Trump :: The Presidency

Shut your filthy pinhole, they were their own band not his back-up band. It was when they joined that Prince got top billing. Like the E street band!

 

Maybe that's what REALLY happened to @Auriaprottu....

 

all but a small minority of seats are safe thanks to gerrymandering

 

Neither worthy to even sniff Levon's beard

 

You say that, but...

http://time.com/3576090/midterm-elections-turnout-world-war-two/

The last time voter turnout for a national election was as low as it was on Nov.4, Hitler was still in power, and Mitch McConnell was only nine months old.

Only 36.4% of eligible voters voted in this year’s midterm elections, down from 40.9% who voted in 2010...​

If he starts to do half the stuff people are afraid of, we might be looking at a HUGE boost in turnout to try and get the GOP out AND a massive drop-off in people prepared to try and keep them IN.

 

I posted this in another thread last night, but Republicans hold 40 of the 60 most competitive districts in the country. The districts that they're defending are overwhelmingly in blue and purple states like New York, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin .... The competitive districts that Democrats are hanging on to are in friendly territory like Oregon, New Hampshire, California and Arizona.

In other words the battleground is not in red states. It's in suburban areas of purple/blue states. If the sitting president remains unpopular, it will reflect in those areas.

 

I can't believe that we are being gaslit on such a scale. It seems so transparent, but the thing is gas lighting generally works, thats why people do it. Give it months.

 

STATE LEGISLATURES, DAMMIT

 

That too ...

 

State governments have about half the budget (combined) as the feds. They control elections. They control redistricting. They control water quality. They manage job growth. And we need a ton more if we're going to start undoing Trump's legacy in 2019.

 

State legislatures are really important (and especially so before redistricting), but the House is the biggest prize in 2018.

If the Democrats somehow capture either house of Congress , the Trump administration is probably finished for all intents and purposes. I don't see any way he could cope with an opposition legislature with subpoena powers. Still a very long shot for the Dems, but who knows how things will look in a year or so.

 

SNL tearing it up right now!

 

If the Dems aren't in it to win it in '18, they're useless. These are some of the seats they should be targeting. These were mostly Obama areas in '08 and '12 ... and ultimately Trump in '16. Most of these districts are over 70% white, primarily suburbs and mid size towns. This is why I was rooting for Tim Ryan as minority leader and Tom Perez at DNC. This is the only path forward for growth for Democratic party. They already hold all the urban and diverse districts.

Colorado # 6 : Denver suburbs ... Aurora, Centennial
Illinois # 12 : East St. Louis and points South
Illinois # 13 : East St. Louis and points north to Springfield
Iowa # 3 : All of Des Moines to the Omaha suburbs
Maine # 2 : Northern Maine
Michigan # 6 : Kalamazoo
Michigan # 7 : South Detroit suburbs including parts of Ann Arbor
Michigan # 8 : West Detroit suburbs all the way to Lansing
New Jersey # 2 : South Jersey - Atlantic City
New Jersey # 3 : Burlington County, Ocean County
New York # 1 : Long Island - East
New York # 2 : Long Island - Central (Peter King)
New York # 11 : Staten Island
New York # 19 : South Albany suburbs to Poughkeepsie and Oneonta
New York # 21 : North Albany suburbs to Canada border
New York # 22 : Utica
New York # 23 : Ithaca to Lake Erie
Ohio # 10 : Dayton
Pennsylvania # 6 : Reading suburbs
Pennsylvania # 7 : West Philly suburbs to Reading outskirts
Pennsylvania # 8 : North Philly suburbs to Allentown
Pennsylvania # 15 : Allentown to Harrisburg suburbs
Texas # 23 : Border region from San Antonio suburbs to El Paso suburbs
Virginia # 10 : West DC suburbs to Winchester
Washington # 3 : Olympia to Oregon border
Washington # 8 : Central Washington
Wisconsin # 1 : South Milwaukee suburbs to Illinois border
Wisconsin # 7 : Northern Wisconsin
Wisconsin # 8 : Green Bay

 

Repped for the Ryan and Perez combo. Fresh blood from a swing state and a guy that has won and knows how to win (plus Buffalo baby!)

 

NY 11 is that dirtbag Dan Donovan and Staten is the reddest Boro in NYC, impossible to flip. Send money elsewhere. The best time to flip was when Donovan was running but the party decided to send money elsewhere

 

This is all true in several other districts. Which is why it's critical that there be some form of a national wave. Not a tsunami. But something measurable.

 

You seriously think Staten Island or Peter King's seat are up for grabs? Keep dreaming.

 

Clinton won that district over Trump, though - by nine points.

There, as in the other 20+ Congressional districts that were won by both Clinton and by a GOP House candidate, I suspect that a fair number of those ticket-splitters might have believed they were supporting Republican representatives to create a check on President Clinton. That's not going to apply in 2018, of course.

 

Putting daylight between himself and President Trump will be potentially hazardous.

 

Dave Weigel. Slate.

Though he says 2007.

This is not the first time we've been over this.