Separate names with a comma.
Discussion in 'FIFA and Tournaments' started by HomokHarcos, Feb 11, 2017.
These are my predictions
Yes, I imagine the same.
Uruguay or Colombia could take a place but Portugal has the confed cup to gather some extra points, so it's unlikely.
I say Spain will probably find a way to get a seed.
Wow just realized it's possible to have Colombia, Uruguay, Italy, Netherlands and Spain all unseeded.
Based on the current FIFA Rankings, UEFA and CONMEBOL would have 4 seeds each. The unseeded teams would be:
10 from UEFA (1 pot and 2 more)
1 from CONMEBOL (assuming they beat OFC)
5 from CAF
3 or 4 from CONCACAF
4 or 5 from AFC
If the 2 unseeded UEFA teams separated from the rest are selected randomly from the 10 unseeded UEFA teams (rather than taking the best 2 or worst 2), you could have this group where the record for worst Group Stage performance could be threatened:
Portugal (unseeded from UEFA pot)
Spain (unseeded from UEFA, CONMEBOL and CAF pot)
United Arab Emirates
Actually I think Portugal will be unseeded too. Teams that did really well in the Euros or Copa America 2016 will probably drop in the rankings once those tournaments fall out of the 12 month window.
That's bad news for Chile, Portugal and France. And good news for Spain and Uruguay. So I think that 8 seeds are:
I pick Colombia over Uruguay because for Colombia even to qualify (which I think they'll manage eventually) they'll have to win a lot of games in 2017 which would logically help their ranking.
Won't Portugal and Chile have the opportunity to improve their FIFA Rankings in the Confederations Cup? The only competitions before the World Cup draw that are weighted more than World Cup qualifiers are the Confederations Cup and Gold Cup.
Oh yes, good point. I forgot about that that tournament which is weighted so heavily in the FIFA rankings formula. I guess they'd only drop a bit then. They might still drop a bit though since the opposition strength generally isn't as high as in, say, the Euros.
with the way, fifa ranking is calculated, it heavily helps lower ranked teams with a good qualification cycle to ricochet from nowhere to the top. in that case, i would not be suprised, if ireland, poland, ukraine, switzerland again, find themselves in the top 8 of the coca cola ranking on d-day ahead of the final draw.
True, good point. Switzerland is highly unlikely since 4 out of their 6 competitive matches this year will be against Andorra, Faroe Islands and Latvia (average FIFA ranking: 133).
But look out for Ireland and Croatia!
Uruguay were the big losers last night. They might drop out of the top 12 or even top 15 by the time the April FIFA rankings come out!
If they're not careful they might even fail to qualify for the World Cup!
It quite possible that 3 of them will not even qualify. Netherlands are 4th in their group halfway through, one of Italy or Spain will have to win a playoff. And it is possible, but I would not bet on it, that on of Uruguay or more likely Colombia fall out of the top 5 in Conmebol. Uruguay is sitting second with a relatively easy schedule to finish out the qualifying.
additionally, Uruguay managed to get a seed last time after winning the Copa, and Chile have 2 Copa wins at their back.
Russia Brazil Argentina Chili France Germany seem sure seeds to me.
In balance for 2 remaining places: belgium, portugal, colombia, uruguay, spain.