From a tactics stand point I agree. I wouldn't use 2016 as an example as I feel Sweden is stronger now despite not having Zlatan anymore, they have started to incorporate some of their successful u21 team. I see Italy winning never the less but I personally feel Denmark will take Ireland by the very slightest of margins. It could be that I rate Denmark higher than many people though. Croatia should win comfortably despite the bunker style of Greece and Switzerland should take out NI fairly easily, maybe not by scoreline but NI will find it difficult to penetrate the Swiss.