The 2020 Election Mega Thread

Discussion in 'Elections' started by Knave, May 8, 2017.

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  1. rich loc

    rich loc Member+

    Jun 17, 2007
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    Bernie has probably talked about strengthening unions more than any other candidate.
     
  2. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
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    Yep. If Trump loses, but GOP hold the senate, Ginsberg won't be replaced.

    Basically democracy can't work without the constitutional conventions
     
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  3. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
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    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
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    Belgium
    Also, what else can he do?

    Congress is done - so now we go "post-democratic"
     
  4. The Jitty Slitter

    The Jitty Slitter Moderator
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    Bayern München
    Germany
    Jul 23, 2004
    Fascist Hellscape
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    Bloomberg should just pay 10m each to Kelly, Mad Dog, Comey. Tillerson etc etc etc to get them to sit down and do interviews with him about Trump being a complete clown. Then serialise it.

    It would be the most powerful content he could get
     
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  5. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
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    The second one, I doubt that they would hold out for 4 years, but they may do 2 years.

    I just see it as difficult to hold all Senators to a 4 year commitment, then again they can take it 2 years at a time, if they keep the majority in 2022 by blocking judges, then perhaps I will be wrong.
     
  6. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
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  7. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
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    Seattle Sounders
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    United States
    It depends on when Ginsberg and Breyer's spots become empty.. If it is done early in the term, I don't see how Republicans could justify holding the spots vacant for 2-4 years. They'll certain slow walk it and fight every nominee tooth and nail, but they won't be able to pull what they did with Garland. Anything less than 2 years tho.. Yeah. I can see it being dragged out until the re-election.
     
  8. song219

    song219 BigSoccer Supporter

    Apr 5, 2004
    La Norte
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    I'm just going to let this stand by itself.
     
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  9. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
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    I don't think you are looking at it from the correct perspective.
    It is not "holding out," like in 2016 and Merrick Garland.
    If the Republicans hold the Senate, they could simply deny every Supreme Court nominee.

    By the way, they would do this for the Cabinet, as well.

    If McConnell stays in charge of the Senate and there is a Democratic President, that President will not have a cabinet.

    Since there is a requirement for "advise and consent" for nominees, he would simply block the nominees.
    If they somehow managed to get to a vote, the vote would like fail, time and time again.

    It will be paralysis unlike this county has ever seen.

    We see it already.
    McConnell blocks Senate votes that would pass the Senate.
    He is blocking everything.
     
  10. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
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    LOL. I would think at some point the Executive branch would go to the Judicial branch if the Legislative branch failed in its confirmation duties.
     
  11. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
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    In case you haven't noticed, Senate confirmation is no longer required to fill positions that require confirmation. Any Democratic president will just appoint people into a position as interim and dare Republicans to call their bluff.
     
  12. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
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    "talked about"
     
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  13. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
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    They would not be doing "justifying holding the spots vacant for 2-4 years"

    The Republican Senate would be voting down every nominee, which is their right to do.

    The President would nominate someone and, first, they would stall and "slow walk" it. It would then come up for a vote and they nominee would be voted down.

    Hell, Gorsuch was 54-45.
    Kavanaugh was 50-48.

    Had the Democrats had the Senate in 2017 and 2018, no way either Gorsuch or Kavanaugh would make it onto the bench (of course, Kennedy would not have suddenly "retired").
     
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  14. bigredfutbol

    bigredfutbol Moderator
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    Sep 5, 2000
    Woodbridge, VA
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    Indeed. This is why I think if the Democrats end up nominating a populist, it's game over.
     
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  15. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    The Republicans would call their bluff. Immediately.

    Also, it would not work for the Supreme Court.

    If a Democratic President attempted to fill a Supreme Court seat with and unconfirmed nominee, it would be an actual Constitutional Crisis.

    Democrats taking back control of the Senate in 2020 is as important as the Presidency.
    Less likely, but as important.
     
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  16. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
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    I was responding to a post about cabinet positions. ;)
     
  17. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
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    Garland did not get a vote, sure they could try to do this and then in 2022 voters will decide if blocking judges like that should be rewarded, voters in the majority of states may say yes, just like they did in 2016.

