MLS Single Entity Sends Handicapped Clubs to CCL. Do We Not Know, or Not Care?

Discussion in 'CONCACAF Champions Cup' started by soccerreform.us, Mar 7, 2010.

  1. CCSUltra

    CCSUltra Member+

    Nov 18, 2008
    Cleveland
    Club:
    Hertha BSC Berlin
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Pro/rel won't be a magic bullet for Div2. Regionalized leagues will be the magic bullet. We can't force a national second division on soccer. Even minor league baseball doesn't do that.
     
  2. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You are right leagues should grow from regianal leagues, D-2, D-3 should merge and split into 8 regions (like the WPSL) and then if the fans come to the games, then they can start forming upper divisions little by little (with rel/pro) but this is not what is going on below MLS, the franchise model is what America knows, and that is what they all try to follow.

    Also if you look at the numbers for D-2 and D-3 the number of fans are just not there, (other than Montreal) who gets MLS numbers 13K+.
     
  3. Bolivianfuego

    Bolivianfuego Your favorite Bolivian

    Apr 12, 2004
    Fairfax, Va
    Club:
    Bolivar La Paz
    Nat'l Team:
    Bolivia
    Weak? I mean I think already it has been shown that ANY team can have success at one time or another, its just down to the coach, and the moves they make players wise.

    Look at the red bulls, crappiest team in the MLS for a while, but even they made it to a MLS final and as of recently have had the strongest offense i've seen out of them ever recently, and play attractive, FINALLY. What their fans have asked for, thanks to a smart new coach, and smart moves by the club itself.

    My point is, a team will win sooner or later, heck even the weaker teams would still probably rip shit in concacaf, if the salary cap was raised to a decent level, because even the crappy teams would have decent talent. Like in mexico, even the teams that are doing bad, still put us through hell, when they'd qualify to the CCL but would have a terrible season that year in the mexican league.
     
  4. chapka

    chapka Member+

    May 18, 2004
    Haverford, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Why? We're talking about two ways of maintaining some semblance of parity in a league: through promotion and relegation or through payroll controls. Promotion and relegation does okay at handling large leagues but doesn't do much at the top of the pyramid where it can't act. So you end up with a lot of Scotlands and not very many Germanies.

    Promotion and relegation means a few teams have a chance to do better in international competition; the trade-off is that almost all teams have no shot at winning anything domestically. In CONCACAF, that means giving one or two teams an extra few meaningful games in the CCL at the expense of having most of the regular season games be meaningless and most of the cities in the country doomed never to see CONCACAF play at all.

    I really don't see how this is an improvement.

    Who's "we," kemo sabe? How much of your money is invested in MLS? You didn't sell the MLS ownership anything, and they aren't going to sell you anything back. Before MLS, you in Denver had the Colorado Comets to root for. How well did they do in CONCACAF?

    I don't know about that. I personally don't want there to be promotion and relegation, but I could see MLS implementing it someday when the conditions were right, if fans continue to demand it. Of course, that doesn't mean they'd dump the salary cap; just that teams would be relegated to a league with a lower salary cap. I absolutely don't see the salary cap going away ever.

    The question is, did the Cosmos help sink the league with wild spending that unbalanced the league? To answer this question, it makes sense to look at those seasons in which the Cosmos existed and had gobs of money to do all that spending.

    So where are all of the people willing to invest enough money to make American soccer teams internationally competitive without the protection of single entity, no promotion/relegation, and a hard salary cap? If you know any, please send them to St. Louis. Talk about Clint Dempsey: that team was bankrupted by Steve Ralston.

    This is a bizarre conspiracy theory. Are you really saying that the NFL is scheming to protect itself from an angry mob of fans imposing promotion and relegation on American football? Because that's so ridiculous I'm not even sure where to start.

    And worse--you're claiming that they're doing this to avoid paying "Clint Dempsey" level salaries. Clint Dempsey, a very much above-average Premier League player (something you seem determined to ignore), is earning about $2 million, which is more or less the average NFL salary. The average baseball player earns about $3 million. By American standards, soccer players, even the very top ones at the very top teams, are ridiculously underpaid.

    The highest paid player in the Premier League is Emmanuel Adebayor, at around $10.8 million a year. The highest paid soccer player in the world is Cristiano Ronaldo, who makes around $16.5 million. In 2009, sixteen baseball players and four NFL players made more than Ronaldo, and dozens of American athletes made more than Adebayor.

