You mean the Tea Partiers that you are counting twice in your unskewed polls? FWIW, Obama has closed the gap among independents as of late while at the same time the Dem/Rep margin has dropped a bit as Tea Partiers start calling themselves Republican again.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...ctions_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html They have it 290 Obama 248 Romney Ohio to Obama, but Florida and Virginia to Romney.
I don't know about Virginia but Ohio is done for Mitt. The average of all polls a week ago in Ohio had Obama by 2. Now the average of all polls is 3.5 for Obama. That's got to be well outside the margin of error. Virginia is a pure toss up. The polls have the electorate split right down the middle for many days. I wouldn't be surprised if they announce the overall winner (Obama) before they announce the VA winner.
Yet you require 8:1 odds to in order to back that up with any form of a big... makes sense? This will be a sig, mind.
...and after poor auld George had gone to so much successful and tireless effort to make sure they were all in 100% fantastic condition with his policies of deregulation and lower taxes. Got to admit though, like the young Dutch fan meme, kids giving the finger is always good for a chuckle!
Give George the finger too. What creeps me out is parents letting kids mindlessly sing Obama memes and crowds chanting "Hail Obama!".
Bet still on? Because if it is, you won't be here. Remember, Romney has to take Virginia, Colorado, Florida, AND North Carolina in order to get me going. Obama only needs to win one to get you to leave, and he's ahead in two, tied in one, and slightly down in the fourth.
Haven't heard either of those before, but if true (as opposed to talking point), it could be creepier:
Looks like Florida is already a done deal. NC too. You can stick around on Wed as long as you are gracious.
That's not entirely true - Florida's margin is -0.1% for Obama. That means less than 1/10th of a percentage point. That's a tie. Also, did you notice how you didn't say Colorado or Virginia? You have to have Romney win ALL four. He's clearly losing two and only winning one. argentine soccer fan, dark knight, there isn't any way we could have enforcement of this bet, is there? If Obama wins just one of the following, VFish has to not post here for a month: Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia. If Romney carries all four, I have to not post here for a month.
Relax dork. I don't really spend much time here anyway. Do you really believe I can't spend 30 days without swapping spit with this crew? Romney is going 4 for 4. At this point I think we should discuss how you are going to spend your new found free time. Perhaps a little community service?