Are we better or worse, WTF is going on - Summer 2021 transfer thread.

Discussion in 'Arsenal' started by chjoak, Feb 4, 2021.

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  1. maskito

    maskito Member+

    Arsenal
    Jan 14, 2006
    Nashville
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    In Edu's defense getting outgoing deals done, I'm reasonably certain that other clubs are:
    1) well aware of our need to offload a bloated and overpaid roster, and aren't submitting acceptable bids, and
    2) those outgoing players have underperformed and don't factor into immediate or long-term plans, and
    3) our players don't have the "pedigree" or halo effect of playing in a top 4 side or Champions league. We were all annoyed that Barca, ManU, ManC, and Chelski would swoop to buy or at minimum unsettle our players. When was the last time that happened? ESR was the only recent player of note, but that interest was only from Villa. We had this even during the last ~10 Wenger years, but most teams just don't see value in our players because of this lack of pedigree.

    When you negotiate, you typically should have a "minimum" value you'll accept, or you just walk away. From the numbers we're seeing tossed around, we just aren't getting offers in that range, which is understandably difficult. If Edu caves, then that let's other clubs know low-ball offers can/will be accepted.
     
  2. cooper7d7

    cooper7d7 Member+

    Feb 7, 2001
    CT
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  3. casoccerdad47

    casoccerdad47 Member+

    Mar 31, 2006
    Saliba and Guendouzi were Arteta decisions and the fourth striker killed a potential transfer with his wage demands. With respect to Saliba, Edu has said all the right things about his potential and he worked with Saliba’s agent to resolve a loan move very early in the window. Given the reporting that Edu is the one driving the youth movement I’m pretty sure he is in Saliba’s corner.
     
  4. Super Llama

    Super Llama Member+

    May 21, 2006
    Seattle
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    #3329 Super Llama, Sep 3, 2021
    Last edited: Sep 3, 2021
    Not sure these are the right conclusions. The article states that Edu pushed for Neto as the GK choice—a 32 year-old Kia client who’s played less than 1000 minutes over the last two years. Arteta demanded Ramsdale instead.

    Again, not to beat a dead horse, but can we really blame Arteta for stepping into the transfer process when Edu’s first-order impulse is to directly cite the “SELL THESE TO RUBES” list that Kia gives him?
     
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  5. cooper7d7

    cooper7d7 Member+

    Feb 7, 2001
    CT
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You should pass on the Sell These To Rubes list, right?
     
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  6. Super Llama

    Super Llama Member+

    May 21, 2006
    Seattle
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Tbf to everyone involved I think the transfers in this season have been good, it’s just the sales that have been a huge problem. And as @CarlosKaiser perfectly summarized, as a team we are still reeling from the ramifications of last year’s window. But IIRC Raul was still in charge then?
     
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  7. Super Llama

    Super Llama Member+

    May 21, 2006
    Seattle
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Yeah sorry I’ll edit for clarity, I meant pass it on to Arteta
     
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  8. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Arsenal get 9m for Douzi down the track

    It's shit but arteta destroyed his value by forcing him out - then covid hit
     
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  9. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Sales is a problem because there is no market for the players arsenal has

    Especially not the overpaid old guys
     
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  10. casoccerdad47

    casoccerdad47 Member+

    Mar 31, 2006
    The article said Edu turned to Neto after the initial price being quoted for Ramsdale. Many on this board have had reservations about the £24m plus £6m add on fee paid for Ramsdale, the initial quote was £30m. Again since Edu was driving the youth policy the fee would appear to be the reason he started pushing Neto.
     
  11. chjoak

    chjoak Member+

    Jun 17, 2009
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I've actually read somewhere that the original quote was 40m. Maybe 30m+ add-ons but closer to 40m total.
     
  12. CarlosKaiser

    CarlosKaiser Member+

    Arsenal
    United States
    Jul 30, 2018
    Kansas City
    Thanks for sharing, Ornstein didn't say anything about Neto on the podcast. He suggested the u23 plan was Edu's plan from the day Raul left.
     