    Salaries in the American "closed" systems are already higher than international salaries, and that's with salary caps in place. There is no rational reason to think that the they are terrified of having to pay someone a quarter of what the Orioles pay Brian Roberts.

    So that the other teams have someone to play?

    Besides: promotion and relegation don't get rid of weak teams; they just replace them with other weak teams. American leagues instead give the bad teams an opportunity to improve, with salary controls, entry drafts, and so on.

    I have yet to hear a real argument as to why replacing a bad team in Tulsa with a bad team in Baltimore is better for the fans, the league, the players, or anyone else than helping the Tulsa team get better would be.
     
  5. CCSUltra

    CCSUltra Member+

    Nov 18, 2008
    Cleveland
    Club:
    Hertha BSC Berlin
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    chapka, that's how he works. He doesn't post in the Soccer in America or MLS Commissioner forums anymore because he got roasted. Anytime someone pokes a hole in his theory, he just ignores it and keeps trucking on.
     
  6. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Few Questions, my old Shaker Heights Ultra:

    When is the last time it's been tried?

    When is the last time you saw buyers line up to take over an entitled monopoly, without that monopoly divesting?

    How long can MLS run at this low level (54,000 national viewers on FSC. 200k on ESPN)?

    Don Garber says he can give a rats ass about ratings. So there's a clue.

    The agreement that was made to give us MLS was made in the emergency room of World Cup '94, where Rothenberg (can't blame him) had to trade the farm to lure in regular old school American sports investors.

    Today, MLS owners, via mysterious opaque governance procedures, can pretty much fit MLS into their portfolios in any way they see fit. They can shoehorn it into a market niche that doesn't overlap with their other enterprises. It's even possible to see how some of their portfolios would benefit from a weak MLS, and under the current rules, nobody is stopping them.

    15 years later, we have a whole new group of billionaires out there. I think it's better than the group we have now. The greatest part of pro/rel, there's no portfolio-wide strategy. It actually forces owners to - gulp - innovate in order to reach their goals, not just insulate themselves behind a single entity.

    Sure, it'll bring instability to MLS. But it will instantly blow the lid off div 2. Then, we set stadium standards for promotion and enter a period in which our club soccer, despite the house cleaning that might take place in division 1, will actually start to draw more viewers, and ticket buyers.

    We can play "show me the money" all day, and justify MLS on the fact that investors aren't flying out of the woodwork to take down the single entity.

    It's a suicide mission - for an investor....

    What if we opened it up first, and then helped individual investors, and investment groups, step to the fore? Show them how it works. Allow them to gain the peripheral benefits of owning a real, live independent soccer club, even if it's not a net profit generator in the sense of a regular business.

    What if we stop trying to run it like the NFL that NFL owners wish they had. Unfortunately, MLS is in no danger of running every other league into the ground, like NFL has. They are never going to be recognized as the best league in the world, if they continue imposing mediocrity on top clubs.

    Without those two ingredients - capture of the global market, and driving every other league into receivership, the NFL wannabe formula breaks down fast.

    Time to eliminate the multiple agendas that find a home in MLS. Let's streamline it, so that owners are incentivized to build the best clubs, and there is no limit on how much support can be used to improve the team.

    Can't do it with apathetic supporters of both ilks: Eurosnobs who simply turn away, or MLS die hards who think that without MLS in it's current debilitated form, we won't have any club soccer at all.
     
  7. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    see below

     
  8. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You keep putting the div 2 cart before the horse. That's where pro/rel IS a magic bullet. Who would invest in a company that can only reach the top via sellout, and a $40 million dollar check to Don Garber? It's amazing that second div clubs are able to amass the investments they do, under their current overregulated status.
     
  9. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I only disagree with CCSUltra on one point here - regionalization begins in Div 3. Div 2 clubs have to be able to run a national schedule in order to prove they are promotion ready.

    But I do agree, in the regulated closed model, Div 2 teams cannot amass the investments they need to go national. So, under the endless hegemony of MLS scenario, I think he/she is right.
     
  10. CCSUltra

    CCSUltra Member+

    Nov 18, 2008
    Cleveland
    Club:
    Hertha BSC Berlin
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Having worked in D2, pro/rel is not the answer. Flat out. It is not. Regionalization is. Cut travel costs. Germany didn't have a unified second division into the 90s. They didn't have a unified third division until 2008. We're more than twice the size of Germany. And Germany is a stronger soccer nation that the United States.

