Weakening the Bundesliga: Bayern-Wechsel und Transfergerüchte Vol. XXI

Mario fighting for his "position"? What position is that then? The one that Mueller plays? The one that Lewy plays? The ones that Costa/Ribery or Coman/Robben play? Bayern should've never bought him in the first place but it was a chance to weaken a rival, which it did but it really didn't provide the strength we sought in the long run.

Kalle is just trying to put even more pressure on Goetze to get his arsch out of Bayern. While I think Pep made a few tactical mistakes along the way, in no way has he made a mistake about not playing Goetze. And Carlo seems to feel the same way.

 

The point I'm making is that these statistics need to be used in the proper context. Player performance is not linear with relation to time on the pitch.

p90 stats are a very rudimentary snapshot of player performance that allow a basic level of comparison. I would caution reading too much into them.

 

For the "supersub" comment: Lets assume a player traditionally comes off the bench in the second half of matches for the final 15-20 minutes. He plays 34 matches and scores 11 goals.

His raw stats would look like this:
Matches: 34
Goals: 11
Goals/Match: .323

Not great for a striker, but if we decide to assume his output will increase in a direct relation to his playing time in minutes (the way per90 stats work) we have a different picture.
Assuming he plays an average of 17.5 minutes per match as a late sub.

Minutes: 595
Goals: 11
goals/90 mins: 1.66

Now I've used the magic of the per90 stat to take an average "supersub" type player and turned him into an all time great WC player.

 

If such player would exist he would be the best supersub in the world by far! So he really would be a special player!

I made some analysis after the end of the season of top 5 leagues.
Adrian Ramos is comfortably the most efficient super sub with 9 league goals in 27 matches / 928 minutes, that's 0,33 goals per match or 0,87 per 90mins.

So I repeat You made up an exceptional player and your conclusion "His stats are not great for a strike" is completely wrong. I do not claim that you could conclude "he's a WC player" because WC players are usually considered to be effiecient more than 20 minutes per game, but it would certainly indicate that this player has enormous potential to become a EC player.

 

Would you be confident enough to start Gotze and leave Costa/Robben/Muller/Lewy out in an important match, say, Champions League semi-final?

If not, that would mean Gotze is a sub, or super sub as you say. But a very expensive and unhappy super sub.

I would prefer that he leave this summer, even to Dortmund. If not at least sort out his contract situation before the new season. I smell a Klose 2.0 here.

 

I would switch Costa for Götze any time. Costa came in guns blazing and then regressed very hard.

 

Well that is a big if. He couldn't even beat a 34 years old Ribery. If we really think of a future without Robbery I would like it to be another highly rate winger, not Gotze.

Let's see how the summer pans out.

 

A good EC can change everything and that is also the reason why Rummenigges comments made no sense. Both Manchesters and Chelsea will spend big and that will get the market really rolling with others joining in (PSG). Götze playing a decent EC can easily get others suitors lined up. But thanks Kalle for killing the negotiation position in advance.
And to be honest in my opinion Götze would have been dumb by epic proportions to join Liverpool before the EC because of that. Not only is Liverpool imo a treadmil team (disappoininting season, no international games, other EPL clubs have deeper pockets; Klopp still needs to show he can make it in EPL, ...). Before joining that bleak outlook I'd rather sit out the Bayern contract and then be a free agent instead of tying my ass to Liverpool for 3-4 years. Of course Götze could be just honest and really wants to make it here, and if he does we can thank Kalle again for probably shutting down extension talks resp. weakening our stance in this

 

How do you beat when you are not even allowed to play? Ribery has been mostly rubbish bar the 2nd game vs Atleti

He got a shot. Goetze never did! 1 bad game and he is benched to oblivion

 

I'm not dismissing the data on Goetze or anyone else. The entire point of that made up scenario is that you can't just use a simple projection of future performance without the understanding that increasing playing time =! a linear increase in output.

 

I'm just a bit of a stickler when it comes to statistics and math. Comes with the territory since that's what I do at work.

 

Lewandowski's agent: "Real Madrid approached us a few weeks ago, we listened. We informed Bayern that we have spoken with Madrid."

http://www.bild.de/sport/fussball/r...mit-real-madrid-gesprochen-46007928.bild.html

 

Let the games begin!

This is all about that extension...

If he thinks we're going to lose a WC striker now, he's got another thing coming.. His ass is ours for a few more years

 

He hasn't been exactly WC for us but I doubt there are any capable replacements out there to make sense to sell him. Higuain comes to mind but he would command a huge fee and he's older, too

 

"a sack of rise fell down in China" has more meat than this.

 

At the end it all comes down to him becoming our highest paid player with his extension. His agents are filthy scum nevertheless...as soon as the posse began back in his BVB- days with us approaching him, I hoped they wouldn´t play those games with Bayern. Well...

 

Hasn't been WC? He's the first striker since the 1970's to score 30 goals in a single BL season.

 

That's the thing. He knows he's got us by the balls.

Every team is facing this problem right now. There are very few real WC strikers these days, so if he left we would be left with absolutely nothing..

Or muller as our main striker.

 

Dont know lewandowski never showed that he needs to be our highest paid player, vs every good oposition not only he didnt show anything special he looked pretty bad with very akward first touches and akward running with the ball plus lost most of the duels. 10,12 mil at most and maybe he takes his head out of his ass and starts performing because vs average bl sides we can bring back gomez and still score 20+ goals.

 

Quite the contrary, Bayern München has Robert Lewandowski by the balls.

If Lewandowski had ever taken a contract law course, he would realize that the contract he signed until June 30, 2019 puts him in a very weak position.

Unfortunately for him, contracts are just about the closest thing to a "holy relic" as exists when it comes to his footballing career.

So, Real Madrid can either pay €80 million or Lewandowski plays up top for Bayern again for the next 2 years. Pretty easy.