The 2020 Election Mega Thread

Discussion in 'Elections' started by Knave, May 8, 2017.

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  1. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    If Georgia is a battleground, the war is already won.
     
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  2. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    I thought his support was mainly those under 65.

    Wait - you are talking about IQ, right?
     
  3. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    :D.....
     
  4. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States

    I like those polls, with the 2 special elections won by republicans (in GOP favorable seats), hopefully this lights a fire under Democratic voters ass.

    I rather go in thinking is too close to call, than thinking the democrats have it in the bag.
     
  5. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Money.


    You need about what 500 samples per state, so for 6 states that is 3,000 total samples.

    It would be better, but more expensive.



    I mean all National level polling is stupid, since it is meaningless (it can capture trends), state level polling is the way to go.

    But National polling helps drive a narrative and it is easier to use by the media, so they use it all the time.
     
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  6. rich loc

    rich loc Member+

    Jun 17, 2007
    Club:
    Club América
    Nat'l Team:
    Mexico
    Can you really get mad at them, if they're just doing what Joe told them to do?

     
  7. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    From a republican pollster in Georgia.....really tight race.

    A new Republican State Leadership Poll in Georgia finds Donald Trump barely edging Joe Biden in the presidential race, 48% to 46%.

    In the U.S. Senate race, Sen. David Purdue (R) leads challenger Jon Ossoff (D), 46% to 41%.
     
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  8. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    For those who were asking or wondering, Mikey's cavalry is on coming! Man, not good news for the Orange moron.

    Mike Bloomberg is plotting a massive spending blitz to back Joe Biden’s quest for the White House,” CNBC reports.
    “The former New York mayor and his closest political advisors are discussing whether Bloomberg’s expenditure will include major donations to pro-Biden super PACs, Biden’s joint fundraising effort with the Democratic National Committee, or another independent group.”
    Though it’s unclear how much Bloomberg will eventually spend, some of the people familiar with the matter noted that they anticipate Bloomberg to end up spending in excess of $250 million to support Biden… Any major financial support from Bloomberg backing Biden does not include what he could put toward assisting congressional Democrats.”
     
  9. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Do you mean that results were changed later? Whether results were changed later or not, you're wrong about the margin. Page 11 of https://transition.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2016/federalelections2016.pdf says Clinton won by 2.09%.

    I read that California 25 special election loser Christy Smith had the same problem as Clinton, which was not getting African-Americans to vote.
     
  10. Boandlkramer

    Boandlkramer Member+

    Apr 9, 2009
    Samma Weltmeister!
    Club:
    FC Bayern München
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
    AKA, moneybags are here!
     
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  11. Boandlkramer

    Boandlkramer Member+

    Apr 9, 2009
    Samma Weltmeister!
    Club:
    FC Bayern München
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
    Apparently Sanders did too.
     
  12. Boandlkramer

    Boandlkramer Member+

    Apr 9, 2009
    Samma Weltmeister!
    Club:
    FC Bayern München
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
    #15187 Boandlkramer, May 16, 2020
    Last edited: May 16, 2020
  13. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    This will go a long way to addressing Bidens financial troubles
     
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  14. Boandlkramer

    Boandlkramer Member+

    Apr 9, 2009
    Samma Weltmeister!
    Club:
    FC Bayern München
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
    Obama’s response to Trumps I hinged “Obamagate” [emoji90]

    So simple, so powerful


     
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  15. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    @American Brummie

    Latest Podsave America had some interesting comments on Trump's supposed digital advantage

    Some of this is based on the assumption that digital is the reason Trump won in 2016 which is not based on any reality so far as we know - indeed we do now know most of Trumps' facebook activity was fundrasing

    on the other hand, Biden has clear fundraising issues and organising issues
     
  16. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Why am I being tagged?
     
  17. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
    Club:
    FC Sankt Pauli
    Nat'l Team:
    Belgium
    Because of your post re research which proves that advertising does not move the voting needle

    I think we agreed that digital can be effective to raise money

    So I was interested what was your opinion on the supposed Trump "deathstar"
     
  18. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Oh that. Michael Bloomberg, POTUS.
     
  19. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I am not that worry about the organizing issues now. As Plouffe said himself, with O'Malley-Dillon, Biden new Campaign Manager, they have one the best in the business and she is righting the ship.
    She announced some pretty big moves this weekwith the addition to 600 staffers assigned to battleground states in June. The added some top talent the last few weeks as well coming from the Warren, Pete, Harris and Beto's campaign too.
    As far as money, Trump has a clear advantage but in the ext few momths we should expect things to get closer money wise, specially with the Bloomberg $$$.

    "The campaign said Friday that it had $103 million cash on hand at the end of April when combined with the Democratic National Committee. The April fundraising total was almost $61 million between the two entities.

    Trump and the Republican National Committee said this week that they had more than $250 million."
     
  20. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
    One more problem for Trump as a campaigner, is the amount of money they will grift out of it. IOW, of those $250 million, a big portion will pay for a lot of mailers, events in Trump properties and advertising in OAN, but not that much to advertise in battleground states.

    OTOH, MSM and Facebook will be happy to give Trump a hand.
     
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  21. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Brad Parscale is going to make a killing. The rest of the grifters including the Trump family will get their share as well.
    FB for sure, Zuck is a POS.
     
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  22. ElJefe

    ElJefe Moderator
    Staff Member

    Feb 16, 1999
    Colorful Colorado
    Club:
    FC Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    And... it's over before it really began:

     
  23. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Yep. Safest move from him. Now he can go ahead and endorse Joe Biden. :)
     
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  24. Q*bert Jones III

    Q*bert Jones III The People's Poet

    Feb 12, 2005
    Woodstock, NY
    Club:
    DC United
    Thank God.

    Now God needs to have a talk with Jesse Ventura and/or Jill Stein.
     
  25. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I am less concerned about those two clowns than Amash.
     
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