    And please, I'm not from Shaker Heights. I'm a West-sider.
     
  11. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I see it as the chicken and egg; nobody invested (and succeeded) before MLS. If soccer was profitable, then people would invest in USL or NASL and compete against MLS, if the open system is superior they would win out and MLS would go out of business.
     
  12. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Charles Schwab invested in a top club and a soccer specific stadium almost a century ago. His Bethlehem Steel, FC existed for longer than MLS.

    You're using good economic theory here. If you're right, why does MLS need the entitlement to div one? Why not run it somewhere else, set up a proper open pyramid separately, and see if that draws any investment?
     
  13. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You don't think that a performance based path to first div would have drawn any extra investment and fans to the Stars? I can't believe you're right.

    Maybe Drew wouldn't have gone to the Sounders?

    If you think pro/rel wouldn't have changed the investment/supporter scenario, do you think it wouldn't change the facts on the ground for every second div club, or just the Stars?

    If it was specific to the Stars, do you think that means that Cleveland might not be able to support a top club?

    None of these are rhetorical, I swear.

    I know you want to make USL experiments with pro/rel relevant here - but I don't think supporters really care about which minor league their club is in, if revenues don't change, and if the path to the top is still closed.
     
  14. CCSUltra

    CCSUltra Member+

    Nov 18, 2008
    Cleveland
    Club:
    Hertha BSC Berlin
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    To be completely honest, our old GM planned on getting the team to MLS eventually. How he planned on getting us there, nobody knows. The team had a lot of plans, but no money because the investors weren't interested. Plain and simple. There was a rumor Drew Carey WAS interested in buying the team. How valid that is, I don't know. There was another one that Randy Lerner was interested in the team. Again, I don't know how true that is.

    The fact of the matter is, if either one of them wanted in to get a top MLS team, they could have. Randy Lerner would have no problem doing that. He already owns a team, all he needs to do is decide he wants an MLS team and we'd have one. He has the money. I don't think pro/rel would have changed the investment opportunities.

    Could Cleveland support a top level soccer team? I think so. We already have people who could put a team there, but they aren't interested. The City Stars shouldn't have moved up last year; the team was hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt after just 6 games. That's why you need regionalized travel in second division soccer.
     
  15. chapka

    chapka Member+

    May 18, 2004
    Haverford, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    As long as they make money, or at least don't lose more than their investors are willing to lose, no matter what the TV ratings are. The NHL still exists and their ratings aren't that much better (and have been much worse).

    Tell me how, then. How does having an MLS team lose money help someone's bottom line? Because as far as I can tell, losing money is losing money no matter how rich you are.

    Bullshit. The primary thing a league without a salary cap allows you to do is to buy yourself a championship if you're richer than the other guy. If anything, it's a salary cap that forces you to be careful and innovate with the resources you have.

    Or, hey, what if we designed the business so it was profitable? For example, by controlling costs and sharing revenues?

    What you're describing is a system less desirable than the one we have now. A less desirable investment is going to be a less desirable investment, no matter what.

    Again: there was plenty of time for investors to do all the things you're suggesting before MLS started. They didn't.

    Then why does MLS still exist?

    "Let's make it easier for rich teams to buy championships. After all, if you're not a fan of the best team, you don't deserve a winning season. Rewarding front-runners and bandwagoners is the essence of sports."

    Can't do it with autistic monomaniacs obsessed with promotion and relegation, either.
     
  16. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Imagine you own an NFL team and and far cheaper MLS team in a league that you and your friends were granted total control over. Imagine if you had a Commissioner on the books with NFL pedigree and loyalties.

    Then, apply the shared belief of your American pro sports brethren, that the US pro sports market is very finite, and the only way to get fans is by taking them from someone else.

    Since you've been given so much power, you'd first want to make sure that it didn't take from your more expensive and lucrative business. You might do this by closing down season ticket sales with half the stadium empty, three months out from opening day, like NFL's Tod Leiweke and the Sounders did. You might do this in a less shady way, like position ticket prices lower than other pro sports, in hopes of competing with gigaplexes instead of gridiron.

    You'd certainly do everything in your power to block promotion, relegation, and fully independent clubs. If that were successful, it would force you to put better clubs on the field, and the abandonment of parity as a priority thru imposed mediocrity. You'd have to face the risks of the free market that business owners everywhere have to face, it would call the whole closed American system into question, since that's where you're bread is buttered.