  13. mebeSajid

    mebeSajid Member+

    Feb 16, 2009
    Atlanta, GA
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
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  14. daedalus

    daedalus Member+

    Apr 24, 2004
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    i don't think i can even.
     
  15. daedalus

    daedalus Member+

    Apr 24, 2004
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    it's us. we're rubes.
     
  16. Super Llama

    Super Llama Member+

    May 21, 2006
    Seattle
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    My standard for Edu is that after getting quoted a price like that, the second option isn’t a Kia client in his 30s

    I think that Ramsdale at the actual price we paid is better value than Neto at any transfer fee so it’s good that Edu received pushback on this front IMO
     
  17. Tonerl

    Tonerl Member+

    Arsenal
    May 10, 2006
    Cincinnati, OH
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    When you agree with Mourinho…
     
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  18. chjoak

    chjoak Member+

    Jun 17, 2009
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    worth a watch...

     
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  19. casoccerdad47

    casoccerdad47 Member+

    Mar 31, 2006
    It depends on what you’re planning for, if you just want a number two, then Neto is probably fine, even if he is a Kia client, if you’re looking for a replacement for Leno, then Ramsdale is probably the preferred option. I’m not sure tarring Edu with Kia is appropriate. Edu is apparently the one that developed the youth policy and they haven’t signed a Kia client since Raul left.
     
  20. yossarian

    yossarian Moderator
    Staff Member

    Jun 16, 1999
    Big City Blinking
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Worth it to confirm that Tim Howard is about as good a pundit as he was at keeper in that match against Trinidad in 2017. A bunch of question begging and conflating speculation with fact. And that's not me defending Arteta or Edu. I'm in the camp that has little confidence Arteta can right this ship. But Howard and middle Robbie just throwing out tired tropes isn't very insightful.
     
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  21. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    For me the most interesting part of the Athletic in-depth was that the club is focussed on total cost of ownership and resilience of transfer fees

    Lingard is a good example of it elsewhere. At Utd he earns approx 4m per year, and having had a great loan at West Ham, obviously he will only want to move to a lesser club for a nice new contract and pay bump - otherwise why not just stay at Utd

    For West Ham that might mean total cost of JL is 30m fee + 4 x 5m salary = 50m, but then the player has no resale as he is already 28.

    So actually it is better to spend 25m+ on Vlasic who is only 23 and you will have to pay him much less - and can likely recover your money or more if he is successful.

    Further confirmation that in this market, the peak age player has zero or negative value, unless he is elite.
     
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  22. Tonerl

    Tonerl Member+

    Arsenal
    May 10, 2006
    Cincinnati, OH
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Robbie Earle seems like a great guy to have a beer with, but Jesus. His answers are Buendia, Lingard and Tarkowski. Okay, man.

    ETA: I have huge respect for Tim Howard overcoming Tourette to the extent he’s able to have an on-air television job, but it definitely doesn’t mean he’s good at that job.
     
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  23. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    I do wonder if in sports/film etc there is going to have to be a strict policy on this.

    Who can afford to close down their film production or lose games (arsenal 3m gate per home game) because some idiot isn't vaxxed and infected the whole squad?
     
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  24. yossarian

    yossarian Moderator
    Staff Member

    Jun 16, 1999
    Big City Blinking
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Sure, that's fair and it's impressive. But yeah, he's been doing this long enough I feel no need to treat him with kid gloves. He's just not very insightful, IMO. The part about "why would you just spend all that money on a mid-level keeper...." Well, d'uh, rightly or wrongly, it's pretty obvious that Arsenal don't see him as mid-level, and view him as a long term solution --- as Robbie on the right pointed out. That assessment may end up wrong, but it's not just willy nilly spending tons of money for a mere backup.
     
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  25. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    I mean that's really what this is all about

    Compared to Arsenal, Liverpool were so much better at figuring out who was a "mid level" player and who had the potential to really kick on and become elite.

    Chelsea sold all of Lukaku, De Bruyne and Salah as "mid level players" when all of them were actually elite.

    Knowing which players are mispriced, or how you can get more value out of them compared to other teams is the key to getting Alpha in the market.
     
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