Eastern Conf. Standings (as of Aug 12th) tm gp pts ppg Met 21 29 1.38 Chi 21 28 1.33 Clb 22 28 1.27 Revs 21 22 1.05 DCU 21 22 1.05 Expected points @ the end of the season if the current trend continues... (approx.) Metros = 39 Chicago = 37 Columbus = 36 Revs = 29 DCU = 29 Home games remaining: Revs = 4 Columbus = 3 Chicago = 4 clearly we need to make up 6 points on either Columbus or Chicago during the next 7 games. Columbus is the easier team to catch b/c they have one less game to play (6) and they are the weaker team when compared with chicago. Important dates for Revs to make up points: August 18 vs. Chicago August 24 @ Chicago August 31 @ Columbus Sept. 14: Chicago @ Columbus Sept. 22: Columbus @ Chicago looking at this, if we protect our home field (yes i know this is the Revs and therefore asking a lot) and can tie columbus on the road we should make the playoffs. We would get alot of help if one team wins both of the Chi-Clb games. At least we still have an outside shot. looking on the bright side if the trend does continue... we'll get a good draft pick! *sorry for the tables not being spaced properly, i dont know how to make them stay aligned.
Interesting stuff Crash... Just a couple-o-comments: I think we'd all agree that if the Revs can't top their season PPG (point-per-game) average over the last seven games, they won't make the playoffs (nor should they). I also think, no matter what happens, the Revs are pretty much guaranteed a pretty good draft pick (top 3!). I'd also agree that the Revs are going to catch anyone, it'll be the Crew (Bob Bradley's team simply don't seem to know how to miss the playoffs).
I've updated this posting from last week, essentially agreeing with the above: If Llamosa and Pierce are healthy, and Brown starts and stays healthy, I give us even odds of getting in. With 5 of our 7 remaining games against East Div. teams, at least we control our own destiny somewhat. I only wish two of those matches weren't against the Fire. Let's face it: a lot will depend on what Columbus does. It will be very tough for the Crew. The Revs have a game in hand on them, and the Crew only have 3 matches left against East teams--and two of those are against Chicago. They have to play KC, SJ, and LA, too.
Re: Re: Statisical Playoff Perspective I would hope that we didn't trade our first round draft pick (pretty much guaranteed top 3) to SJ for cap space for Griffiths. If we did, whoever made that trade needs to go.
Re: conditional picks The pick we traded was a "conditional" pick, exactly like the ones we received for Wynalda and Jamar B. IIRC, we were awarded 4th and 5th round picks for those two, even though they racked up numbers that Griffith will not with the Revs in 2002. I would imagine that the pay-back for Griffith would be similar.
What exactly does 'conditional draft pick' mean? While you're at it, what does 'future considerations' mean?
Metro is now our closest target, at 7 points. Wouldn't it be something if we could come within 2-3 points of the final playoff spot for the Rev-Metro derby? Hmm... nah.