    So yes, they can take a little loss (though we really have no idea, since MLS is about as opaque as granite) in their soccer business that might protect their other investments. That's the power they were given.


    How's that going for Man City? Real Madrid? Unrestricted, non mass food soccer is not that predictable. Hey, maybe we can win a game in Mexico if we let our clubs build as far as they could, not as far as MLS lets them.
    What if we stopped worrying about embarrassing the Wizards, (as if that branding could be more embarassing) and cut our club game loose to grow to be the best it can be?


    You're right! It's really much safer to be a soccer speculator than a soccer owner. Like the oilmen whose money helped start the league - you shield yourself from risks, and then drill until you get a gusher. As long as you can cut every cost, and limit every expenditure, and level the playing field for the billionaires....

    A good way to drill for oil. Maybe a good way to run Olive Garden. Not the way soccer works.

    I'm describing is a system less desirable for soccer speculators, and more desirable for soccer supporters.

    Soccer speculators are happy to run the game at a low level, and can absorb some losses to protect the other parts of their empires, until or unless the gusher hits.

    Soccer supporters think that sucks.

    Here's where you tell me we wouldn't have club soccer without the speculators. If so, here's where I tell you that's a hostage mentality of criminal proportions. Would a USSF plan for pro/rel cause instability in MLS ranks? Sure. Would they threaten bankruptcy? I bet. Would they even try to take their majority league owned teams down with them? Maybe.

    This isn't a gotcha game. Rothenberg had to revive a dying WC '94 bid. He needed well heeled backers to step in and wow FIFA with their billions, and sold out big to get them.

    On one hand, I applaud him for doing so. I wouldn't be here babbling if it wasn't for WC '94. On the other hand, we get speculators who say "soccer's coming. All we have to do is be here when the gusher hits, and control everything about it in the meantime."

    Well, soccer has hit. Virtual and actual audiences are way up for every form of the game except for MLS, who are struggling to beat an average attendance record set in 1996.

    Because existence is the only goal they have.

    Instead, let's let MLS buy first division, charge $40 million in fees to sell your club to them, run the league on that ponzi money a decade and a half in, and set the bar of achievement at mere existence, and draw a stagnant audience of casual fans.

    I like rich teams, and I'm not a fan of any rich team. When Fulham beat Man U, it means more than when the Kansas City Wal-Mart wins a sales battle with the Columbus Wal-Mart. Making them part of the same corporation is why they fail. Justifying that on protecting speculators and keeping it in our ubiquitous closed league model is pathetic.

    Better to be Rain Man than a guy running a soccer team as part of a risk sharing low level corporate conglomerate to protect his entitlements, and the market share of his other businesses...
     
  17. chapka

    chapka Member+

    May 18, 2004
    Haverford, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Or, how about this. Instead of imagining, demonstrate it. Because it's absolutely ridiculous, and ridiculous facts aren't something that you normally get to assume without any evidence.

    So what on earth makes you think that:

    1) the only way to get money out of U.S. soccer fans--who famously already spend money following European or Mexican teams right now--is by stopping them from going to NFL games that mostly sell out right now anyway and mostly aren't played at the same time?

    or

    2) Anyone but yourself thinks that promotion and relegation would immediately lead to a huge increase in the quality of MLS play?

    If the MLS owners didn't want MLS to succeed...they could achieve that by not investing any money in MLS much more effectively than by investing money in MLS.

    Sorry, but that's unmitigated bullshit.

    How's spending gobs of money doing for Real Madrid? In the last ten years, three titles and four second-place finishes, plus one Champions League win. The teams that beat them? Other teams with gargantuan payrolls, like Barca.

    And Man City? They were struggling near the bottom of the Premier League until they started throwing cash around; at which point they jumped to fifth, behind only the teams that had a lot more cash to throw around.

    Take a look at the Scottish Premier League and tell me it's not predictable. I can tell you the top two teams right now--will you take that bet at even money?
     
  18. CCSUltra

    CCSUltra Member+

    Nov 18, 2008
    Cleveland
    Club:
    Hertha BSC Berlin
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    My favorite part is his complaint about ticket prices being affordable.
     
  19. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think you misunderstood my point. I never said we had to take fans from NFL. I said that that's the finite sports marketing mindset that the establishment subscribes to. I'm saying that view lends itself to the horrible market posture of MLS - because in that finite world, they feel they have to posture MLS so that it doesn't take fans from their other teams, and money out of their pockets, and have to power to do it.

