

    Even if you say the Bundesliga is weak and easier to dribble In it still doesn't remove the fact Lewandowski reached a higher dribbling peak in the champions league(and he combined that with 15 goals+5 assists)

    What are these resources you speak of

    Forks and knives to eat Giorgio Chiellinis flesh?

    Probably lewandowski never had those
     
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  19. Al Gabiru

    Al Gabiru Member

    Jan 28, 2020
    Just see them at their peak.

    But in terms of stats you can look at the type of passes (cross, long ball, through balls).

    best numbers
    Lewa cross 0.4 lb 1 tb 0.3 (excludes current season that has not ended)
    Suarez cross 1 lb 2.2 tb 0.5
    Ibra cross 0.7 lb 3.9 tb 0.9

    And if you look at the average or number of seasons with more long balls or cross, it's same thing.

    Suarez/Ibra has a lot more resources to use his teammates. Lewa is perhaps the most efficient finisher. But he is more dependent on the team.
     
  20. lessthanjake

    lessthanjake Member+

    May 9, 2015
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
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  21. carlito86

    carlito86 Member+

    Jan 11, 2016
    Club:
    Real Madrid
    #122 carlito86, Feb 4, 2023
    Last edited: Feb 4, 2023
    Some numbers to help Suarez (his case)

    19 big chances created(27 matches) in Europe's top 5 leagues during the 2014 calender year

    0.70 big chances created per match


    So basically the second half of 2013/14 and the first half of 2014/15
    https://www.whoscored.com/Articles/...e-Stats-Leaders-You-May-Not-Have-Seen-in-2014

    Of course he only scored 1 goal in the first half of la liga 2014/15
    https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/lui.../spieler/44352/saison/2014/sort/vorlagen.desc

    but as we can see here He could still remain useful and arguably impactful even without goals
     
  22. lessthanjake

    lessthanjake Member+

    May 9, 2015
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    Some info below regarding number of ESM teams of the month these players made through the end of last season. I did write up some caveats here on what ESM team of the month does and doesn’t tell us, so keep those in mind (https://www.bigsoccer.com/threads/i...the-21st-century.2124565/page-4#post-41208087). In parentheses, I include the first and last season they had appearances, and the total number of seasons they had at least one appearance.

    Number of ESM Team of the Month Appearances

    1. Zlatan Ibrahimovic: 22 appearances (10 total seasons; 2006-2007 to 2020-2021)
    2. Robert Lewandowski: 21 appearances (6 total seasons; 2012-2013 to 2021-2022)
    3. Luis Suarez: 19 appearances (6 total seasons; 2009-2010 to 2020-2021)
    4. Karim Benzema: 14 appearances (6 total seasons; 2007-2008 to 2021-2022)

    Interesting IMO that Ibrahimovic comes out ahead here. And I think it does actually reflect the type of consistent performances that allowed him to win so many league titles (though there’s also a chicken and egg thing here—perhaps he made the most of these teams because his team was winning more).
     
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  23. Al Gabiru

    Al Gabiru Member

    Jan 28, 2020
    As I said before, it's a question of legacy (individual and collective awards) vs talent

    If you follow Lewa at Barcelona lately, he seems to be out of the game when the ball doesn't come. Lewa is an incredible finisher, but his overall game is much lower than the other forwards.

    Something these pass type stats show well (long ball, throug ball, cross).
     
  24. Sexy Beast

    Sexy Beast Member+

    Dinamo Zagreb
    Croatia
    Aug 11, 2016
    Zagreb
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    Croatia
    Currently I stand at Suarez > Lewandowski > Ibra > Benzema..

    HM Kane, Aguero, Higuain in that order

    Suarez 2014-2016 the highest peak amongst those players. Lewandowski the best goalscorer.
     
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