What would DNC or Clark do if Dean took New Hampshire and Iowa primaries? That's very likely since Dean is leading in poll in both places.
This race comes down to this: Liberals: Dean/Kerry/Gephardt Moderates: Clark/Lieberman/Edwards After New Hampshire and Iowa, one candidate from each of these groups will emerge to battle each other for the Dem nomination. My guess is Dean and Clark survive. Possibly Edwards as a dark horse, if Clark slips up.
Actually, it's an agonizingly idiotic analysis, which happens to have a roughly 50% chance of being correct. Equally idiotic: C-Es Dean/Clark/Edwards G-Ls: Gephardt/Kerry/Lieberman After New Hampshire and Iowa, one candidate from each of these groups will emerge to battle each other for the Dem nomination.
No, yours is the idiotic analysis. Dean does not come from the same "wing" of the Democratic Party as Clark or Edwards. So, they are not fighting for the same voters.
To a large extent they are fighting for the same voters (Lieberman aside). Furthermore, there's no reason to think that two of the more "liberal" candidates won't be leading. It's happened numerous times in the past.
But conservatives always miscalculate. Look at the country right now, everything is heading to the toilet. Once Karl Rove is gone, Bush will be soon.