    I don't argue that it will immediately improve MLS play. I don't even argue that MLS, in it's current form, survives the transition. I argue that it allows top clubs to grow as far as owners and supporters can take them. I also argue that MLS owners would mostly throw tantrums and threaten to take all of their teams down to bankruptcy with their sorry ass model. It would freak the crap out of their closed fiefdom.

    Some MLS honchos wouldn't even care if viewership and crowds doubled in size. It'd still be their way or the highway.

    I do argue that it has an immediate positive impact on every other division, and that MLS owners, if they can get over their tantrums, and once the free market clears out the weak, will come around. I argue we will send clubs into international play that aren't handicapped by their own league. I do argue that it grows US Club Soccer in a very big way.

    You define success as survival, and they will go for that level of success. Especially if it doesn't negatively impact the rest of their collective portfolios.

    I agree, you can buy good clubs that finish higher in the table. You argued that you could buy Championships.

    You know what is unmitigated bullshit? Comparing Scotland to the USA.
    Our market is a dozen times larger, we have more supporters, and our soccer market is not oversaturated. We have a dozens of metropolitan areas Glasgow's size and larger.

    Predicting the top four US clubs post pro/rel should be pretty easy, from what you're saying.

    I say

    Cosmos
    Rowdies
    Sounders
    Galaxy

    You know what's cool about that four? The huge geographic spread.
     
  20. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You get what you pay for. Sounds like a fair point to me.
     
  21. CCSUltra

    CCSUltra Member+

    Nov 18, 2008
    Cleveland
    Club:
    Hertha BSC Berlin
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Somebody better tell the Germans that they should increase ticket prices, then.
     
  22. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Speaking of the Germans, they found a great way to have pro/rel and financial protections too.
     
  23. chapka

    chapka Member+

    May 18, 2004
    Haverford, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So you aren't saying your suggestion was sensible, and you agree it's stupid, but those dumb NFL owners aren't great businesspeople like you, so they just don't "get it" like you do? Ooo...kay.

    No, I define success as profitability. And yes, survival is required for that.

    Both of which are true. As you pointed out, Man City spent a huge amount of money to improve their position. But Chelsea still has the biggest payroll in the Premier League, and they ended up with the title.

    Great. So let's not even bother playing the season; you can play it in your mind and the rest of us can have actual teams to follow.
     
  24. nicolassarkozy

    May 4, 2010
    Club:
    Paris Saint Germain FC
    I've seen how selective soccerreform.us can be about which questions he answers, how he can often contradict himself, & how he is all about tearing others down. I'm actually surprised that he doesn't have a yellow or red card by his name by now.

    For instance, he recently pointed out that the Germans have pro/rel, yet have financial protections. Yet what has gone on in Germany has handicapped the league some in UEFA competitions, which seems to contradict this thread about handicapped MLS teams in CONCACAF. By contrast, Spain has greater success in Europe, but most of its top-flight clubs teter on the edge financially.
    Ideally, sport should be able to have the league make sense competitively, which pro/rel does in the lower divisions better than US leagues, but pro/rel is far worse in the top flights. If competitive balance makes the MLS less success in CONCACAF, I think that's something I can live with, especially after seeing what's going on in Spain, a league that's only had 9 clubs win in 79 seasons with the top 2 accounting for 51 of the 79 championships.

    I know there is a cogent argument for the pro/rel that is his end game, but he doesn't really make it.

    I also don't understand why he is so passionate about letting the perfect be the enemy of the good.
    What's so wrong with regionalization? If we had regionalization below the MLS with playoffs to determine who wins promotion it would be just like every pro/rel system where at some point it turns from a national league to regional leagues, just in America we would only have one national league at the top of the pyramid instead of 5 in England, 3 in Germany and France, & 2 in Spain and Italy.
    What's so wrong with revenue sharing? UEFA may put in place Financial Fair Play guidelines that limits clubs ability to spend. The upside of revenue sharing is that you can put all teams in a position of being financial stable & able to win the league.
    If you can get pro/rel, be happy, leave these frills alone.
     
  25. soccerreform.us

    soccerreform.us New Member

    Mar 12, 2009
    Denver
    Club:
    Fulham FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You know, this breaks down real simple. You like your soccer to look more like KFC, and I like mine to look more like EPL.
     

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