??? “What changed” is right there at the beginning of your second quote. What is it you don’t understand?
https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-d...er-difference-between-0-and-1-than-you-think/ There’s a big difference between 0 and 1. @American Brummie
People don't like being "zero". It would be interesting to see the results if they flipped the scale so the right was at the low end of the scale. How do conservatives feel about being "zeros" compared to liberals?
Just the tip of the iceberg. Are you a "strong" conservative, or an "extreme" conservative? The differences are huge, but the scales are still seven-point.
I'm not sure where to put this extremely local news story, so why not here: https://hudsonvalleyone.com/2019/03...6nRL5grI3wLu78HBcBBROdHy6YJa2LCTb7vFsGQZPD6cs It's a discussion of the complete cratering of the Republican Party in one county in upstate NY. In the last 23 years, registered Dems have doubled their numbers and Republicans don't bother to run candidates anymore. The author attributes the changes mainly to 1)demographic shifts and B) the flight of socially liberal/fiscally conservative voters away from Republicans in the age of W and Trump. Republicans say their only hope is that centrist Dems and Looney Leftists find irreconcilable differences.
Not what they got wrong, but analysis about the "swinging" suburban districts. https://getpocket.com/explore/item/...ommon-than-you-think?utm_source=pocket-newtab
538 on polling and why outlier polls are/can be a good thing. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-to-handle-an-outlier-poll/ They also link to an example of Australia and how pollsters did not want to publish polls because they went against other polling, so they felt that it had to be wrong and did not want to be embarrassed of publishing bad polling, even if it turned out that they were correct at the end. https://www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...ed-labor-losing-election-20190604-p51u9v.html
There are also other polling aspects which need to be considered, and probably given different weight/importance values size of poll error margin type of poll method of poll
So what else did they get wrong? Well last night I picked up a call from a number I did not recognize, it turns out it was Gallop polling company. They only asked about Sanders, Biden, Warren and Trump (I should have asked why not include the others). So depending on sample size, Warren's Latino approval ratting will skyrocket, maybe it will be 1 out of every 3 Latinos approve
A lot of the hypothetical Trump v. X matchups have been whittled down to Sanders, Warren and Biden. Harris and Buttigieg are the only others who get the occasional inclusion. I'm hopeful we can get this thing down to 7-8 going into NH and IA and no more than 4-5 by the time the SC primary results come in (Feb 29).