    But then it is the American people telling the Senate what to do.

    For sure, lots of "acting" cabinet members, just like Trump and that clown has the votes in the Senate.

    That would be fair, as long as they get votes, if Sanders/X-Democrat can not nominate people that get 51 votes, then they will not be confirmed, that is how this works (unfortunately).

    Then it the voters decide who was right, the Senators or the President (by 2022 or 2024).

    And Since Republicans seem to do better in more states, he will not be penalized for it, until Democrats can figure out a way to win election in 25+ states, this will continue to happen.

    Again, they will try and it will be up to voters in 2022 to give their opinion on who is right.
     
  18. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
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    Which is fine, again, just do what Trump is doing, post one person in a position as interim, then put another person up to be the nominee. If the Senate keeps rejecting the nominees, the position is still filled and the duties are still be performed. ;)
     
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  19. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
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    1 of them may have, I assume this is if Trump won in 2016 but Democrats took back the Senate so they are pissed about Garland so they block Gorsuch.

    But how long would they have kept that up? they would vote him down (after holding up the nomination for a while) but eventually they would have to allow votes and dare Trump nominate some one else.
     
  20. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
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    1. That could work, but is no way to run a government.

    2. I don't think that would work for Supreme Court nominees. The Republicans would be fine with the status quo of a 5-2 Conservative majority on the Supreme Court. Since there is no Constitutional mandate that there must be 9 justices, I suspect the Republicans would be fine with 7, considering the overwhelming majority.

    ...and keep voting down nominees.
    No replacement for Scalia.
    It would have preserved a 4-4 deadlock for the foreseeable future.
    Roberts/Thomas/Alito/Kennedy
    Ginsburg/Breyer/Kagan/Sotomayer

    Essentially, Roberts and Kennedy would wield most of the power, as the "swing" votes on certain issues.
     
  21. xtomx

    xtomx Member+

    Chicago Fire
    Sep 6, 2001
    Northern Wisconsin, but not far from civilization
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    You do realize, I hope, that there are Democratic Senators from more than 25 states right now.

    There are Democratic/non-Republican senators in 28 states:
    (There are Republican senators in 31 states)

    Alabama
    Arizona
    California (both)
    Colorado
    Connecticut (both)
    Delaware (both)
    Hawaii (both)
    Illinois (both)
    Maine (King is Ind. but caucuses with Democrats)
    Maryland (both)
    Mass. (both)
    Michigan (both)
    Minnesota (both)
    Montana
    Nevada (both)
    New Hampshire (both)
    New Jersey (both)
    New Mexico (both)
    New York (both)
    Ohio
    Oregon (both)
    Pennsylvania
    Rhode Island (both)
    Vermont (both, if we count Bernie Sanders)
    Virginia (both)
    Washington (both)
    Wisconsin
    West Virginia
     
  22. Funkfoot

    Funkfoot Member+

    May 18, 2002
    New Orleans, LA
    The fact that he hasn't passed any significant legislation also indicates an inability to compromise.
     
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  23. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
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    Chicago Red Stars
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    United States
  24. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
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    Chicago Red Stars
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    Both in 25+ states. or a combination that gets to 51.

    Arizona and Colorado should be possible.

    But holding Alabama and eventually Montana and West Virginia will be very difficult.

    North Carolina and perhaps Georgia are opportunities, but Ohio, Wisconsin and Pennsylvanian may eventually go the way or Iowa or even Indiana.

    So if Republicans do block Supreme court appointments, does that help Democrats take back the Senate or not?



    My point is that it would, if Republicans block SC appointments, then I would suspect Dems having a good chance of taking back the Senate in 2022, but perhaps voters in some "swing" states would reward Republicans, if that happens, they yes the GOP will/would block for 4 years.



    I still doubt it, but I could be wrong.
     
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  25. Q*bert Jones III

    Q*bert Jones III The People's Poet

    Feb 12, 2005
    Woodstock, NY
    Club:
    DC United
    St. Bernard's appeal is that his views are virtually unchanged over decades. He's never moved and yet the party, to a large degree, has come to him.
     
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