The 2018 Table :: Magic Numbers, Tragic Numbers & Other Curious Quantities

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by Knave, Aug 13, 2018.

  1. rslfanboy

    rslfanboy Member+

    Jul 24, 2007
    Section 26
    That's the problem.
     
  2. SoccerMan94043

    SoccerMan94043 Member+

    May 29, 2003
    San Jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  3. rslfanboy

    rslfanboy Member+

    Jul 24, 2007
    Section 26
    You should start a big soccer event. Not toasters, but toast itself. Salted butter only (for microbiological stability) or just plain toast.

    You pick the date and addressee. I will send toast. We will all send toast.
     
  4. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    #729 EvanJ, Aug 2, 2019
    Last edited: Aug 2, 2019
    Computers have calculators built-in, so I don't need that. I have used websites for a binomial probability calculator, linear regression with many variables, and generating random numbers.

    Columbus won at the Red Bulls for the second consecutive season to remain alive for the Supporters Shield longer. To remain alive, FC Cin must win hosting Vancouver and have LAFC not win at New England. Vancouver will be eliminated from the Supporters Shield if they lose, LAFC wins, or both clubs do the same. If LAFC wins, both of them will be eliminated from the Supporters Shield. Columbus and Chicago both have 24 points from 24 games. Chicago is at Houston and Columbus and Columbus is at San Jose. Columbus and Chicago will be eliminated from the Supporters Shield if they lose and LAFC wins. Colorado is last in the West, but they have 1 fewer point and 2 fewer games played than Vancouver, and they can't be eliminated from the Supporters Shield this weekend.

    Does anybody know what the record is for most clubs eliminated from the Supporters Shield on the first weekend that had clubs eliminated?

    https://www.mlssoccer.com/standings added dashed lines to the standings. They always had s olid line for the playoff boundary. They added dashed lines between first (bye) and second (Conference Quarterfinal home game) and between fourth (home) and fifth (away).
     
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  5. Green and BLue

    Green and BLue Member+

    Seattle Sounders FC
    Nov 3, 2003
    Republic of Cascadia
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Some context for the Toaster Bonanza image I posted:
     
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  6. Bluecat82

    Bluecat82 Member+

    Feb 24, 1999
    Minneapolis, MN
    Club:
    Minnesota United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Surely Cincinnati is toast by now...
     
  7. ElNaranja

    ElNaranja Member+

    Houston Dynamo
    United States
    Jul 16, 2017
    I know we arent burnt toast, but the Dynamo gotta be plenty toasty by now.
     
  8. ThreeApples

    ThreeApples Member+

    Jul 28, 1999
    Smurf Village
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    One point behind the team in the last playoff slot, even with Portland having a game in hand, does not look very toasty.
     
  9. FoxBoro 143

    FoxBoro 143 Member+

    Jan 18, 2004
    MA
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Cincinnati warrants the creation of a new thread.
    Boycott @Knave
     
  10. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    If you're all gonna boycott me, then I don't need to start the Toast Thread!

    :coffee:
     
  11. AndyMead

    AndyMead Homo Sapien

    Nov 2, 1999
    Seat 12A
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    We've tried starting it ourselves in the past, but you get real pissy.
     
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  12. PTFC in KCMO

    PTFC in KCMO Member+

    Aug 12, 2012
    Club:
    Portland Timbers
    Is Sac Republic toast yet?
     
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  13. SierraSpartan

    SierraSpartan Member+

    Jan 25, 2007
    Placer County, CA
    Club:
    Sacramento Republic FC
    Gotta get the bread before your team can be MLS toast.
     
  14. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    You are all such horrible pains in the neck.

    And, yet, because I am such a gracious, giving, and wonderful person, the 2019 Toast Thread will be posted before next weekend.
     
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  15. PTFC in KCMO

    PTFC in KCMO Member+

    Aug 12, 2012
    Club:
    Portland Timbers
    I take back some of what I’ve said.
     
  16. Knave

    Knave Member+

    May 25, 1999
    If only I believed you ... :oops:
     
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  17. ElNaranja

    ElNaranja Member+

    Houston Dynamo
    United States
    Jul 16, 2017
    We've 7 road games and 4 home games left to make up 3 points to squeeze into the playoffs. Our current record on the road is 2-8-0. We've got games against NYC, Philly, Dallas, KC, Vancouver, LAFC, and RSL. It is entirely possible we get swept on all of these games.

    Our home form has been crap lately. Since the beginning of May, we've gone 3-3-2, with those 3 losses the most recent games. Only 4 home games left, against the Galaxy, Minnesota, Orlando, and Colorado. We might win one or two of those. But I wouldn't put money on it.

    With that schedule and our form, I dont see how or where we make up ground on anyone. No, we'll continue to sink. The season ended with our loss to Cincy a few weeks ago and it's just taking a while for that to become fact.
     
  18. ThreeApples

    ThreeApples Member+

    Jul 28, 1999
    Smurf Village
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    It's not my job to figure out the toast formula, but the point of it isn't to evaluate form. Of course Houston will miss the playoffs if they play like crap the rest of the way. Toast asks what happens if a team plays quite well the rest of the way. If they play on a 2 PPG pace the rest of the way, are they still screwed? Houston would reach 52 points with a 2 PPG pace, and a quick check tells me that only one team has ever missed the playoffs with 52 points in the era of 34-game seasons.
     
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  19. Bluecat82

    Bluecat82 Member+

    Feb 24, 1999
    Minneapolis, MN
    Club:
    Minnesota United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    When there weren't as many playoff sports per conference as there are this season...
     
  20. GunnerJacket

    GunnerJacket Moderator
    Staff Member

    Sep 18, 2003
    Gainesville, GA
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    So let it be written...
     
  21. JasonMa

    JasonMa Member+

    Mar 20, 2000
    Arvada, CO
    Club:
    Colorado Rapids
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I don't
     
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  22. PTFC in KCMO

    PTFC in KCMO Member+

    Aug 12, 2012
    Club:
    Portland Timbers
    Im just trying to set an example for my daughter. Normally my ass wouldnt either.
     
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  23. Bluecat82

    Bluecat82 Member+

    Feb 24, 1999
    Minneapolis, MN
    Club:
    Minnesota United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You're a good dad.
     
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  24. BalanceUT

    BalanceUT RSL and THFC!

    Oct 8, 2006
    Appalachia
    Club:
    Real Salt Lake
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Nobody knows because @Knave is leaving us high and dry.
     
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  25. BalanceUT

    BalanceUT RSL and THFC!

    Oct 8, 2006
    Appalachia
    Club:
    Real Salt Lake
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I reserve the right to be disappointed.
     
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