Some of us like stats. Some of us don't, so I figured I'd start a thread. Some good sources https://understat.com/team/Liverpool/2018 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo https://statsbomb.com/ https://twitter.com/Caley_graphics https://twitter.com/11tegen11
I like these timing charts. https://understat.com/match/9227 Shows we did a really good job killing the game after the goal.
Statsbomb is releasing all their World Cup data. This pass graph is interesting. Would be curious to see one for LFC. This is the pass angle field map for France during the 2018 World Cup. Thanks to @StatsBomb for making the World Cup data available. pic.twitter.com/SOKCheYKPn— Eliot McKinley (@etmckinley) September 12, 2018
If I read it right - it shows that Pogba was very proactive - which we all knew. Amazing how shit he is for United. long may it continue.
Scouse - I think you are reading that graph upside down...the majority of Pogba’s passes were toward Giroud - at the top of the graph...
xG map for Tottenham - Liverpool.so liverpool, seem like they're not bad at the football pic.twitter.com/7JK9tkmyEe— Caley Graphics (@Caley_graphics) September 15, 2018
Am I to take it for your pictorial that Liverpool’s expected goal return per match lies between 0.9 and 3.4?
when evaluating if a team has improved vs last season, many ppl look at points total after the same number of games, which is pretty simplistic. I prefer to compare results in the exact same fixtures. downside is you have to ignore the promoted teams - but that aside, it does show how your team really is doing compared to the opposition. based on this method, we are +3 points off so far - beating Spuds vs getting wiped out by them. here's the bbc's analysis (done both methods) for all Prem teams. the chart at the end is interesting. despite our perfect start, it shows us as 5th-best in the Prem. Chelsea +9, Watford +9, Arsenal +5, Wolves +4. https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/45619199
I like this method as well, but the short coming is that if you win a game in the corresponding fixture the season before, there isn't room for improvement.
That first half formation was wild compared to what we typically do. Happy cruising for Liverpool today.Makes it easy to ignore that the #passmap doesn't impress at all. No forward links from Wijnaldum & Henderson. And what about that right flank?#LFC #xGplot pic.twitter.com/SZscd1l6SD— Between The Posts (@BetweenThePosts) September 22, 2018
true but I don't get your point. we can't expect to improve over a win ..... ? this analysis shows if we are succeeding against teams who caused a problem last year - or vice-versa.
I was looking at the "table" of who had improved the most so far and Chelsea sits at the top mostly because they were so bad in those games last year and had a ton of room for improvement. LFC and City had little room to improve over last season so are further down the table. As I said, I like looking at this, but I should have clarified that the small sample size really hampers its usefulness. Also putting the teams in a table also has limited benefit, at least as when it comes to those teams at the top where improvement/decline is more incremental. All that really matters is that we are +25 on City. Right now we are +3. Considering its pretty likely we never drop points again, the point might be moot, but its possible that at some stage we will need City to start heading into a negative direction. As far as other teams are concerned, this would give Huddersfield reason to have some belief, but ManU and Newcastle might be in a spot of bother.
EPL sprint stats from last round (our game vs Chelsea) And look who was last: Team No of sprints Liverpool 154 Huddersfield 125 Arsenal 122 Chelsea 119 Everton 109 Newcastle 106 Manchester City 106 Watford 106 Cardiff 96 Brighton 93 Tottenham 93 Southampton 92 Leicester 91 Fulham 86 Burnley 84 West Ham 81 Wolves 75 Manchester United 59 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/f...nchester-United-sprint-stats-vs-West-Ham.html
United now expected to win 67 points - they won 64 under Moyes and 66 under van Gaal. Liverpool meanwhile now expected to win 88 points - the same as what City were expected to win when the season kicked off pic.twitter.com/o2WLbIKiwu— Omar Chaudhuri (@OmarChaudhuri) October 2, 2018
I like the 538 prediction tables but you do have to question any methodology that makes City favorites to win the CL at this stage.
Why? They were the best team in Europe last season, and this season you would expect them to put an extra emphasis on the Champions League having already won the league.