New poll out today has Moore tied with Jones ... lol. Moore losing would be the most epically funny thing ever. Commence conspiracy theories that Bannon is actually a deep state agent working for the Clintons.
5. On question of whether the sexual predator allegations make them more or less likely to vote for Moore, 37% of evangelicals say *more likely.* That's a higher rate than rest of voters (29%). pic.twitter.com/7beTealka9— Sarah Posner (@sarahposner) November 12, 2017
That's not that straight forward, I think it means they don't believe the accusations and are thus even more inclined to vote for Moore. Not they they'd be more excited to vote for him, now that they know he's a pedophile
Turns out that endorsement letter from 50+ pastors in Alabama was forged. The authentic endorsement letter was for the primary race several weeks ago (in other words before these allegations were made public). Three sentences were recently added to make it seem like the endorsement was for the general election race. Except that two of those pastors have since withdrawn their endorsements. And another isn't even pastoring his church anymore.
Dems flip another State Senate seat in Oklahoma. http://www.tulsaworld.com/homepagel...cle_7aed6549-3589-54ea-b3be-9a5f8c87c420.html This comes after a recent string of surprising Dem pickups in Oklahoma, the state that has seen an abnormally high number of GOP politicians recently disgraced by sex crimes. Before we celebrate, it's worth remembering that the Oklahoma Democratic Party has basically been on life support in recent years, on the verge of extinction. Whatever gain we're seeing is just a blip compared to how far behind they are. But what makes this noteworthy to me is the fact that it happened with no top ticket race like Virginia. This was a very low turnout vote, which is usually the GOP's bread and butter. It seems that low turnout can actually backfire. In this case Dems only had to mobilize 2,000 voters instead of 20,000 voters in a higher turnout year. It's a potential lose/lose situation for GOP. If the vote is restricted to base voters, it's clear that the activist base inside Democratic party is unusually motivated for obvious reasons. If you encourage larger turnout it's still a losing proposition because of low approval ratings for Trump, Ryan, McConnell and GOP in general.
"Your vote doesn't matter." https://www.washingtonpost.com/loca...f227ae-e43e-11e7-ab50-621fe0588340_story.html The Virginia House of Delegates is now 50-50 because of a 1 vote margin of victory.
That is pretty cool news! The D's flipped 16 seats in the Va house and now it is a tie. Northam should offer a position in his administration to a vulnerable incumbent and have a special election called for the district. The D's are in the driver's seat in Va now!
I was stuck in traffic when the news broke. Somehow I went back in time 100 years, turned into a white man and "yipped."
We'll let you slide on this act of cultural appropriation. This time. Unless it's for another good reason, in which case, yip away.
I promise I will never yip again. VA went from picking lots to decide a tie in the House of Delegates to flipping a coin to decide who wins a seat. The race that was decided by 1 vote is now being called a tie by some.
I thought votes didn't count if you voted for both candidates and then marked out a candidate because you made a mistake. It purposely leads to ambiguity.
So I'm guessing the Gillespie vote is also invalid because it appears to have an X through it. It should be in the rules that marking for more than one candidate invalidates the vote and a new ballot should be obtained.
Very encouraging and positive news from a NYT article today. At this stage, the D's have filed candidates in all but 20 congressional districts (in comparison, the R's have not filled in 80). In Tx and Illinois, the have a full slate of candidates, something that never happened before. Filings have ended for those 2 states but still open on most. One can expect more D's to fill some of the 20 districts. That may be the closest to the 50 state strategy! Federal Election Commission filings show that if a wave crashes on the Republican House majority in November, as many have predicted, Democratic surfers will be on their boards to catch it. Nearly a year out from the election, Democratic candidates have filed in all but 20 House districts held by Republicans. By comparison, Democrats in 80 districts do not have a Republican opponent for their seat. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/24/...column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news
GOP keeps control of the Virginia house. http://www.cnn.com/2018/01/04/politics/virginia-house-drawing/index.html?adkey=bn
Dems flip another special election. This time in rural Western Wisconsin, along the Minnesota border. This was an area easily won by Trump one year ago. The special election blue wave continues ... https://www.jsonline.com/story/news...lators-tuesdays-special-elections/1038687001/
Here's the WaPo's coverage of the same election. Love it. Incidentally, that's where I went to middle/high school.